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Ukmerges Stekas vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-58
21-13 17-12 21-19 17-14
Position#8
Record9-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#13
Record7-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game85.3
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga
12 Dec 2026
UKME v KRET
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
UKME103
KRET107
20 Nov 2025
UKME98
KRET88
21 Dec 2024
UKME76
KRET58
22 Feb 2024
UKME93
KRET79
28 Oct 2023
UKME82
KRET64
04 Feb 2023
UKME94
KRET75
22 Dec 2022
UKME74
KRET90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
67-72
67
72
-5
56avg 70
A16/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
78avg 70
H21/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 70
A23/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
79-84
79
84
-5
80avg 70
H28/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 70
A30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 70
A05/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 70
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
110avg 70
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
68-59
68
59
+9
61avg 70
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
51avg 70
A19/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
12-19
12-19
21-16
20-25
21-18
20-13
20-22
24-25
16-16
15-24
22-27
17-11
18-16
22-27
22-30
16-25
20-21
23-20
12-17
14-25
18-22
17-19
21-19
24-26
13-23
23-21
14-16
21-19
24-20
31-13
25-27
21-16
19-10
17-19
11-14
18-22
21-24
8-10
15-12
153.6Avg total
75.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.779.6156.3-2.839%
Season at home (11)79.679.4159.0+0.355%
Season away (12)74.179.8153.8-5.725%
Last 10 (10)75.078.6153.6-3.630%
Last 5 (5)75.075.4150.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.080.0158.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (21)75.579.4154.9-4.029%
vs Weaker (7)86.078.1164.1+7.971%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
55avg 70
H18/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
71-113
71
113
-42
57avg 70
A21/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
93-78
93
78
+15
96avg 70
H23/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
72avg 70
A28/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
79-82
79
82
-3
77avg 70
H30/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
81-85
81
85
-4
70avg 70
A05/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
86avg 70
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
96avg 70
H12/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
89-97
89
97
-8
82avg 70
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
64-74
64
74
-10
56avg 70
H19/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-31
19-24
12-14
20-24
18-30
19-33
18-17
16-33
25-23
24-23
19-15
25-17
30-25
20-25
15-20
12-21
24-27
19-22
25-15
11-18
26-16
18-22
21-19
16-28
19-26
25-17
16-12
26-19
27-24
26-20
27-21
10-21
22-26
23-19
13-24
31-28
15-14
20-19
8-23
21-18
166.9Avg total
79.6Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.385.3164.6-5.930%
Season at home (12)77.782.0159.7-4.342%
Season away (11)81.288.8170.0-7.618%
Last 10 (10)79.687.3166.9-7.730%
Last 5 (5)82.083.2165.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.682.9157.6-8.343%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.584.3165.8-2.823%
vs Weaker (3)81.786.3168.0-4.733%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -3.9-3.9
Ukmerges StekasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A16/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H21/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A05/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/12
NKL
78.0Avg total
37.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.877.8-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.937.175.1+0.856%-
Last 30 away (14)38.142.880.9-4.729%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.178.0-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.480.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)37.640.778.3-3.138%-
vs Weaker (7)40.336.076.3+4.371%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H18/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
37-63
37
63
-26
A21/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H23/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A28/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H30/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A05/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H12/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H19/12
NKL
90.0Avg total
43.4Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.782.7-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.243.781.9-5.533%-
Last 30 away (15)41.841.783.5+0.133%-
Last 10 (10)43.446.690.0-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.684.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.542.480.9-3.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.142.483.5-1.331%-
vs Weaker (3)42.345.387.7-3.033%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.9
51.4%
52.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.7
32.2%
32.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws13.69.3
68.4%
70.5%9.3
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.7
53.8%
52.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.4
32.4%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.612.4
74.7%
70.5%12.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LWWLLLLLWL
Kretinga
LLWWLLLWLL
#8
League position
#13
-4.7
Net rating
-9.9
101.5
Offensive rating
104.8
106.2
Defensive rating
114.7
50.0%
Effective FG%
51.7%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
20.5%
Turnover %
19.7%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.2%
3-point %
32.4%
68.8%
Assist %
69.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 104.8Defence106.2 · 114.7Shooting50.0% · 51.7%3-point %32.2% · 32.4%Ball care20.5% · 19.7%Off. rebounds33.6% · 31.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ukmerges Stekas wins
3
Kretinga wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24ATelsiai62-68
14/12/24HRytas 268-59
10/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis101-79
07/12/24HSuduva-Mantinga74-86
05/12/24ABC Olimpas Palanga70-85
30/11/24ASilute71-83
28/11/24HAlytaus Alytus79-84
23/11/24AOmega-Tauras77-92
21/11/24HOmega-Tauras81-78
16/11/24ASuduva-Mantinga67-72
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24HBC Olimpas Palanga64-74
14/12/24ANeptunas 289-97
12/12/24HVytis VDU90-86
07/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis86-74
05/12/24ARytas 281-85
30/11/24HOmega-Tauras79-82
28/11/24ATelsiai77-91
23/11/24HSuduva-Mantinga93-78
21/11/24ASuduva-Mantinga71-113
18/11/24HTelsiai66-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL39%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%55%25%
Points / game76.779.674.1
Allowed / game79.679.479.8
Point differential-2.8+0.3-5.7
Avg total156.3159.0153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL30%
HomeWLWWL42%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %30%42%18%
Points / game79.377.781.2
Allowed / game85.382.088.8
Point differential-5.9-4.3-7.6
Avg total164.6159.7170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai2317674%85.277.7+7.6
2 Jurbarkas2216673%82.479.7+2.7
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2316770%80.372.3+8.0
4 Vytis VDU2315865%90.184.3+5.8
5 Omega-Tauras2214864%81.078.5+2.5
6 Vilkaviskis2314961%82.877.5+5.3
7 Neptunas 22314961%79.577.5+2.0
8 Suduva-Mantinga23131057%81.577.7+3.8
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 222121055%79.776.6+3.1
10 Silute23101343%80.181.3-1.2
11 Ukmerges Stekas2391439%76.779.6-2.8
12 Alytaus Alytus2391439%82.188.0-5.9
13 Rytas 22381535%78.882.4-3.6
14 Plunges Olimpas2381535%78.082.2-4.2
15 Kretinga2371630%79.385.3-5.9
16 Delikatesas Joniskis241234%76.692.8-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas2117211776
Kretinga1312191458
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