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Turkey W vs Germany W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 73-93
15-23 13-27 24-23 21-20
Position#5
Record8-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game63.2
Turkey W
vs
Germany W 🏆
Position#11
Record6-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game70.2
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenEuroBasket Women - Semi-finals· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turkey W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Turkey WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Slovakia W
#10
W
75-40
75
40
+35
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
72-65
72
65
+7
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
101-54
101
54
+47
110avg 81
H07/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
W
65-50
65
50
+15
62avg 81
A10/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
83-76
83
76
+7
81avg 81
H06/02
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
99-61
99
61
+38
98avg 81
A09/02
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
69-71
69
71
-2
61avg 81
H18/06
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
91-67
91
67
+24
102avg 81
A19/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
83-72
83
72
+11
90avg 81
A21/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
69avg 81
A24/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-8
24-12
10-6
22-14
20-17
19-9
18-24
15-15
25-16
33-15
20-10
23-13
19-9
13-9
19-20
14-12
22-15
16-18
26-23
19-20
23-12
21-17
30-14
25-18
23-22
21-14
10-12
15-23
27-13
24-21
17-19
23-14
17-21
26-14
19-24
21-13
17-20
18-11
15-19
18-18
144.4Avg total
81.2Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.263.2144.4+18.080%
Season at home (4)82.060.2142.2+21.875%
Season away (6)80.765.2145.8+15.583%
Last 10 (10)81.263.2144.4+18.080%
Last 5 (5)83.269.4152.6+13.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)60.966.1127.0-5.212%
vs Similar (6)71.762.3134.0+9.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.763.3147.0+20.481%
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Germany WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
USA W
#1
L
68-87
68
87
-19
59avg 64
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 64
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Greece W
#22
W
79-76
79
76
+3
80avg 64
H07/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
74-67
74
67
+7
73avg 64
H10/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
60-79
60
79
-19
54avg 64
A06/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
67-64
67
64
+3
64avg 64
A09/02
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
89-76
89
76
+13
87avg 64
H19/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
60-79
60
79
-19
53avg 64
A20/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
80-67
80
67
+13
85avg 64
A22/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
59-83
59
83
-24
43avg 64
A25/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
10-25
17-28
22-18
19-23
14-22
16-21
22-18
19-19
20-16
19-18
21-23
20-20
17-17
20-10
17-20
21-23
17-15
6-22
16-19
20-16
17-10
11-13
19-25
27-16
17-11
14-22
31-27
16-19
14-17
13-18
17-25
26-8
22-24
15-20
17-15
21-21
15-20
17-24
6-18
146.9Avg total
70.7Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.670.2140.8+0.460%
Season at home (4)73.872.2146.0+1.575%
Season away (6)68.568.8137.3-0.350%
Last 10 (10)70.776.2146.9-5.550%
Last 5 (5)71.073.8144.8-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)62.174.8136.9-12.725%
vs Similar (5)71.667.2138.8+4.4100%
vs Weaker (9)79.257.7136.9+21.6100%
This opponent (Turkey W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +7.5+7.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +7.5+7.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
Turkey WGermany W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Turkey WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovakia W
#10
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H09/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A12/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H07/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
W
32-18
32
18
+14
A10/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/02
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A09/02
European Championship Women
France W
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H18/06
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A19/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A21/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A24/06
European Championship Women
72.0Avg total
42.7Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.430.467.8+7.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.331.069.3+7.360%-
Last 30 away (15)36.529.766.2+6.760%-
Last 10 (10)42.729.372.0+13.4100%-
Last 5 (5)43.433.076.4+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.632.663.2-2.025%-
vs Similar (6)35.230.065.2+5.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.629.471.0+12.275%-
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Germany WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USA W
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Greece W
#22
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A06/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A09/02
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H19/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A20/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A22/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/06
European Championship Women
72.9Avg total
37.1Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.568.8-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.034.468.4-0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)34.734.669.3+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.135.872.9+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.032.471.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.936.168.1-4.225%-
vs Similar (5)35.432.668.0+2.860%-
vs Weaker (9)38.032.770.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Turkey W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Turkey Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey W: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.6
51.4%
45.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.57.1
34.6%
30.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.215.7
74.1%
72.4%15.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Germany Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany W: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.4
47.3%
45.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.7
32.8%
30.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.611.8
80.8%
72.4%11.8
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Turkey W
LWWLWWWWWW
Germany W
LWLWWLWWLL
#5
League position
#11
+24.5
Net rating
-7.3
110.5
Offensive rating
92.3
86.0
Defensive rating
99.6
51.6%
Effective FG%
48.0%
42.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
19.4%
Turnover %
22.7%
38.6%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.6%
3-point %
32.8%
73.9%
Assist %
74.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 92.3Defence86.0 · 99.6Shooting51.6% · 48.0%3-point %34.6% · 32.8%Ball care19.4% · 22.7%Off. rebounds38.6% · 24.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Turkey W   ■ Germany W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Turkey W wins
0
Germany W wins
No previous meetings.
