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Ukmerges Stekas vs Plunges Olimpas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 71-60
10-9 21-20 22-12 18-19
Position#8
Record10-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#14
Record8-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game82.2
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Plunges Olimpas
25 Oct 2025
UKME89
PLUN87
04 Jan 2025
UKME71
PLUN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Plunges Olimpas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
78avg 70
H21/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 70
A23/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
79-84
79
84
-5
80avg 70
H28/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 70
A30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 70
A05/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 70
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
110avg 70
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
68-59
68
59
+9
61avg 70
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
51avg 70
A19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
76-58
76
58
+18
77avg 70
H21/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
21-18
20-13
20-22
24-25
16-16
15-24
22-27
17-11
18-16
22-27
22-30
16-25
20-21
23-20
12-17
14-25
18-22
17-19
21-19
24-26
13-23
23-21
14-16
21-19
24-20
31-13
25-27
21-16
19-10
17-19
11-14
18-22
21-24
8-10
15-12
21-13
17-12
21-19
17-14
153.1Avg total
75.9Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.778.7155.4-2.042%
Season at home (12)79.377.6156.9+1.858%
Season away (12)74.179.8153.8-5.725%
Last 10 (10)75.977.2153.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)76.270.0146.2+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.080.0158.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (22)75.578.5154.0-3.032%
vs Weaker (6)86.078.7164.7+7.367%
This opponent (Plunges Olimpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Plunges OlimpasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpas
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 69
H16/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
78avg 69
A21/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
62avg 69
H23/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
73avg 69
A28/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
90-60
90
60
+30
87avg 69
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
59-78
59
78
-19
50avg 69
A07/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
96-100
96
100
-4
90avg 69
A12/12
NKL
Silute
#12
W
89-80
89
80
+9
85avg 69
H14/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 69
H19/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
77-84
77
84
-7
64avg 69
A21/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
22-16
17-27
35-23
16-21
28-20
17-24
21-24
15-28
24-25
11-13
20-20
16-21
29-24
24-22
11-19
16-15
22-15
26-17
26-13
18-17
18-14
11-22
12-25
10-20
16-31
26-26
44-23
26-24
24-18
16-15
23-23
17-27
20-16
28-22
21-16
14-32
21-19
20-11
22-22
165.4Avg total
82.2Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.082.2160.2-4.235%
Season at home (11)81.782.5164.3-0.855%
Season away (12)74.681.9156.5-7.317%
Last 10 (10)82.283.2165.4-1.040%
Last 5 (5)81.484.6166.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.182.6155.7-9.520%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.682.7161.2-4.144%
vs Weaker (4)89.080.2169.2+8.850%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
Ukmerges StekasPlunges Olimpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H21/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A05/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H21/12
NKL
77.2Avg total
38.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.577.6-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.136.774.8+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)38.142.880.9-4.729%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.977.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.076.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)37.640.077.6-2.441%-
vs Weaker (6)41.036.777.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Plunges Olimpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Plunges OlimpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H16/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A21/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H23/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A28/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A07/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A12/12
NKL
Silute
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H14/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A21/12
NKL
81.6Avg total
39.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)38.142.180.3-4.039%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.742.984.6-1.255%-
Last 30 away (12)34.841.476.2-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.581.6-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.680.4-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.042.078.0-6.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.243.184.3-1.933%-
vs Weaker (4)36.540.276.8-3.850%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.8
54.0%
52.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.3
31.5%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws14.69.8
67.1%
70.5%9.8
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Plunges Olimpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Plunges Olimpas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.9
53.2%
52.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.6
31.8%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.116.6
75.1%
70.5%16.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
WLWWLLLLLW
Plunges Olimpas
LWWLLWLLLW
#8
League position
#14
-1.0
Net rating
-1.6
103.9
Offensive rating
106.1
104.9
Defensive rating
107.7
50.9%
Effective FG%
51.1%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.6%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.5%
3-point %
31.8%
69.0%
Assist %
61.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 106.1Defence104.9 · 107.7Shooting50.9% · 51.1%3-point %31.5% · 31.8%Ball care20.1% · 18.6%Off. rebounds34.2% · 29.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Plunges Olimpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ukmerges Stekas wins
0
Plunges Olimpas wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24Plunges Olimpas v Ukmerges Stekas73-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HKretinga76-58
19/12/24ATelsiai62-68
14/12/24HRytas 268-59
10/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis101-79
07/12/24HSuduva-Mantinga74-86
05/12/24ABC Olimpas Palanga70-85
30/11/24ASilute71-83
28/11/24HAlytaus Alytus79-84
23/11/24AOmega-Tauras77-92
21/11/24HOmega-Tauras81-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AVytis VDU77-84
19/12/24HOmega-Tauras86-81
14/12/24HSilute89-80
12/12/24AAlytaus Alytus96-100
07/12/24AVilkaviskis59-78
30/11/24HDelikatesas Joniskis90-60
28/11/24ANeptunas 280-86
23/11/24HZalgiris Kaunas 270-86
21/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas 282-89
16/11/24HVilkaviskis93-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW42%
HomeLLWWW58%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%58%25%
Points / game76.779.374.1
Allowed / game78.777.679.8
Point differential-2.0+1.8-5.7
Avg total155.4156.9153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Plunges Olimpas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeWLWWW55%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%55%17%
Points / game78.081.774.6
Allowed / game82.282.581.9
Point differential-4.2-0.8-7.3
Avg total160.2164.3156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai2418675%85.777.5+8.2
2 Jurbarkas2216673%82.479.7+2.7
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2417771%81.571.7+9.8
4 Vytis VDU2315865%90.184.3+5.8
5 Vilkaviskis2415962%82.476.9+5.5
6 Neptunas 22314961%79.577.5+2.0
7 Omega-Tauras2314961%80.779.3+1.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas 222121055%79.776.6+3.1
9 Suduva-Mantinga24131154%81.678.6+3.0
10 Silute24111346%80.981.4-0.5
11 Ukmerges Stekas24101442%76.778.7-2.0
12 Alytaus Alytus2491538%81.188.8-7.7
13 Plunges Olimpas2381535%78.082.2-4.2
14 Rytas 22481633%78.282.1-3.9
15 Kretinga2471729%78.584.9-6.4
16 Delikatesas Joniskis241234%76.692.8-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas1021221871
Plunges Olimpas920121960
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