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UC Santa Barbara vs Long Beach State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#44
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game61.7
UC Santa Barbara
USA
vs
Long Beach State
USA
Position#287
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UC Santa Barbara v Long Beach State
09 Jan 2027
UC S v LONG
upcoming
04 Dec 2025
UC S84
LONG77
01 Feb 2025
UC S85
LONG54
13 Jan 2024
UC S85
LONG76
23 Feb 2023
UC S78
LONG73
19 Feb 2022
UC S84
LONG71
11 Mar 2021
UC S95
LONG87
11 Jan 2020
UC S52
LONG55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Santa Barbara win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Long Beach State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC Santa BarbaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#266
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A15/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
A22/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H27/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A01/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H08/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A12/03
NCAA
San Francisco State
#418
W
85-55
85
55
+30
H03/11
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Nevada
#210
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-37
33-52
27-32
49-44
32-30
36-38
39-27
31-32
23-32
37-32
29-31
34-33
31-34
42-45
41-26
44-29
38-27
52-40
40-24
36-39
145.7Avg total
75.4Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.761.7145.3+22.0100%
Season at home (3)83.761.7145.3+22.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.470.3145.7+5.140%
Last 5 (5)77.465.6143.0+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.870.2140.0-0.440%
vs Similar (10)74.876.3151.1-1.530%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.468.6150.0+12.786%
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Long Beach StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#139
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A14/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H20/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A27/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
88-87
88
87
+1
A01/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
70-76 OT
70
76
-6
H06/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A08/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#71
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A03/11
NCAA
Montana State
#286
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Pacific
#149
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-41
27-30
20-24
38-45
38-46
38-32
40-48
52-54
44-43
44-44
34-31
28-31
44-34
40-41
40-28
23-38
32-41
38-42
33-34
29-25
148.3Avg total
71.7Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.069.3134.3-4.333%
Season at home (1)62.059.0121.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)66.574.5141.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)71.776.6148.3-4.930%
Last 5 (5)69.871.8141.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.676.6147.2-5.917%
vs Similar (8)77.181.1158.2-4.038%
vs Weaker (4)90.876.5167.2+14.2100%
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -2.5-2.5
UC Santa BarbaraLong Beach State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC Santa BarbaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#266
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A15/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A22/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H27/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A01/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H08/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A12/03
NCAA
San Francisco State
#418
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H03/11
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Nevada
#210
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H12/11
NCAA
64.6Avg total
34.6Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.931.567.5+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.128.968.0+10.181%-
Last 30 away (14)32.434.566.9-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)34.630.064.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.828.464.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.829.658.4-0.860%-
vs Similar (10)33.734.768.4-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.730.470.1+9.479%-
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Long Beach StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#139
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A14/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H20/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H22/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A27/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A01/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A08/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#71
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A03/11
NCAA
Montana State
#286
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Pacific
#149
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H12/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
35.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.237.172.3-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.535.471.9+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)33.938.872.7-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.072.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.670.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.536.869.3-4.328%-
vs Similar (8)36.937.073.9-0.138%-
vs Weaker (4)44.238.582.8+5.875%-
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
UC Santa Barbara wins
1
Long Beach State wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26Long Beach State v UC Santa Barbara71-74
05/12/25UC Santa Barbara v Long Beach State84-77 OT
23/02/25Long Beach State v UC Santa Barbara56-58
02/02/25UC Santa Barbara v Long Beach State85-54
08/03/24Long Beach State v UC Santa Barbara74-76
14/01/24UC Santa Barbara v Long Beach State85-76
24/02/23UC Santa Barbara v Long Beach State78-73
10/02/23Long Beach State v UC Santa Barbara72-75
12/03/22Long Beach State v UC Santa Barbara67-64
20/02/22UC Santa Barbara v Long Beach State84-71
UC Santa Barbaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HNevada76-63
07/11/26HOakland90-67
03/11/26HSan Francisco State85-55
12/03/26AUC Davis73-79
08/03/26HUC San Diego63-64
01/03/26AUC Irvine60-64
27/02/26HUC Riverside70-59
22/02/26AHawaii75-78 OT
20/02/26HCS Northridge83-85 OT
15/02/26ACal Poly79-89
Long Beach Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HPacific62-59
07/11/26AMontana State70-83
03/11/26AUtah Utes63-66
08/03/26AHawaii84-75
06/03/26HUC Davis70-76 OT
01/03/26ACSU Bakersfield88-87
27/02/26ACal Poly92-102
22/02/26HCS Northridge76-78
20/02/26HUC Irvine58-69
14/02/26AUC Davis54-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Santa Barbara
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.783.7-
Allowed / game61.761.7-
Point differential+22.0+22.0-
Avg total145.3145.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Long Beach State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game65.062.066.5
Allowed / game69.359.074.5
Point differential-4.3+3.0-8.0
Avg total134.3121.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine330100%91.061.7+29.3
2 UC Santa Barbara330100%83.761.7+22.0
3 CSU Bakersfield330100%91.772.3+19.3
4 Hawaii43175%81.863.0+18.8
5 UC Riverside43175%83.567.8+15.8
6 UC Davis43175%74.064.0+10.0
7 CS Fullerton32167%88.786.0+2.7
8 UC San Diego32167%87.786.7+1.0
9 Cal Poly42250%79.084.8-5.8
10 CS Northridge31233%84.381.0+3.3
11 Long Beach State31233%65.069.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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