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Spain W vs Germany W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-60
19-16 17-14 18-13 25-17
Position#2
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game57.0
Spain W 🏆
vs
Germany W
Position#11
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game67.6
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 2· Edel-optics.de Arena
Women2024
Meetings · Spain W v Germany W
20 Jun 2025
SPAI79
GERM60
22 Jun 2023
SPAI67
GERM42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spain WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hungary W
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
no box
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
China W
#6
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
78avg 74
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
63-62
63
62
+1
62avg 74
A31/07
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
70-62
70
62
+8
80avg 74
A03/08
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
53avg 74
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
66-59
66
59
+7
no box
H07/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
78-62
78
62
+16
82avg 74
H10/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
76-45
76
45
+31
82avg 74
A06/02
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
81-64
81
64
+17
77avg 74
A09/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
85-70
85
70
+15
79avg 74
A19/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
8-22
23-18
23-8
13-22
20-15
20-22
23-17
18-9
21-16
5-19
19-18
16-13
21-15
18-10
15-24
26-26
11-22
12-19
17-12
16-7
15-18
19-16
16-18
18-18
25-16
21-16
14-12
28-17
15-10
16-8
17-10
19-15
17-16
28-13
17-20
18-13
30-12
20-24
17-21
141.2Avg total
74.8Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.957.0132.9+18.9100%
Season at home (3)73.051.7124.7+21.3100%
Season away (4)78.061.0139.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.866.4141.2+8.490%
Last 5 (5)77.260.0137.2+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.571.8140.2-3.250%
vs Similar (4)70.866.8137.5+4.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)77.957.8135.7+20.091%
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Germany WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brazil W
#15
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
83-69
83
69
+14
84avg 65
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
75-64
75
64
+11
76avg 65
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
68-87
68
87
-19
59avg 65
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 65
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Greece W
#22
W
79-76
79
76
+3
80avg 65
H07/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
74-67
74
67
+7
73avg 65
H10/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
60-79
60
79
-19
54avg 65
A06/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
67-64
67
64
+3
64avg 65
A09/02
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
89-76
89
76
+13
87avg 65
H19/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
20-21
18-18
16-18
25-11
21-14
14-17
23-27
21-16
21-20
17-13
16-15
19-16
10-25
17-28
22-18
19-23
14-22
16-21
22-18
19-19
20-16
19-18
21-23
20-20
17-17
20-10
17-20
21-23
17-15
6-22
16-19
20-16
17-10
11-13
19-25
27-16
17-11
14-22
31-27
147.6Avg total
73.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.467.6140.0+4.971%
Season at home (4)73.872.2146.0+1.575%
Season away (3)70.761.3132.0+9.367%
Last 10 (10)73.973.7147.6+0.270%
Last 5 (5)73.872.4146.2+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)60.974.7135.6-13.921%
vs Similar (5)71.667.2138.8+4.4100%
vs Weaker (11)77.559.8137.4+17.791%
This opponent (Spain W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
Spain WGermany W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spain WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary W
#11
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
China W
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A31/07
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A03/08
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H07/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A06/02
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A09/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A19/06
European Championship Women
70.0Avg total
37.4Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.929.967.9+8.070%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.231.269.4+7.065%-
Last 30 away (13)37.628.365.9+9.377%-
Last 10 (10)37.432.670.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.228.468.6+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.533.868.2+0.850%-
