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Turkey vs Lithuania Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-66
27-13 28-21 20-13 19-19
Position#4
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game73.7
Turkey 🏆
vs
Position#41
Record3-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 1
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turkey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTurkey
Date
Competition
Sweden
#21
W
85-79
85
79
+6
75avg 89
H06/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
90avg 89
H09/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
94avg 89
A12/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
73avg 89
H14/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
93-71
93
71
+22
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
85-60
85
60
+25
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Serbia
#21
W
82-78
82
78
+4
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Serbia
#21
W
94-86
94
86
+8
no box
H02/03
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
A02/07
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
95-72
95
72
+23
no box
H06/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
17-19
26-13
22-24
19-19
27-13
19-18
26-27
26-16
23-15
23-20
22-17
22-24
24-16
21-26
16-22
29-20
17-25
21-13
26-13
23-17
18-8
24-17
20-18
22-13
24-18
11-23
25-24
28-21
20-23
28-19
18-23
17-18
17-21
25-18
23-18
22-19
25-22
29-11
19-20
163.8Avg total
88.4Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.573.7162.2+14.8100%
Season at home (3)94.076.3170.3+17.7100%
Season away (3)83.071.0154.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.475.4163.8+13.090%
Last 5 (5)87.674.2161.8+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.378.6153.9-3.314%
vs Similar (5)80.270.2150.4+10.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.972.5160.4+15.494%
This opponent (Lithuania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLithuania
Date
Competition
Finland
#10
W
81-78
81
78
+3
76avg 82
A01/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
74-71
74
71
+3
69avg 82
H03/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
88-79
88
79
+9
86avg 82
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
77avg 82
H09/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#81
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Italy
#29
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Iceland
#60
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Iceland
#60
W
99-82
99
82
+17
no box
H02/03
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
W
105-85
105
85
+20
no box
H02/07
World Cup
Italy
#29
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
A05/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
25-15
12-12
24-30
14-21
19-18
21-14
20-18
28-18
19-19
19-17
22-25
19-24
19-20
14-20
24-23
16-21
22-30
30-16
21-21
19-16
20-18
15-20
27-28
21-24
23-19
24-11
17-32
26-14
26-19
27-23
20-26
36-28
23-13
21-24
25-20
25-22
12-18
24-19
23-28
168.7Avg total
86.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.585.0175.5+5.550%
Season at home (3)95.083.0178.0+12.067%
Season away (3)86.087.0173.0-1.033%
Last 10 (10)86.282.5168.7+3.760%
Last 5 (5)90.884.4175.2+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.089.0163.0-15.00%
vs Similar (7)80.375.0155.3+5.371%
vs Weaker (17)88.271.8160.0+16.488%
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
TurkeyLithuania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TurkeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#21
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H06/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H09/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A12/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/11
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A30/11
World Cup
Serbia
#21
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A27/02
World Cup
Serbia
#21
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H02/03
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A02/07
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H06/07
World Cup
81.0Avg total
44.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.736.878.5+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.438.781.1+3.665%-
Last 30 away (13)40.834.275.1+6.669%-
Last 10 (10)44.037.081.0+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.079.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.141.779.9-3.629%-
vs Similar (5)39.235.474.6+3.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.835.279.0+8.683%-
This opponent (Lithuania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LithuaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A01/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H03/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H09/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#81
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A27/11
World Cup
Italy
#29
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H30/11
World Cup
Iceland
#60
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A27/02
World Cup
Iceland
#60
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H02/03
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H02/07
World Cup
Italy
#29
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A05/07
