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UCF Knights vs Arizona State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-76
35-39 44-37
Position#92
Record15-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#194
Record11-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game79.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#117
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
102-80
102
80
+22
H20/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A07/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A15/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H17/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A21/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
95-86
95
86
+9
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-27
46-36
49-49
53-31
33-38
52-42
44-41
37-34
32-41
44-46
33-32
40-40
42-28
40-45
38-41
39-43
26-44
31-43
49-47
46-39
159.6Avg total
80.9Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.377.0161.3+7.379%
Season at home (14)86.175.4161.5+10.686%
Season away (5)79.281.4160.6-2.260%
Last 10 (10)80.978.7159.6+2.270%
Last 5 (5)76.880.4157.2-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.682.9160.5-5.330%
vs Similar (17)83.978.9162.8+5.076%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)87.063.3150.3+23.7100%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#39
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A14/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A18/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
89-95
89
95
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
76-104
76
104
-28
A08/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
73-103
73
103
-30
A18/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H22/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-55
44-24
33-45
44-45
40-38
35-40
38-48
51-47
30-45
46-59
36-38
51-46
39-38
43-51
29-56
44-47
37-35
26-40
37-33
45-35
165.1Avg total
78.6Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.679.8159.4-0.255%
Season at home (13)79.474.5153.9+4.862%
Season away (7)80.089.6169.6-9.643%
Last 10 (10)78.686.5165.1-7.930%
Last 5 (5)77.483.8161.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.788.0166.7-9.329%
vs Similar (13)77.874.2151.9+3.654%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -7.4-7.42nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -0.5-0.5
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -7.4-7.42nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -0.5-0.5
UCF KnightsArizona State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#117
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H20/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A15/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A24/01
NCAA
76.9Avg total
38.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.576.2-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.436.375.7+3.161%-
Last 30 away (12)35.241.877.0-6.717%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.876.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.476.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.939.071.9-6.120%-
vs Similar (17)39.240.479.6-1.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)45.026.771.7+18.3100%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#39
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A14/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A18/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A18/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H22/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/01
NCAA
78.8Avg total
35.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.076.8-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.137.874.9-0.641%-
Last 30 away (13)36.542.879.4-6.338%-
Last 10 (10)35.743.178.8-7.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.075.6-4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.142.379.4-5.241%-
vs Similar (13)36.636.973.5-0.338%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UCF Knights wins
0
Arizona State wins
DateGameScore
15/01/25Arizona State v UCF Knights89-95
UCF Knightslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AColorado95-86
21/01/26AIowa State57-87
17/01/26HArizona77-84
15/01/26AKansas State82-73
11/01/26HCincinnati73-72
07/01/26AOklahoma State76-87
03/01/26HKansas81-75
23/12/25HFlorida Atlantic85-80
20/12/25HFlorida Gulf Coast102-80
18/12/25HMercer81-63
Arizona Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HCincinnati82-68
22/01/26HWest Virginia63-75
18/01/26AHouston73-103
15/01/26AArizona82-89
10/01/26HKansas State87-84
08/01/26ABrigham Young76-104
03/01/26HColorado89-95
21/12/25HOregon State75-78
18/12/25AUCLA77-90
14/12/25ASanta Clara82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW79%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19145
Win %79%86%60%
Points / game84.386.179.2
Allowed / game77.075.481.4
Point differential+7.3+10.6-2.2
Avg total161.3161.5160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arizona State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW55%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %55%62%43%
Points / game79.679.480.0
Allowed / game79.874.589.6
Point differential-0.2+4.8-9.6
Avg total159.4153.9169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona21210100%89.668.3+21.3
2 Houston1917289%79.161.6+17.4
3 Iowa State2017385%84.865.7+19.1
4 Brigham Young2017385%86.770.8+15.8
5 Texas Tech2016480%84.273.8+10.4
6 UCF Knights1915479%84.377.0+7.3
7 Kansas2015575%78.267.3+10.9
8 Oklahoma State2014670%86.280.4+5.8
9 TCU2013765%80.070.3+9.7
10 West Virginia2013765%72.264.3+8.0
11 Colorado2012860%82.678.0+4.6
12 Baylor1911858%86.577.0+9.5
13 Arizona State2011955%79.679.8-0.2
14 Cincinnati20101050%72.667.5+5.1
15 Kansas State20101050%84.180.5+3.6
16 Utah Utes2091145%80.081.5-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCF Knights354479
Arizona State393776
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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