Turkey Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/06/25AItaly W74-76 OT
21/06/25AGreece W83-72
19/06/25ASwitzerland W91-67
18/06/25HFrance W69-71
09/02/25ARomania W99-61
06/02/25HIceland W83-76
10/11/24ASlovakia W65-50
07/11/24HRomania W101-54
12/11/23AIceland W72-65
09/11/23HSlovakia W75-40
Germany Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/06/25ABelgium W59-83
22/06/25AGreat Britain W80-67
20/06/25ASpain W60-79
19/06/25HSweden W89-76
09/02/25AGreece W67-64
06/02/25AItaly W60-79
10/11/24HCzech Republic W74-67
07/11/24HGreece W79-76
07/08/24HFrance W71-84
04/08/24HUSA W68-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Turkey W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL80%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%75%83%
Points / game81.282.080.7
Allowed / game63.260.265.2
Point differential+18.0+21.8+15.5
Avg total144.4142.2145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Germany W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game70.673.868.5
Allowed / game70.272.268.8
Point differential+0.4+1.5-0.3
Avg total140.8146.0137.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W10100100%92.948.6+44.3
2 Spain W10100100%77.661.5+16.1
3 Belgium W109190%84.955.9+29.0
4 Turkey W108280%81.263.2+18.0
5 Italy W108280%69.560.9+8.6
6 Sweden W97278%75.466.6+8.9
7 Slovenia W96367%77.668.3+9.2
8 Croatia W64267%76.067.8+8.2
9 Luxembourg W64267%63.257.2+6.0
10 Slovakia W64267%71.565.7+5.8
11 Portugal W96367%60.058.8+1.2
12 Latvia W64267%75.076.5-1.5
13 Germany W106460%70.670.2+0.4
14 Serbia W95456%74.859.4+15.3
15 Lithuania W116555%75.669.5+6.1
16 Poland W63350%79.862.3+17.5
17 Hungary W63350%73.567.7+5.8
18 Czech Republic W115645%69.169.9-0.8
19 Great Britain W94544%72.363.8+8.6
20 Montenegro W94544%65.466.8-1.3
21 Switzerland W94544%62.269.1-6.9
22 Greece W93633%68.872.7-3.9
23 Bulgaria W62433%76.381.5-5.2
24 Ukraine W62433%64.270.0-5.8
25 Netherlands W62433%63.770.3-6.7
26 Israel W62433%71.880.2-8.3
27 Finland W62433%62.577.3-14.8
28 Denmark W61517%66.773.8-7.2
29 Iceland W61517%68.877.7-8.8
30 Romania W61517%66.588.3-21.8
31 Estonia W61517%51.577.8-26.3
32 Austria W6060%53.074.0-21.0
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W6060%54.083.2-29.2
34 North Macedonia W6060%56.086.8-30.8
35 Ireland W6060%55.597.2-41.7
36 Azerbaijan W6060%41.0105.5-64.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Turkey W1513242173
Germany W2327232093
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