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Belgium W vs Germany W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-59
21-21 20-15 24-17 18-6
Position#1
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game55.6
Belgium W 🏆
vs
Germany W
Position#11
Record6-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game68.8
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenEuroBasket Women - Quarter-finals· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Women2024Neutral venue
Meetings · Belgium W v Germany W
25 Jun 2025
BELG83
GERM59
14 Nov 2021
BELG84
GERM55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belgium W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Belgium WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Spain W
#4
W
79-66
79
66
+13
86avg 77
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
80avg 77
A09/08
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 77
H11/08
Olympic Games Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
81-70
81
70
+11
72avg 77
H07/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
80-77
80
77
+3
78avg 77
A10/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
97-24
97
24
+73
105avg 77
H06/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
70-69
70
69
+1
60avg 77
A09/02
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
W
81-52
81
52
+29
88avg 77
H19/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#19
W
87-53
87
53
+34
90avg 77
A20/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
72-60
72
60
+12
74avg 77
H22/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
22-11
19-12
12-17
17-14
19-17
15-17
15-18
19-20
17-17
25-23
20-25
19-15
22-20
25-14
15-21
17-17
15-24
24-16
24-20
27-5
25-7
29-4
16-8
15-13
20-25
13-17
22-14
15-14
25-11
26-11
15-16
31-8
17-24
15-13
24-8
17-17
24-20
17-9
14-14
144.0Avg total
80.3Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.155.6140.7+29.689%
Season at home (5)78.654.6133.2+24.080%
Season away (4)93.256.8150.0+36.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.363.7144.0+16.680%
Last 5 (5)81.451.6133.0+29.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.483.2153.6-12.80%
vs Similar (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.256.7141.9+28.592%
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Germany WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Japan W
#13
W
75-64
75
64
+11
76avg 65
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
68-87
68
87
-19
59avg 65
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 65
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Greece W
#22
W
79-76
79
76
+3
80avg 65
H07/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
74-67
74
67
+7
73avg 65
H10/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
60-79
60
79
-19
54avg 65
A06/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
67-64
67
64
+3
64avg 65
A09/02
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
89-76
89
76
+13
87avg 65
H19/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
60-79
60
79
-19
53avg 65
A20/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
80-67
80
67
+13
85avg 65
A22/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
21-20
17-13
16-15
19-16
10-25
17-28
22-18
19-23
14-22
16-21
22-18
19-19
20-16
19-18
21-23
20-20
17-17
20-10
17-20
21-23
17-15
6-22
16-19
20-16
17-10
11-13
19-25
27-16
17-11
14-22
31-27
16-19
14-17
13-18
17-25
26-8
22-24
15-20
17-15
146.6Avg total
72.3Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.968.8140.7+3.167%
Season at home (4)73.872.2146.0+1.575%
Season away (5)70.466.0136.4+4.460%
Last 10 (10)72.374.3146.6-2.060%
Last 5 (5)71.273.0144.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)62.074.5136.5-12.525%
vs Similar (5)71.667.2138.8+4.4100%
vs Weaker (9)79.257.7136.9+21.6100%
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
Belgium WGermany W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Belgium WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain W
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A09/08
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H11/08
Olympic Games Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A10/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
52-12
52
12
+40
H06/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/02
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H19/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#19
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A20/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/06
European Championship Women
73.4Avg total
40.9Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.331.372.6+10.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.632.476.0+11.275%-
Last 30 away (14)38.630.168.8+8.564%-
Last 10 (10)40.932.573.4+8.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.228.872.0+14.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.439.676.0-3.240%-
