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UALR vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 80-66
40-31 40-35
Position#90
Record5-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game80.6
UALR 🏆
USA
vs
Position#296
Record3-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
93-98
93
98
-5
H18/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H29/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A08/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H10/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-38
46-48
40-58
53-40
40-40
37-48
45-37
38-46
41-39
35-37
52-32
38-32
27-31
50-35
31-30
40-45
25-39
43-46
42-43
51-41
163.5Avg total
81.4Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.580.6161.1-0.245%
Season at home (7)83.179.4162.6+3.757%
Season away (4)75.882.8158.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)81.482.1163.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)79.874.8154.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.980.4158.4-2.536%
vs Similar (10)77.978.4156.3-0.530%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)80.581.8162.3-1.350%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Midway
#486
W
91-58
91
58
+33
H07/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H11/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
A20/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H22/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A10/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A14/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
54-33
37-25
36-26
42-46
34-43
47-43
37-35
35-37
28-33
29-34
42-32
37-40
33-35
39-41
26-28
23-25
41-53
40-32
29-24
26-37
143.7Avg total
72.4Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.471.3143.7+1.130%
Season at home (6)73.569.3142.8+4.250%
Season away (4)70.874.2145.0-3.50%
Last 10 (10)72.471.3143.7+1.130%
Last 5 (5)67.269.4136.6-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.477.9146.4-9.525%
vs Similar (10)69.868.5138.3+1.350%
vs Weaker (4)80.262.2142.5+18.0100%
This opponent (UALR) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -0.5-0.5
UALRMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H18/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H29/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A08/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H10/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H14/12
NCAA
75.5Avg total
36.8Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.236.873.0-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.235.973.1+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)35.037.972.9-2.950%-
Last 10 (10)36.838.775.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.070.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.137.773.8-1.643%-
vs Similar (10)36.333.569.8+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)36.240.376.5-4.250%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Midway
#486
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H22/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A10/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A14/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H16/12
NCAA
70.2Avg total
36.0Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.968.1+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.132.668.8+3.569%-
Last 30 away (14)32.035.467.4-3.421%-
Last 10 (10)36.034.270.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.234.468.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)33.237.470.6-4.125%-
vs Similar (10)33.631.665.2+2.060%-
vs Weaker (4)39.526.065.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (UALR) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UALR wins
0
Murray State wins
No previous meetings.
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23HUTSA Roadrunners93-84
10/12/23HWinthrop68-85
08/12/23ACentral Arkansas71-75
02/12/23HArkansas State77-66
29/11/23HBall State90-64
25/11/23ATulsa84-82 OT
22/11/23HGeorgia State90-93 OT
19/11/23AGeorgia State77-88
18/11/23HNorthern Illinois93-98
11/11/23AIllinois (Chi.)71-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HSE Louisiana55-61
14/12/23AMississippi St.81-85
10/12/23AAustin Peay49-53
03/12/23AIllinois State72-76
30/11/23HBradley79-72
22/11/23HAppalachian State57-67
20/11/23ANC Wilmington81-83 OT
15/11/23HWestern Kentucky81-86
11/11/23HTennessee Tech78-72
07/11/23HMidway91-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %45%57%25%
Points / game80.583.175.8
Allowed / game80.679.482.8
Point differential-0.2+3.7-7.0
Avg total161.1162.6158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %18%14%25%
Murray State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%50%0%
Points / game72.473.570.8
Allowed / game71.369.374.2
Point differential+1.1+4.2-3.5
Avg total143.7142.8145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State118373%76.865.1+11.7
2 Tennessee State127558%77.570.3+7.2
3 UT Martin116555%85.280.3+4.9
4 Siu Edwardsville116555%70.570.3+0.3
5 Eastern Illinois126650%72.863.5+9.2
6 Western Illinois115645%70.769.3+1.5
7 UALR115645%80.580.6-0.2
8 Lindenwood115645%67.372.4-5.1
9 Tennessee Tech125742%72.576.5-4.0
10 Southeast Missouri State114736%70.073.7-3.7
11 Southern Indiana112918%65.071.7-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1110191%88.071.0+17.0
2 Drake1110191%77.566.9+10.6
3 Evansville108280%81.070.4+10.6
4 Belmont128467%81.779.9+1.8
5 Illinois (Chi.)117464%73.462.5+10.8
6 Illinois State117464%67.065.5+1.5
7 Southern Illinois106460%76.266.2+10.0
8 Bradley116555%71.871.1+0.7
9 Northern Iowa125742%77.974.7+3.2
10 Valparaiso114736%67.369.4-2.1
11 Murray State103730%72.471.3+1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UALR404080
Murray State313566
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