World Cup
83.0Avg total
43.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.881.3+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.539.684.1+4.959%-
Last 30 away (13)39.937.877.7+2.262%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.883.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.284.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.842.779.5-5.817%-
vs Similar (7)42.738.681.3+4.171%-
vs Weaker (17)44.437.581.9+6.971%-
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Turkeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.8
57.1%
-41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.3
40.4%
-30.9
🏀 Free throws21.316.2
76.1%
-16.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lithuaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.5
57.4%
-45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
-21.9
🏀 Free throws25.518.2
71.4%
-18.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Turkey
WWWWWWLWWW
Lithuania
LWWLLWLWWW
#4
League position
#41
+22.6
Net rating
+14.1
123.2
Offensive rating
111.9
100.6
Defensive rating
97.9
58.6%
Effective FG%
54.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
18.4%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.42
40.4%
3-point %
33.2%
69.5%
Assist %
74.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Turkey   ■ Lithuania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Turkey wins
1
Lithuania wins
DateGameScore
09/09/14Lithuania v Turkey73-61
Turkeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/26HSwitzerland95-72
02/07/26ABosnia & Herzegovina82-75
02/03/26HSerbia94-86
27/02/26ASerbia82-78
30/11/25ASwitzerland85-60
27/11/25HBosnia & Herzegovina93-71
14/09/25HGermany83-88
12/09/25AGreece94-68
09/09/25HPoland91-77
06/09/25HSweden85-79
Lithuanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/26AItaly84-87
02/07/26HGreat Britain105-85
02/03/26HIceland99-82
27/02/26AIceland85-86
30/11/25HItaly81-82
27/11/25AGreat Britain89-88
09/09/25HGreece76-87
06/09/25HLatvia88-79
03/09/25HSweden74-71
01/09/25AFinland81-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Turkey
World Cup 2027
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.594.083.0
Allowed / game73.776.371.0
Point differential+14.8+17.7+12.0
Avg total162.2170.3154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lithuania
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game90.595.086.0
Allowed / game85.083.087.0
Point differential+5.5+12.0-1.0
Avg total175.5178.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia770100%98.366.7+31.6
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada770100%101.479.6+21.9
4 Poland770100%96.080.3+15.7
5 Turkey660100%88.573.7+14.8
6 Croatia1110191%99.171.2+27.9
7 Argentina76186%86.667.9+18.7
8 Ivory Coast76186%93.175.4+17.7
9 Lebanon76186%90.072.6+17.4
10 Brazil76186%93.178.0+15.1
11 France76186%85.372.0+13.3
12 Germany76186%93.380.4+12.9
13 Cameroon76186%76.970.4+6.4
14 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
15 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
16 Mexico54180%96.683.4+13.2
17 Dominican Republic54180%91.880.2+11.6
18 South Sudan86275%82.467.8+14.6
19 Ukraine118373%81.974.7+7.2
20 Jordan75271%84.463.1+21.3
21 Senegal75271%85.168.9+16.3
22 Angola75271%86.971.9+15.0
23 New Zealand75271%93.180.6+12.6
24 Uruguay75271%85.073.1+11.9
25 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
26 Iran75271%77.667.7+9.9
27 Tunisia75271%72.766.7+6.0
28 Mali75271%80.175.6+4.6
29 Serbia64267%86.581.3+5.2
30 Guinea85362%73.466.0+7.4
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Egypt74357%77.472.7+4.7
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Georgia74357%83.781.6+2.1
35 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Sweden74357%82.983.4-0.6
38 Finland74357%78.481.0-2.6
39 Montenegro74357%69.376.4-7.1
40 Hungary116555%81.376.6+4.6
41 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
42 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
43 Nigeria84450%77.476.0+1.4
44 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
45 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
46 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
47 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
48 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
49 Netherlands115645%80.579.3+1.3
50 Greece73443%72.770.0+2.7
51 Estonia73443%82.381.1+1.1
52 Latvia73443%83.182.9+0.3
53 Bahamas73443%92.393.6-1.3
54 Philippines73443%78.179.7-1.6
55 Saudi Arabia73443%77.078.9-1.9
56 Slovenia73443%82.984.7-1.9
57 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
58 South Korea73443%77.480.1-2.7
59 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
60 Cape Verde83538%74.579.0-4.5
61 Bosnia & Herzegovina62433%79.077.2+1.8
62 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
63 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
66 Israel72529%80.683.3-2.7
67 Puerto Rico72529%87.491.7-4.3
68 Panama72529%74.487.3-12.9
69 D.R. Congo72529%66.685.0-18.4
70 Syria72529%65.784.7-19.0
71 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
72 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Turkey2728201994
Lithuania1321131966
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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