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Greece vs Turkey Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-94
16-26 15-23 20-23 17-22
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Turkey 🏆
Position#2
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game73.6
EuropeEuroBasketEuroBasket - Semi-finals· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025Neutral venue
Meetings · Greece v Turkey
12 Sep 2025
GREE68
TURK94
25 Feb 2022
GREE72
TURK71
19 Aug 2011
GREE62
TURK38
31 Aug 2010
GREE65
TURK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Turkey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#12
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 73
H24/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
85avg 73
A21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
63-53
63
53
+10
56avg 73
H24/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
75-66
75
66
+9
65avg 73
H28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
96-69
96
69
+27
98avg 73
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
94-53
94
53
+41
100avg 73
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 73
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
89avg 73
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 73
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 73
A09/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
23-17
17-18
20-17
27-13
10-27
23-14
17-23
18-18
16-5
14-16
15-14
22-12
14-20
20-13
19-21
22-13
21-18
26-16
27-22
22-13
24-16
23-12
25-12
25-19
13-25
14-17
25-19
31-20
19-15
18-28
22-23
28-22
22-19
17-18
17-20
24-19
20-19
20-14
23-24
155.4Avg total
83.6Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.172.7158.9+13.486%
Season at home (3)78.775.0153.7+3.767%
Season away (4)91.871.0162.8+20.8100%
Last 10 (10)83.671.8155.4+11.890%
Last 5 (5)86.474.8161.2+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.384.2160.5-7.833%
vs Similar (13)83.777.1160.8+6.677%
vs Weaker (11)84.572.1156.6+12.591%
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTurkey
Date
Competition
Iceland
#25
L
71-83
71
83
-12
66avg 81
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#3
L
71-73
71
73
-2
64avg 81
A15/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
79-65
79
65
+14
70avg 81
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Latvia
#11
W
93-73
93
73
+20
97avg 81
A27/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 81
H29/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
95-54
95
54
+41
101avg 81
H30/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
84-64
84
64
+20
83avg 81
A01/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
W
95-90
95
90
+5
99avg 81
H03/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
85-79
85
79
+6
75avg 81
H06/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
90avg 81
H09/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
22-20
16-23
17-14
25-17
10-11
16-21
20-24
23-13
18-16
19-12
19-24
24-21
23-18
25-16
21-18
21-27
24-10
27-25
20-16
22-13
29-14
22-10
22-17
25-13
21-14
19-22
19-15
19-18
27-31
28-24
21-17
20-23
17-19
26-13
22-24
19-19
27-13
19-18
26-27
159.2Avg total
85.6Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.773.6164.3+17.1100%
Season at home (5)91.675.6167.2+16.0100%
Season away (2)88.568.5157.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.673.6159.2+12.080%
Last 5 (5)90.072.8162.8+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.181.5156.6-6.412%
vs Similar (8)76.470.9147.2+5.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.674.4162.0+13.386%
This opponent (Greece) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
GreeceTurkey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H24/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H24/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A09/09
EuroBasket
76.3Avg total
41.8Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.478.0+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.637.274.8+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)43.337.680.9+5.869%-
Last 10 (10)41.834.576.3+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.483.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.840.275.0-5.317%-
vs Similar (13)43.136.879.9+6.277%-
vs Weaker (11)40.936.577.5+4.464%-
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TurkeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iceland
#25
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A15/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Latvia
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H29/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H30/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A01/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H03/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H06/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H09/09
EuroBasket
78.8Avg total
43.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.977.9+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.337.576.8+1.847%-
Last 30 away (13)40.938.379.2+2.654%-
Last 10 (10)43.235.678.8+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.480.6+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.044.481.4-7.412%-
vs Similar (8)37.835.573.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.035.578.5+7.571%-
This opponent (Greece) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.0
54.9%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.9
35.4%
33.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.814.9
71.6%
73.1%14.9
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Turkeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.1
56.8%
52.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.3
37.2%
33.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.416.9
79.0%
73.1%16.9
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece
WWWLWWWWWW
Turkey
WWWWWWWWLL
#3
League position
#2
+16.0
Net rating
+17.5
111.8
Offensive rating
120.1
95.9
Defensive rating
102.5
54.1%
Effective FG%
56.4%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.4%
3-point %
37.2%
67.5%
Assist %
68.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 120.1Defence95.9 · 102.5Shooting54.1% · 56.4%3-point %35.4% · 37.2%Ball care17.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds30.4% · 35.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Greece   ■ Turkey
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Greece wins
1
Turkey wins
DateGameScore
28/02/22Turkey v Greece67-76
25/02/22Greece v Turkey72-71
03/07/21Turkey v Greece63-81
19/08/11Greece v Turkey62-38
31/08/10Greece v Turkey65-76
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/09/25ALithuania87-76
07/09/25HIsrael84-79
04/09/25ASpain90-86
02/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina77-80
31/08/25AGeorgia94-53
30/08/25ACyprus96-69
28/08/25HItaly75-66
24/02/25HNetherlands63-53
21/02/25ACzech Republic93-89 OT
24/11/24HGreat Britain77-67
Turkeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/09/25HPoland91-77
06/09/25HSweden85-79
03/09/25HSerbia95-90
01/09/25AEstonia84-64
30/08/25HPortugal95-54
29/08/25HCzech Republic92-78
27/08/25ALatvia93-73
16/08/25HCzech Republic79-65
15/08/25AGermany71-73
23/02/25AIceland71-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game86.178.791.8
Allowed / game72.775.071.0
Point differential+13.4+3.7+20.8
Avg total158.9153.7162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Turkey
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.791.688.5
Allowed / game73.675.668.5
Point differential+17.1+16.0+20.0
Avg total164.3167.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%60%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany880100%101.475.0+26.4
2 Turkey770100%90.773.6+17.1
3 Greece76186%86.172.7+13.4
4 Lithuania75271%85.079.9+5.1
5 France64267%88.578.5+10.0
6 Serbia64267%86.776.7+10.0
7 Italy64267%78.869.5+9.3
8 Finland85362%87.183.6+3.5
9 Slovenia74357%92.089.7+2.3
10 Poland74357%79.678.6+1.0
11 Latvia63350%81.878.7+3.2
12 Israel63350%82.780.8+1.8
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina63350%78.880.2-1.3
14 Georgia73443%75.178.4-3.3
15 Spain52340%79.470.8+8.6
16 Belgium52340%72.680.6-8.0
17 Portugal62433%62.275.5-13.3
18 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
19 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
20 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
21 Sweden61517%80.383.8-3.5
22 Iceland5050%72.687.8-15.2
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus5050%59.092.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece1615201768
Turkey2623232294
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