vs Similar (1)36.037.073.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.529.471.9+13.279%-
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Germany WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan W
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Greece W
#22
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A06/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A09/02
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H19/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A20/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A22/06
European Championship Women
73.0Avg total
37.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.834.368.1-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.034.468.4-0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)33.534.167.6-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.373.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.871.2+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.935.866.6-4.925%-
vs Similar (5)35.432.668.0+2.860%-
vs Weaker (9)38.032.770.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Belgium Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium W: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.8
53.4%
45.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.6
32.1%
30.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.512.9
78.2%
72.4%12.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Germany Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany W: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.3
48.2%
45.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.3
32.6%
30.0%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.512.8
82.6%
72.4%12.8
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Belgium W
WWWWWWWLLW
Germany W
WLWWLWWLLW
#1
League position
#11
+22.0
Net rating
-2.6
106.5
Offensive rating
94.3
84.5
Defensive rating
97.0
51.5%
Effective FG%
48.4%
41.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
19.2%
Turnover %
23.1%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.1%
3-point %
32.6%
83.3%
Assist %
75.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 94.3Defence84.5 · 97.0Shooting51.5% · 48.4%3-point %32.1% · 32.6%Ball care19.2% · 23.1%Off. rebounds34.4% · 27.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Belgium W   ■ Germany W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Belgium W wins
1
Germany W wins
DateGameScore
29/07/24Germany W v Belgium W83-69
09/02/23Germany W v Belgium W44-69
14/11/21Belgium W v Germany W84-55
Belgium Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/25HCzech Republic W72-60
20/06/25AMontenegro W87-53
19/06/25HPortugal W81-52
09/02/25ALithuania W70-69
06/02/25HAzerbaijan W97-24
10/11/24APoland W80-77
07/11/24HLithuania W81-70
11/08/24HAustralia W81-85
09/08/24AFrance W75-81 OT
07/08/24ASpain W79-66
Germany Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/25AGreat Britain W80-67
20/06/25ASpain W60-79
19/06/25HSweden W89-76
09/02/25AGreece W67-64
06/02/25AItaly W60-79
10/11/24HCzech Republic W74-67
07/11/24HGreece W79-76
07/08/24HFrance W71-84
04/08/24HUSA W68-87
01/08/24AJapan W75-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belgium W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%80%100%
Points / game85.178.693.2
Allowed / game55.654.656.8
Point differential+29.6+24.0+36.5
Avg total140.7133.2150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Germany W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game71.973.870.4
Allowed / game68.872.266.0
Point differential+3.1+1.5+4.4
Avg total140.7146.0136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W10100100%92.948.6+44.3
2 Spain W10100100%77.661.5+16.1
3 Belgium W98189%85.155.6+29.6
4 Turkey W108280%81.263.2+18.0
5 Italy W108280%69.560.9+8.6
6 Sweden W97278%75.466.6+8.9
7 Slovenia W96367%77.668.3+9.2
8 Croatia W64267%76.067.8+8.2
9 Luxembourg W64267%63.257.2+6.0
10 Slovakia W64267%71.565.7+5.8
11 Germany W96367%71.968.8+3.1
12 Portugal W96367%60.058.8+1.2
13 Latvia W64267%75.076.5-1.5
14 Lithuania W106460%75.668.4+7.2
15 Serbia W95456%74.859.4+15.3
16 Poland W63350%79.862.3+17.5
17 Hungary W63350%73.567.7+5.8
18 Great Britain W94544%72.363.8+8.6
19 Montenegro W94544%65.466.8-1.3
20 Switzerland W94544%62.269.1-6.9
21 Czech Republic W104640%67.969.3-1.4
22 Greece W93633%68.872.7-3.9
23 Bulgaria W62433%76.381.5-5.2
24 Ukraine W62433%64.270.0-5.8
25 Netherlands W62433%63.770.3-6.7
26 Israel W62433%71.880.2-8.3
27 Finland W62433%62.577.3-14.8
28 Denmark W61517%66.773.8-7.2
29 Iceland W61517%68.877.7-8.8
30 Romania W61517%66.588.3-21.8
31 Estonia W61517%51.577.8-26.3
32 Austria W6060%53.074.0-21.0
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W6060%54.083.2-29.2
34 North Macedonia W6060%56.086.8-30.8
35 Ireland W6060%55.597.2-41.7
36 Azerbaijan W6060%41.0105.5-64.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Belgium W2120241883
Germany W211517659
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