vs Similar (4)33.536.069.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.428.167.5+11.277%-
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Germany WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brazil W
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Greece W
#22
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A06/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A09/02
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H19/06
European Championship Women
72.9Avg total
38.4Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.334.567.8-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.034.868.8-0.835%-
Last 30 away (13)32.334.166.4-1.846%-
Last 10 (10)38.434.572.9+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.032.671.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.736.065.7-6.321%-
vs Similar (5)35.432.668.0+2.860%-
vs Weaker (11)36.833.570.3+3.455%-
This opponent (Spain W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spain Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain W: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.521.0
49.4%
45.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.4
30.6%
30.0%19.2
🏀 Free throws16.512.6
76.4%
72.4%12.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Germany Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany W: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.3
47.4%
45.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.2
33.5%
30.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.9
76.8%
72.4%14.9
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spain W
WWWWWLWWWW
Germany W
WWLWWLLWWW
#2
League position
#11
+10.8
Net rating
+0.8
99.5
Offensive rating
93.9
88.7
Defensive rating
93.1
48.3%
Effective FG%
48.4%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
24.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.6%
3-point %
33.5%
76.6%
Assist %
69.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 93.9Defence88.7 · 93.1Shooting48.3% · 48.4%3-point %30.6% · 33.5%Ball care19.7% · 24.1%Off. rebounds31.2% · 27.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Spain W   ■ Germany W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Spain W wins
0
Germany W wins
DateGameScore
22/06/23Spain W v Germany W67-42
Spain Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/06/25AGreat Britain W85-70
09/02/25ANetherlands W81-64
06/02/25AAustria W76-45
10/11/24HCroatia W78-62
07/11/24HNetherlands W66-59
07/08/24HBelgium W66-79
03/08/24ASerbia W70-62
31/07/24APuerto Rico W63-62
28/07/24HChina W90-89 OT
11/02/24HHungary W73-72
Germany Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/06/25HSweden W89-76
09/02/25AGreece W67-64
06/02/25AItaly W60-79
10/11/24HCzech Republic W74-67
07/11/24HGreece W79-76
07/08/24HFrance W71-84
04/08/24HUSA W68-87
01/08/24AJapan W75-64
29/07/24HBelgium W83-69
11/02/24ABrazil W73-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game75.973.078.0
Allowed / game57.051.761.0
Point differential+18.9+21.3+17.0
Avg total132.9124.7139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Germany W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game72.473.870.7
Allowed / game67.672.261.3
Point differential+4.9+1.5+9.3
Avg total140.0146.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W880100%91.948.5+43.4
2 Spain W770100%75.957.0+18.9
3 Turkey W87188%81.960.5+21.4
4 Sweden W87188%75.565.1+10.4
5 Belgium W76186%86.755.3+31.4
6 Lithuania W86275%80.567.0+13.5
7 Italy W86275%69.260.5+8.8
8 Germany W75271%72.467.6+4.9
9 Croatia W64267%76.067.8+8.2
10 Luxembourg W64267%63.257.2+6.0
11 Slovakia W64267%71.565.7+5.8
12 Latvia W64267%75.076.5-1.5
13 Serbia W85362%75.556.4+19.1
14 Slovenia W85362%76.868.2+8.5
15 Portugal W85362%59.660.0-0.4
16 Montenegro W74357%69.664.4+5.1
17 Poland W63350%79.862.3+17.5
18 Great Britain W84450%73.061.8+11.2
19 Hungary W63350%73.567.7+5.8
20 Switzerland W84450%65.463.9+1.5
21 Czech Republic W84450%67.266.6+0.6
22 Greece W83538%68.471.4-3.0
23 Bulgaria W62433%76.381.5-5.2
24 Ukraine W62433%64.270.0-5.8
25 Netherlands W62433%63.770.3-6.7
26 Israel W62433%71.880.2-8.3
27 Finland W62433%62.577.3-14.8
28 Denmark W61517%66.773.8-7.2
29 Iceland W61517%68.877.7-8.8
30 Romania W61517%66.588.3-21.8
31 Estonia W61517%51.577.8-26.3
32 Austria W6060%53.074.0-21.0
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W6060%54.083.2-29.2
34 North Macedonia W6060%56.086.8-30.8
35 Ireland W6060%55.597.2-41.7
36 Azerbaijan W6060%41.0105.5-64.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spain W1917182579
Germany W1614131760
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