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Lithuania vs Iceland Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 99-82
26-14 26-19 27-23 20-26
Position#41
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#60
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game83.7
EuropeWorld CupRound 4· Svyturio Arena
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lithuania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iceland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLithuania
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#20
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 86
A27/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
94-67
94
67
+27
98avg 86
H29/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
88-107
88
107
-19
88avg 86
H30/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
81-78
81
78
+3
76avg 86
A01/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
74-71
74
71
+3
69avg 86
H03/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
88-79
88
79
+9
86avg 86
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
77avg 86
H09/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#81
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Italy
#29
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Iceland
#60
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
18-18
24-17
29-20
26-15
21-13
19-17
28-22
20-32
27-23
25-28
16-24
20-21
25-15
12-12
24-30
14-21
19-18
21-14
20-18
28-18
19-19
19-17
22-25
19-24
19-20
14-20
24-23
16-21
22-30
30-16
21-21
19-16
20-18
15-20
27-28
21-24
23-19
24-11
17-32
166.5Avg total
85.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.085.3170.3-0.333%
Season at home (1)81.082.0163.0-1.00%
Season away (2)87.087.0174.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)85.081.5166.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)83.884.4168.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.791.5167.2-15.80%
vs Similar (8)81.174.4155.5+6.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.469.9156.2+16.588%
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIceland
Date
Competition
Hungary
#35
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
83-71
83
71
+12
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 67
A28/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
64-71
64
71
-7
60avg 67
H30/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
75-84
75
84
-9
67avg 67
A31/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
79avg 67
H02/09
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
74-114
74
114
-40
60avg 67
A04/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#29
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
11-28
25-24
21-15
26-16
20-22
23-16
14-17
19-23
13-13
20-24
19-23
21-17
15-15
16-14
12-25
16-19
16-22
19-20
24-23
20-21
15-15
11-24
33-27
9-36
25-30
12-24
28-24
21-21
17-13
23-20
20-22
17-17
18-26
16-26
33-21
24-21
19-23
11-24
32-17
162.3Avg total
77.5Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.783.7167.3+0.067%
Season at home (2)85.087.5172.5-2.550%
Season away (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.584.8162.3-7.330%
Last 5 (5)80.890.4171.2-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.485.0157.4-12.621%
vs Similar (9)84.985.4170.3-0.644%
vs Weaker (7)80.074.6154.6+5.486%
This opponent (Lithuania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
LithuaniaIceland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LithuaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#20
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H29/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H30/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A01/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H03/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H09/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#81
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A27/11
World Cup
Italy
#29
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H30/11
World Cup
Iceland
#60
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A27/02
World Cup
81.9Avg total
41.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.881.4+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.840.183.9+3.856%-
Last 30 away (14)41.137.478.5+3.671%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.081.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.883.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.242.780.8-4.533%-
vs Similar (8)44.439.083.4+5.475%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.237.380.6+5.969%-
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#35
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H30/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A31/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H02/09
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
34-66
34
66
-32
A04/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#29
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A27/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H30/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H27/02
World Cup
78.1Avg total
36.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.441.077.4-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.739.776.4-3.036%-
Last 30 away (16)36.142.178.2-6.038%-
Last 10 (10)36.341.878.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.681.6-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.241.674.9-8.429%-
vs Similar (9)38.940.679.4-1.733%-
vs Weaker (7)39.640.379.9-0.757%-
This opponent (Lithuania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lithuaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.5
57.4%
-45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
-21.9
🏀 Free throws25.518.2
71.4%
-18.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Icelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iceland: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.5
51.2%
-35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.4
30.0%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws18.713.7
73.3%
-13.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lithuania
LLWLWWWLWW
Iceland
WLWLLLLLWL
#41
League position
#60
+14.1
Net rating
-13.1
111.9
Offensive rating
100.0
97.9
Defensive rating
113.1
54.7%
Effective FG%
48.4%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.2%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.2%
3-point %
30.0%
74.2%
Assist %
70.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Lithuania   ■ Iceland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lithuania wins
1
Iceland wins
DateGameScore
27/02/26Iceland v Lithuania86-85
Lithuanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26AIceland85-86
30/11/25HItaly81-82
27/11/25AGreat Britain89-88
09/09/25HGreece76-87
06/09/25HLatvia88-79
03/09/25HSweden74-71
01/09/25AFinland81-78
30/08/25HGermany88-107
29/08/25HMontenegro94-67
27/08/25AGreat Britain94-70
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HLithuania86-85
30/11/25HGreat Britain84-90
27/11/25AItaly81-76
04/09/25AFrance74-114
02/09/25HSlovenia79-87
31/08/25APoland75-84
30/08/25HBelgium64-71
28/08/25AIsrael71-83
23/02/25HTurkey83-71
20/02/25AHungary78-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lithuania
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game85.081.087.0
Allowed / game85.382.087.0
Point differential-0.3-1.0+0.0
Avg total170.3163.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iceland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game83.785.081.0
Allowed / game83.787.576.0
Point differential+0.0-2.5+5.0
Avg total167.3172.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Ivory Coast330100%95.071.0+24.0
4 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
5 Uruguay330100%79.362.0+17.3
6 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
7 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
8 Brazil330100%84.770.7+14.0
9 Australia440100%87.275.5+11.8
10 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
11 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
12 Mali330100%83.376.3+7.0
13 Colombia220100%83.078.0+5.0
14 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
15 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
16 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
17 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
18 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
19 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
20 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
21 Argentina32167%76.359.3+17.0
22 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
23 Senegal32167%84.770.7+14.0
24 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
25 Angola32167%84.073.3+10.7
26 Italy32167%83.773.0+10.7
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Portugal32167%83.373.3+10.0
29 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
30 Lebanon32167%84.074.7+9.3
31 Qatar32167%86.377.0+9.3
32 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
33 Saudi Arabia32167%73.367.3+6.0
34 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
35 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
36 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
37 Iceland32167%83.783.7+0.0
38 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
39 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
40 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
41 Switzerland138562%74.267.8+6.4
42 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
43 Romania116555%76.276.8-0.6
44 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
45 Philippines42250%78.569.8+8.8
46 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
47 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
48 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
49 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
50 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
51 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
54 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
55 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
56 Egypt31233%80.073.7+6.3
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%75.775.7+0.0
58 Lithuania31233%85.085.3-0.3
59 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
60 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
61 Georgia31233%76.384.3-8.0
62 Great Britain31233%78.388.7-10.3
63 Panama31233%75.386.0-10.7
64 D.R. Congo31233%67.383.3-16.0
65 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
66 Denmark72529%74.481.6-7.1
67 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
68 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
72 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
75 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
76 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
77 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
81 Venezuela2020%81.087.0-6.0
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
84 Chile3030%68.782.0-13.3
85 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
86 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
87 Madagascar3030%73.095.0-22.0
88 Cuba3030%66.089.7-23.7
89 Uganda3030%64.388.3-24.0
90 India3030%60.385.0-24.7
91 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
92 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
93 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lithuania2626272099
Iceland1419232682
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