PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
UCLA faces CS Fullerton on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model rating UCLA as the clear favourite thanks to their undefeated 3-0 season, 101.3 points per game and only 58.3 allowed, placing them third in the league. UCLA's all-games record of 3-0 and identical home record of 3-0 show a consistent high-scoring output, and their last five games include wins over Arkansas-Pine Bluff 106-37, North Florida 114-63 and Arizona 84-75, all at home. CS Fullerton, meanwhile, sits 176th with a 2-1 record, 88.7 points per game and 86.0 allowed, and their road record of 1-1 shows a more performance, with a recent win over South Dakota Coyotes 87-85 away and a loss to San Diego State 78-102 away. In the two meetings between the teams, each has one win, the last being UCLA's 80-47 victory in 2024. Pythia gives UCLA a 97% chance of winning, CS Fullerton 3%, and projects a 92-70 score for a total of 162.0 points; the model also predicts a 1% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 101.3 | 58.3 | 159.7 | +43.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 101.3 | 58.3 | 159.7 | +43.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 82.3 | 65.5 | 147.8 | +16.8 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.2 | 63.8 | 151.0 | +23.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 70.4 | 77.0 | 147.4 | -6.6 | 44% |
| vs Similar (6) | 76.0 | 80.3 | 156.3 | -4.3 | 33% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 86.3 | 64.9 | 151.1 | +21.4 | 93% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 88.7 | 86.0 | 174.7 | +2.7 | 67% |
| Season at home (1) | 101.0 | 71.0 | 172.0 | +30.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 82.5 | 93.5 | 176.0 | -11.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.2 | 81.3 | 165.5 | +2.9 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.2 | 81.2 | 163.4 | +1.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 71.1 | 84.4 | 155.6 | -13.3 | 22% |
| vs Similar (10) | 86.5 | 82.4 | 168.9 | +4.1 | 70% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 87.4 | 74.5 | 161.9 | +12.8 | 82% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.9 | 32.9 | 70.8 | +5.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 39.9 | 30.3 | 70.2 | +9.6 | 72% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 34.8 | 36.8 | 71.6 | -1.9 | 42% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.7 | 26.8 | 66.5 | +12.9 | 80% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.8 | 24.6 | 67.4 | +18.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 35.2 | 37.7 | 72.9 | -2.4 | 22% | - |
| vs Similar (6) | 31.7 | 36.3 | 68.0 | -4.7 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 41.9 | 28.7 | 70.6 | +13.3 | 93% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.9 | 38.1 | 76.0 | -0.2 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 41.0 | 36.1 | 77.1 | +4.9 | 71% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 35.2 | 39.9 | 75.1 | -4.7 | 31% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.9 | 39.0 | 76.9 | -1.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.8 | 38.2 | 78.0 | +1.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 30.7 | 40.4 | 71.1 | -9.8 | 22% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 38.1 | 37.7 | 75.8 | +0.4 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (11) | 43.6 | 36.5 | 80.2 | +7.1 | 73% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23/11/24 | UCLA v CS Fullerton | 80-47 |
| 28/12/19 | UCLA v CS Fullerton | 74-77 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 106-37 |
| 07/11/26 | H | North Florida | 114-63 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Arizona | 84-75 |
| 23/03/26 | A | Uconn | 57-73 |
| 20/03/26 | H | UCF Knights | 75-71 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Purdue | 66-73 |
| 14/03/26 | A | Michigan State | 88-84 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Rutgers | 72-59 |
| 08/03/26 | A | USC | 89-68 |
| 04/03/26 | H | Nebraska | 72-52 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Lincoln University (CA) | 101-71 |
| 07/11/26 | A | South Dakota Coyotes | 87-85 |
| 04/11/26 | A | San Diego State | 78-102 |
| 14/03/26 | A | Hawaii | 63-78 |
| 13/03/26 | H | UC Davis | 82-70 |
| 08/03/26 | A | CS Northridge | 90-77 |
| 06/03/26 | H | UC San Diego | 75-71 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Hawaii | 85-87 |
| 22/02/26 | A | CSU Bakersfield | 88-80 |
| 20/02/26 | H | UC Davis | 93-92 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 3 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 101.3 | 101.3 | - |
| Allowed / game | 58.3 | 58.3 | - |
| Point differential | +43.0 | +43.0 | - |
| Avg total | 159.7 | 159.7 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 67% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWW | 67% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 88.7 | 101.0 | 82.5 |
| Allowed / game | 86.0 | 71.0 | 93.5 |
| Point differential | +2.7 | +30.0 | -11.0 |
| Avg total | 174.7 | 172.0 | 176.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCLA | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 101.3 | 58.3 | +43.0 |
| 2 |  Nebraska | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 60.7 | +28.3 |
| 3 |  Rutgers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 84.7 | 56.3 | +28.3 |
| 4 |  Michigan State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 93.0 | 66.2 | +26.8 |
| 5 |  Oregon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 68.7 | +26.3 |
| 6 |  Indiana | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 68.0 | +21.0 |
| 7 |  Wisconsin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 79.0 | 58.0 | +21.0 |
| 8 |  Minnesota | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 78.8 | 58.5 | +20.2 |
| 9 |  USC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 88.3 | 71.3 | +17.0 |
| 10 |  Washington | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 83.5 | 70.0 | +13.5 |
| 11 |  Illinois | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 104.5 | 71.2 | +33.2 |
| 12 |  Purdue | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 78.5 | 69.0 | +9.5 |
| 13 |  Northwestern | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 70.8 | 61.8 | +9.0 |
| 14 |  Iowa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.0 | 64.7 | +20.3 |
| 15 |  Michigan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.7 | 74.3 | +7.3 |
| 16 |  Penn State | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 77.6 | 75.6 | +2.0 |
| 17 |  Ohio State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.0 | 80.0 | +1.0 |
| 18 |  Maryland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.3 | 80.0 | +4.3 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UC Irvine | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 61.7 | +29.3 |
| 2 |  UC Riverside | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 84.7 | 60.7 | +24.0 |
| 3 |  UC Santa Barbara | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 83.7 | 61.7 | +22.0 |
| 4 |  UC San Diego | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 90.5 | 70.0 | +20.5 |
| 5 |  CSU Bakersfield | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 91.7 | 72.3 | +19.3 |
| 6 |  Hawaii | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 81.8 | 63.0 | +18.8 |
| 7 |  UC Davis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 73.7 | 66.7 | +7.0 |
| 8 | CS Fullerton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 88.7 | 86.0 | +2.7 |
| 9 |  Cal Poly | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.0 | 84.8 | -5.8 |
| 10 |  CS Northridge | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.3 | 81.0 | +3.3 |
| 11 |  Long Beach State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 65.0 | 69.3 | -4.3 |
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