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Turkey vs Serbia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-86
28-21 20-23 28-19 18-23
Position#4
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game69.7
Turkey 🏆
vs
Position#21
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 4· Basketbol Gelisim Merkezi
Other2027
Meetings · Turkey v Serbia
02 Mar 2026
TURK94
SERB86
03 Sep 2025
TURK95
SERB90
28 Aug 2022
TURK72
SERB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turkey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTurkey
Date
Competition
Portugal
#17
W
95-54
95
54
+41
101avg 85
H30/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
84-64
84
64
+20
83avg 85
A01/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
W
95-90
95
90
+5
99avg 85
H03/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
85-79
85
79
+6
75avg 85
H06/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
90avg 85
H09/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
94avg 85
A12/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
73avg 85
H14/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
93-71
93
71
+22
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
85-60
85
60
+25
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Serbia
#21
W
82-78
82
78
+4
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
29-14
22-10
22-17
25-13
21-14
19-22
19-15
19-18
27-31
28-24
21-17
20-23
17-19
26-13
22-24
19-19
27-13
19-18
26-27
26-16
23-15
23-20
22-17
22-24
24-16
21-26
16-22
29-20
17-25
21-13
26-13
23-17
18-8
24-17
20-18
22-13
24-18
11-23
25-24
161.6Avg total
88.7Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.769.7156.3+17.0100%
Season at home (1)93.071.0164.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)83.569.0152.5+14.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.772.9161.6+15.890%
Last 5 (5)87.473.0160.4+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.378.6153.9-3.314%
vs Similar (6)78.869.8148.7+9.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.073.4161.4+14.688%
This opponent (Serbia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
Germany
#3
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 96
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Estonia
#18
W
98-64
98
64
+34
112avg 96
H27/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
80-69
80
69
+11
88avg 96
A29/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
82avg 96
A30/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
82-60
82
60
+22
90avg 96
H01/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
84avg 96
A03/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 96
H06/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#43
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Turkey
#4
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
20-17
32-23
21-26
32-12
24-17
30-15
12-20
23-19
20-14
21-16
16-20
22-18
20-20
25-18
17-24
27-5
18-18
16-20
21-17
18-19
31-27
24-28
17-21
24-28
24-16
18-24
20-24
20-30
14-27
25-13
31-16
13-15
22-24
16-19
23-14
13-22
18-24
23-11
24-25
163.4Avg total
85.3Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.780.0160.7+0.767%
Season at home (2)84.084.0168.0+0.050%
Season away (1)74.072.0146.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.378.1163.4+7.270%
Last 5 (5)83.685.4169.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)87.787.7175.3+0.033%
vs Similar (4)97.878.2176.0+19.575%
vs Weaker (23)86.773.9160.6+12.883%
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
TurkeySerbia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TurkeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portugal
#17
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H30/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A01/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H03/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H06/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H09/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A12/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/11
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A30/11
World Cup
Serbia
#21
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A27/02
World Cup
80.3Avg total
45.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.536.678.1+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.137.678.8+3.559%-
Last 30 away (13)42.135.277.3+6.869%-
Last 10 (10)45.434.980.3+10.580%-
Last 5 (5)45.634.480.0+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.141.779.9-3.629%-
vs Similar (6)39.534.774.2+4.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.635.278.8+8.576%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Estonia
#18
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H27/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A29/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A30/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H01/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A03/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H06/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#43
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H27/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A30/11
World Cup
Turkey
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H27/02
World Cup
80.8Avg total
42.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.137.382.3+7.880%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.738.282.9+6.580%-
Last 30 away (15)45.436.381.7+9.180%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.780.8+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.446.485.8-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)44.043.787.7+0.367%-
vs Similar (4)52.039.891.8+12.275%-
vs Weaker (23)44.036.080.0+8.083%-
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Turkeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.8
57.1%
-41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.3
40.4%
-30.9
🏀 Free throws21.316.2
