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Uconn vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 22:09
Final 71-62
37-29 34-33
Position#11
Record33-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game65.2
Uconn 🏆
USA
vs
Illinois
USA
Position#35
Record28-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAANCAA - Semi-finals· Lucas Oil Stadium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Uconn v Illinois
04 Apr 2026
UCON71
ILLI62
30 Mar 2024
UCON77
ILLI52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
72-40
72
40
+32
H26/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H12/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H14/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A14/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H21/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H28/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A29/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-26
31-14
32-33
39-34
35-33
27-35
50-30
43-38
32-21
35-30
27-40
25-32
40-36
42-35
38-33
35-24
35-27
32-36
29-44
44-28
134.1Avg total
71.2Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)77.165.2142.3+11.987%
Season at home (23)78.962.9141.8+16.091%
Season away (15)74.468.7143.1+5.780%
Last 10 (10)71.262.9134.1+8.380%
Last 5 (5)69.467.0136.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.072.5147.5+2.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (4)65.864.0129.8+1.850%
vs Weaker (24)78.366.3144.6+12.092%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
W
101-65
101
65
+36
A19/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H28/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A08/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
105-70
105
70
+35
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A27/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H28/03
NCAA
1H
2H
54-32
47-33
50-43
36-43
31-38
39-46
41-21
39-33
37-34
41-38
36-30
42-48
40-30
65-40
35-28
41-27
24-22
41-33
28-32
43-27
152.8Avg total
82.8Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)83.868.7152.5+15.178%
Season at home (24)85.066.9152.0+18.175%
Season away (12)81.372.2153.6+9.183%
Last 10 (10)82.870.0152.8+12.870%
Last 5 (5)81.066.0147.0+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.774.5148.2-0.850%
vs Weaker (24)83.367.1150.5+16.283%
This opponent (Uconn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +6.6+6.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +6.6+6.6
UconnIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H14/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A14/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H21/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A29/03
NCAA
68.2Avg total
35.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.732.069.7+5.777%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.230.469.6+8.783%-
Last 30 away (12)35.534.269.8+1.267%-
Last 10 (10)35.932.368.2+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.069.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.038.072.0-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)35.533.068.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker (24)38.431.369.7+7.183%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A19/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A22/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A27/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H28/03
NCAA
68.6Avg total
37.6Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.831.470.2+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.629.768.3+8.972%-
Last 30 away (12)39.133.973.0+5.275%-
Last 10 (10)37.631.068.6+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)32.628.461.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)32.737.069.7-4.317%-
vs Weaker (24)40.330.070.3+10.488%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Uconn wins
0
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
28/11/25Illinois v Uconn61-74
30/03/24Uconn v Illinois77-52
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26ADuke73-72
28/03/26HMichigan State67-63
23/03/26HUCLA73-57
21/03/26HFurman82-71
14/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)52-72
14/03/26HGeorgetown67-51
12/03/26HXavier93-68
07/03/26AMarquette62-68
28/02/26HSeton Hall71-67
26/02/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)72-40
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HIowa71-59
27/03/26AHouston65-55
22/03/26HVCU Rams76-55
20/03/26HPenn105-70
13/03/26HWisconsin88-91 OT
08/03/26AMaryland78-72
04/03/26HOregon80-54
28/02/26HMichigan70-84
22/02/26AUCLA94-95 OT
19/02/26AUSC101-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uconn
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWLLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382315
Win %87%91%80%
Points / game77.178.974.4
Allowed / game65.262.968.7
Point differential+11.9+16.0+5.7
Avg total142.3141.8143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%61%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won91% (11)80% (5)100% (6)
Overtime %5%4%7%
Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362412
Win %78%75%83%
Points / game83.885.081.3
Allowed / game68.766.972.2
Point differential+15.1+18.1+9.1
Avg total152.5152.0153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %11%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn3833587%77.165.2+11.9
2 St. John's (N.Y.)3930977%79.570.5+8.9
3 Villanova3324973%77.171.2+5.9
4 Seton Hall33211264%70.365.3+5.0
5 Butler32161650%79.477.5+1.8
6 DePaul32161650%70.269.6+0.7
7 Georgetown34161847%73.672.9+0.7
8 Creighton32151747%75.175.0+0.1
9 Providence33151845%85.384.0+1.3
10 Xavier33151845%78.480.6-2.3
11 Marquette32122038%75.275.8-0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan3835392%87.769.6+18.1
2 Nebraska3528780%77.066.1+10.8
3 Illinois3628878%83.868.7+15.1
4 Michigan State3527877%78.868.3+10.5
5 Purdue3930977%81.670.5+11.1
6 Wisconsin35241169%83.076.1+6.9
7 UCLA36241267%77.171.1+6.0
8 Iowa37241365%74.566.3+8.3
9 Ohio State34211362%79.372.6+6.7
10 Indiana32181456%78.272.2+6.0
11 USC32181456%78.677.9+0.7
12 Washington33161748%77.173.6+3.5
13 Minnesota32151747%70.068.5+1.5
14 Northwestern34151944%73.172.0+1.2
15 Rutgers33141942%70.675.1-4.5
16 Oregon32122038%70.873.9-3.1
17 Penn State32122038%73.779.3-5.7
18 Maryland33122136%69.776.6-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Uconn373471
Illinois293362
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