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UALR vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 70-76
0-0 24-37 0-0 46-39
Position#295
Record11-18
FormLWLWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#112
Record18-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game74.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UALR v Morehead State
26 Feb 2026
UALR70
MORE76
09 Jan 2025
UALR53
MORE59
09 Mar 2024
UALR55
MORE69
15 Feb 2024
UALR69
MORE68
09 Feb 2023
UALR72
MORE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A23/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A30/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A31/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A04/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H07/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
77-58
77
58
+19
A13/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A14/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-33
0-0
35-37
0-0
35-30
0-0
28-40
0-0
35-40
0-0
42-47
0-0
21-23
0-0
31-32
0-0
30-31
0-0
44-48
0-0
23-33
0-0
38-38
0-0
35-24
0-0
42-34
0-0
30-34
0-0
42-44
0-0
28-32
0-0
39-33
0-0
32-30
0-0
33-40
137.6Avg total
67.3Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.274.3144.5-4.138%
Season at home (11)77.473.3150.6+4.155%
Season away (18)65.874.9140.7-9.128%
Last 10 (10)67.370.3137.6-3.020%
Last 5 (5)68.468.4136.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.375.4140.7-10.117%
vs Similar (8)70.873.9144.6-3.150%
vs Weaker (3)85.066.7151.7+18.3100%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H30/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A06/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H13/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H14/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-35
0-0
38-33
0-0
27-33
0-0
40-32
0-0
39-36
0-0
39-43
0-0
29-43
0-0
41-39
0-0
23-22
0-0
38-33
0-0
34-22
0-0
39-44
0-0
37-41
0-0
57-45
0-0
29-28
0-0
44-42
0-0
43-27
0-0
38-32
0-0
29-29
0-0
35-34
142.7Avg total
73.4Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.874.7150.6+1.160%
Season at home (13)81.769.4151.1+12.385%
Season away (17)71.478.8150.2-7.541%
Last 10 (10)73.469.3142.7+4.180%
Last 5 (5)77.068.8145.8+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.181.4154.5-8.336%
vs Similar (9)69.474.4143.9-5.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.268.0149.2+13.289%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
UALRMorehead State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A23/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A30/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A31/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A04/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H06/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H07/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A13/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A14/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H21/02
NCAA
60.9Avg total
29.9Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.536.467.9-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.635.869.5-2.227%-
Last 30 away (19)30.336.867.1-6.526%-
Last 10 (10)29.931.060.9-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)29.630.660.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)28.936.064.9-7.122%-
vs Similar (8)32.437.169.5-4.812%-
vs Weaker (3)40.735.776.3+5.067%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H30/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A06/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
23-22
23
22
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H13/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A20/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/02
NCAA
64.1Avg total
32.5Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.671.2+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.432.872.2+6.554%-
Last 30 away (17)32.837.770.5-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)32.531.664.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.429.463.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.539.172.6-5.527%-
vs Similar (9)32.934.667.4-1.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.133.071.1+5.144%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UALR wins
4
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
17/12/25Morehead State v UALR78-64
08/02/25Morehead State v UALR62-76
09/01/25UALR v Morehead State53-59
10/03/24UALR v Morehead State55-69
16/02/24UALR v Morehead State69-68
10/02/23UALR v Morehead State72-68
27/01/23Morehead State v UALR76-72
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HSoutheast Missouri State65-70
20/02/26HUT Martin67-65
14/02/26AEastern Illinois72-78
13/02/26AWestern Illinois77-58
07/02/26HSiu Edwardsville61-71
06/02/26HLindenwood74-79
04/02/26AUT Martin52-55
31/01/26ATennessee Tech77-87
30/01/26ATennessee State63-70
23/01/26ASoutheast Missouri State65-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26HSouthern Indiana64-63
21/02/26AWestern Illinois81-59
20/02/26AEastern Illinois73-70
14/02/26HTennessee State94-86
13/02/26HTennessee Tech73-66
07/02/26AUT Martin61-55
06/02/26ASoutheast Missouri State70-82
31/01/26HLindenwood78-79
30/01/26HSiu Edwardsville67-65
24/01/26HEastern Illinois73-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeWLLWL55%
AwayLLLWL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291118
Win %38%55%28%
Points / game70.277.465.8
Allowed / game74.373.374.9
Point differential-4.1+4.1-9.1
Avg total144.5150.6140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayWLWWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301317
Win %60%85%41%
Points / game75.881.771.4
Allowed / game74.769.478.8
Point differential+1.1+12.3-7.5
Avg total150.6151.1150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%23%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)86% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin2920969%71.663.4+8.2
2 Tennessee State2819968%81.175.4+5.6
3 Southeast Missouri State29181162%74.970.6+4.3
4 Morehead State30181260%75.874.7+1.1
5 Siu Edwardsville29171259%70.965.4+5.5
6 Lindenwood29161355%78.373.4+4.9
7 Tennessee Tech29131645%74.174.3-0.2
8 Eastern Illinois29111838%67.370.3-3.0
9 UALR29111838%70.274.3-4.1
10 Southern Indiana2972224%68.773.1-4.5
11 Western Illinois2952417%65.376.7-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
UALR02404670
Morehead State03703976
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