76.1%
-16.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.921.9
62.8%
-43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.1
36.8%
-27.3
🏀 Free throws22.117.3
78.3%
-17.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Turkey
WWWLWWWWWW
Serbia
LWWLLWWWWW
#4
League position
#21
+22.6
Net rating
+16.4
123.2
Offensive rating
121.2
100.6
Defensive rating
104.7
58.6%
Effective FG%
59.6%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
40.4%
3-point %
36.8%
69.5%
Assist %
72.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Turkey   ■ Serbia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Turkey wins
2
Serbia wins
DateGameScore
27/02/26Serbia v Turkey78-82
03/09/25Turkey v Serbia95-90
14/11/22Serbia v Turkey77-76
28/08/22Turkey v Serbia72-79
11/09/10Serbia v Turkey82-83
Turkeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26ASerbia82-78
30/11/25ASwitzerland85-60
27/11/25HBosnia & Herzegovina93-71
14/09/25HGermany83-88
12/09/25AGreece94-68
09/09/25HPoland91-77
06/09/25HSweden85-79
03/09/25HSerbia95-90
01/09/25AEstonia84-64
30/08/25HPortugal95-54
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HTurkey78-82
30/11/25ABosnia & Herzegovina74-72
27/11/25HSwitzerland90-86
06/09/25HFinland86-92
03/09/25ATurkey90-95
01/09/25HCzech Republic82-60
30/08/25ALatvia84-80
29/08/25APortugal80-69
27/08/25HEstonia98-64
16/08/25AGermany91-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Turkey
World Cup 2027
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.793.083.5
Allowed / game69.771.069.0
Point differential+17.0+22.0+14.5
Avg total156.3164.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Serbia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game80.784.074.0
Allowed / game80.084.072.0
Point differential+0.7+0.0+2.0
Avg total160.7168.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Ivory Coast330100%95.071.0+24.0
4 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
5 Uruguay330100%79.362.0+17.3
6 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
7 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
8 Brazil330100%84.770.7+14.0
9 Australia440100%87.275.5+11.8
10 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
11 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
12 Mali330100%83.376.3+7.0
13 Colombia220100%83.078.0+5.0
14 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
15 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
16 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
17 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
18 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
19 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
20 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
21 Argentina32167%76.359.3+17.0
22 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
23 Senegal32167%84.770.7+14.0
24 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
25 Angola32167%84.073.3+10.7
26 Italy32167%83.773.0+10.7
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
29 Lebanon32167%84.074.7+9.3
30 Qatar32167%86.377.0+9.3
31 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
32 Saudi Arabia32167%73.367.3+6.0
33 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
34 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
35 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
36 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
37 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
38 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
39 Switzerland138562%74.267.8+6.4
40 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
41 Romania127558%78.278.4-0.2
42 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
43 Philippines42250%78.569.8+8.8
44 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
45 Portugal42250%86.580.2+6.2
46 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
47 Lithuania42250%88.584.5+4.0
48 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
49 Georgia42250%79.578.2+1.2
50 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
51 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
52 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
53 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
54 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
55 Iceland42250%83.287.5-4.2
56 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
57 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
58 Egypt31233%80.073.7+6.3
59 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%75.775.7+0.0
60 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
61 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
62 Great Britain31233%78.388.7-10.3
63 Panama31233%75.386.0-10.7
64 D.R. Congo31233%67.383.3-16.0
65 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
66 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
67 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
68 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
69 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
70 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
71 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
72 Denmark82625%72.682.5-9.9
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
75 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
76 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
77 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
81 Venezuela2020%81.087.0-6.0
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
84 Chile3030%68.782.0-13.3
85 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
86 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
87 Madagascar3030%73.095.0-22.0
88 Cuba3030%66.089.7-23.7
89 Uganda3030%64.388.3-24.0
90 India3030%60.385.0-24.7
91 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
92 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
93 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Turkey2820281894
Serbia2123192386
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