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Iceland vs Lithuania Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-85
24-21 19-23 11-24 32-17
Position#60
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game83.0
Iceland 🏆
vs
Position#41
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 3· Laugardalsholl
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iceland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIceland
Date
Competition
Italy
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
83-71
83
71
+12
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 67
A28/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
64-71
64
71
-7
60avg 67
H30/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
75-84
75
84
-9
67avg 67
A31/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
79avg 67
H02/09
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
74-114
74
114
-40
60avg 67
A04/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#29
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-9
10-20
26-27
23-18
21-20
11-28
25-24
21-15
26-16
20-22
23-16
14-17
19-23
13-13
20-24
19-23
21-17
15-15
16-14
12-25
16-19
16-22
19-20
24-23
20-21
15-15
11-24
33-27
9-36
25-30
12-24
28-24
21-21
17-13
23-20
20-22
17-17
18-26
16-26
33-21
160.7Avg total
77.0Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.583.0165.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)84.090.0174.0-6.00%
Season away (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.083.7160.7-6.730%
Last 5 (5)78.690.2168.8-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.485.0156.4-13.615%
vs Similar (9)84.985.4170.3-0.644%
vs Weaker (8)81.875.1156.9+6.688%
This opponent (Lithuania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLithuania
Date
Competition
Estonia
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H24/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 86
A27/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
94-67
94
67
+27
98avg 86
H29/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
88-107
88
107
-19
88avg 86
H30/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
81-78
81
78
+3
76avg 86
A01/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
74-71
74
71
+3
69avg 86
H03/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
88-79
88
79
+9
86avg 86
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
77avg 86
H09/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#81
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Italy
#29
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
32-24
7-21
15-11
23-15
18-18
24-17
29-20
26-15
21-13
19-17
28-22
20-32
27-23
25-28
16-24
20-21
25-15
12-12
24-30
14-21
19-18
21-14
20-18
28-18
19-19
19-17
22-25
19-24
19-20
14-20
24-23
16-21
22-30
30-16
21-21
19-16
20-18
15-20
27-28
165.1Avg total
84.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.085.0170.0+0.050%
Season at home (1)81.082.0163.0-1.00%
Season away (1)89.088.0177.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.780.4165.1+4.370%
Last 5 (5)81.681.4163.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.791.5167.2-15.80%
vs Similar (9)84.078.2162.2+5.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.568.8155.3+17.793%
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
IcelandLithuania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#9
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A25/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H30/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A31/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H02/09
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
34-66
34
66
-32
A04/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#29
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A27/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H30/11
World Cup
75.5Avg total
35.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.440.877.2-4.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.239.475.6-3.238%-
Last 30 away (17)36.541.978.5-5.441%-
Last 10 (10)35.240.375.5-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.844.078.8-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.541.573.9-9.031%-
vs Similar (9)38.940.679.4-1.733%-
vs Weaker (8)40.040.180.1-0.162%-
This opponent (Lithuania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LithuaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia
#10
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H24/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H29/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H30/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A01/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H03/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H09/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#81
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A27/11
World Cup
Italy
#29
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H30/11
World Cup
83.5Avg total
43.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.981.4+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.640.484.1+3.253%-
Last 30 away (13)40.837.077.8+3.869%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.083.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.080.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.242.780.8-4.533%-
vs Similar (9)44.039.883.8+4.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.236.980.1+6.367%-
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Icelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iceland: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.5
51.2%
-35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.4
30.0%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws18.713.7
73.3%
-13.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lithuaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.5
57.4%
-45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
-21.9
🏀 Free throws25.518.2
71.4%
-18.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iceland
LWLLLLLWLW
Lithuania
LWLWWWLWWW
#60
League position
#41
-13.1
Net rating
+14.1
100.0
Offensive rating
111.9
113.1
Defensive rating
97.9
48.4%
Effective FG%
54.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.4%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.42
30.0%
3-point %
33.2%
70.7%
Assist %
74.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Iceland   ■ Lithuania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iceland wins
0
Lithuania wins
No previous meetings.
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HGreat Britain84-90
27/11/25AItaly81-76
04/09/25AFrance74-114
02/09/25HSlovenia79-87
31/08/25APoland75-84
30/08/25HBelgium64-71
28/08/25AIsrael71-83
23/02/25HTurkey83-71
20/02/25AHungary78-87
25/11/24AItaly81-74
Lithuanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HItaly81-82
27/11/25AGreat Britain89-88
09/09/25HGreece76-87
06/09/25HLatvia88-79
03/09/25HSweden74-71
01/09/25AFinland81-78
30/08/25HGermany88-107
29/08/25HMontenegro94-67
27/08/25AGreat Britain94-70
24/02/25HEstonia82-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iceland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game82.584.081.0
Allowed / game83.090.076.0
Point differential-0.5-6.0+5.0
Avg total165.5174.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lithuania
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game85.081.089.0
Allowed / game85.082.088.0
Point differential+0.0-1.0+1.0
Avg total170.0163.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Argentina220100%92.558.5+34.0
2 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
3 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
4 Croatia770100%94.369.6+24.7
5 Angola110100%90.068.0+22.0
6 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
7 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
8 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
9 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
10 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
11 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
12 Ivory Coast110100%90.080.0+10.0
13 Mali110100%86.077.0+9.0
14 D.R. Congo110100%87.079.0+8.0
15 Australia330100%85.378.7+6.7
16 Poland330100%86.381.0+5.3
17 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
18 Netherlands75271%80.474.4+6.0
19 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
20 Philippines32167%82.762.0+20.7
21 Slovenia32167%95.378.7+16.7
22 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
23 Germany32167%86.775.3+11.3
24 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
25 Portugal32167%83.373.3+10.0
26 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
27 Lebanon32167%84.074.7+9.3
28 Qatar32167%86.377.0+9.3
29 Japan32167%83.374.7+8.7
30 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
31 Saudi Arabia32167%73.367.3+6.0
32 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
33 France32167%76.372.3+4.0
34 Estonia32167%91.389.0+2.3
35 South Korea32167%78.376.3+2.0
36 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
37 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
38 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
39 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
40 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
41 Czech Republic32167%84.390.3-6.0
42 Switzerland138562%74.267.8+6.4
43 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
44 Hungary74357%81.174.7+6.4
45 Romania116555%76.276.8-0.6
46 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
47 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
48 Finland21150%82.582.5+0.0
49 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
50 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
51 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
54 Austria115645%84.678.8+5.8
55 Latvia31233%82.079.3+2.7
56 Israel31233%78.076.0+2.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%75.775.7+0.0
58 New Zealand31233%75.076.3-1.3
59 China31233%79.783.3-3.7
60 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
61 Chinese Taipei31233%71.378.3-7.0
62 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
63 Georgia31233%76.384.3-8.0
64 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
65 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
66 Denmark72529%74.481.6-7.1
67 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
68 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
69 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
70 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
71 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
72 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
73 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
74 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
75 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
76 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
77 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
78 Madagascar1010%79.087.0-8.0
79 Belgium2020%74.083.0-9.0
80 Egypt1010%77.086.0-9.0
81 Senegal1010%80.090.0-10.0
82 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
83 Sweden3030%80.093.0-13.0
84 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
85 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
86 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
87 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
88 Uganda1010%68.090.0-22.0
89 India3030%60.385.0-24.7
90 Guam3030%65.791.7-26.0
91 Nicaragua1010%72.099.0-27.0
92 Cyprus3030%59.392.3-33.0
93 Cuba2020%58.592.5-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iceland2419113286
Lithuania2123241785
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