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Tulsa vs South Florida Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 31 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#32
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#206
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tulsa v South Florida
30 Dec 2026
TULS v SOUT
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
TULS78
SOUT93
09 Mar 2024
TULS76
SOUT70
15 Feb 2023
TULS69
SOUT96
29 Jan 2022
TULS76
SOUT45
03 Feb 2021
TULS v SOUT
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tulsa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
South Florida win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TulsaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#216
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H19/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
100-74
100
74
+26
H22/02
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
90-56
90
56
+34
A26/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
93-66
93
66
+27
A06/03
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H08/03
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A14/03
NCAA
Ottawa Braves
#482
W
98-50
98
50
+48
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#178
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H06/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#190
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-30
38-44
53-37
47-37
45-29
45-27
53-28
40-38
32-34
46-42
25-36
44-33
33-39
35-42
42-12
56-38
56-29
38-46
37-39
43-32
157.7Avg total
87.0Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.765.3156.0+25.3100%
Season at home (3)90.765.3156.0+25.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.070.7157.7+16.390%
Last 5 (5)86.072.2158.2+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)76.086.5162.5-10.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.373.2158.5+12.185%
This opponent (South Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#173
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H01/03
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H08/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H14/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H15/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A19/03
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#215
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H03/11
NCAA
DePaul
#57
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A06/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
49-38
41-24
51-46
45-43
44-29
39-31
40-33
46-31
33-26
37-29
27-37
52-46
43-33
55-38
35-50
45-32
34-39
46-44
30-31
43-32
154.7Avg total
83.5Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.874.8157.5+8.050%
Season at home (3)83.772.3156.0+11.367%
Season away (1)80.082.0162.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)83.571.2154.7+12.370%
Last 5 (5)82.076.4158.4+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)80.082.0162.0-2.00%
vs Similar (8)86.477.9164.2+8.562%
vs Weaker (20)84.673.0157.6+11.685%
This opponent (Tulsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.4+10.41st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +9.9+9.9
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.4+10.41st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +9.9+9.9
TulsaSouth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TulsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#216
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H19/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H22/02
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A26/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A06/03
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H08/03
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H13/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/03
NCAA
Ottawa Braves
#482
W
42-12
42
12
+30
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#178
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H06/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#190
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H12/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
41.7Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.632.573.0+8.170%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.932.072.9+8.972%-
Last 30 away (12)40.033.273.2+6.867%-
Last 10 (10)41.731.373.0+10.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.631.069.6+7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)35.545.080.5-9.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)40.132.772.8+7.473%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#173
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H15/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A19/03
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#215
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/11
NCAA
DePaul
#57
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A06/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H14/11
NCAA
74.8Avg total
38.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.676.1+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.733.875.5+7.972%-
Last 30 away (12)38.738.276.9+0.442%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.274.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.071.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)35.050.085.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (8)39.934.474.2+5.562%-
vs Weaker (20)40.035.575.5+4.560%-
This opponent (Tulsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tulsa wins
6
South Florida wins
DateGameScore
08/02/26South Florida v Tulsa80-74
10/01/26Tulsa v South Florida78-93
18/01/25South Florida v Tulsa63-56
09/03/24Tulsa v South Florida76-70
15/02/24South Florida v Tulsa69-50
02/03/23South Florida v Tulsa72-56
16/02/23Tulsa v South Florida69-96
19/02/22South Florida v Tulsa57-65
30/01/22Tulsa v South Florida76-45
06/01/21South Florida v Tulsa51-61
Tulsalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HOral Roberts80-71
06/11/26HNorthern Illinois94-75
03/11/26HOttawa Braves98-50
14/03/26AWichita State68-81
13/03/26HNorth Texas90-84 OT
08/03/26HTemple78-76
06/03/26AEast Carolina93-66
26/02/26ATulane90-56
22/02/26HUTSA Roadrunners100-74
19/02/26HCharlotte79-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCoppin State73-63
11/11/26HSaint Josephs Hawks80-83
06/11/26ADePaul80-82
03/11/26HCharleston Southern98-71
19/03/26ALouisville79-83
15/03/26HWichita State70-55
14/03/26HCharlotte86-64
08/03/26HCharlotte83-60
06/03/26AMemphis96-89
01/03/26HTulane90-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tulsa
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.790.7-
Allowed / game65.365.3-
Point differential+25.3+25.3-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
South Florida
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game82.883.780.0
Allowed / game74.872.382.0
Point differential+8.0+11.3-2.0
Avg total157.5156.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa330100%90.765.3+25.3
2 North Texas43175%84.064.5+19.5
3 Wichita State43175%88.570.0+18.5
4 East Carolina43175%75.565.8+9.8
5 Florida Atlantic43175%79.577.5+2.0
6 UTSA Roadrunners32167%76.774.0+2.7
7 Memphis32167%83.389.7-6.3
8 South Florida42250%82.874.8+8.0
9 Rice42250%81.274.0+7.2
10 Tulane42250%81.278.2+3.0
11 UAB42250%77.074.2+2.8
12 Charlotte42250%69.267.8+1.5
13 Temple31233%67.375.3-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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