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Telsiai vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 68-62
22-18 24-21 10-8 12-15
Position#1
Record16-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game78.4
Telsiai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
Position#8
Record9-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game80.1
LithuaniaNKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Telsiai v Ukmerges Stekas
22 Oct 2026
TELS104
UKME70
06 Nov 2025
TELS85
UKME81
19 Dec 2024
TELS68
UKME62
11 Nov 2023
TELS75
UKME58
20 Oct 2022
TELS78
UKME74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Telsiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
81avg 78
A16/11
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
93-66
93
66
+27
94avg 78
A18/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
64avg 78
A21/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 78
H23/11
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
81avg 78
H28/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
91-74
91
74
+17
88avg 78
A01/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
54-77
54
77
-23
49avg 78
A05/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
83avg 78
H07/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
88-68
88
68
+20
91avg 78
H12/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
108-82
108
82
+26
110avg 78
A14/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
22-15
15-19
23-17
31-15
24-19
14-12
24-20
11-25
15-12
19-16
23-15
22-24
17-26
24-20
23-18
25-30
25-20
20-15
21-12
24-29
17-15
20-13
30-17
13-26
12-25
13-16
16-10
27-10
17-22
22-20
17-19
22-15
20-11
23-19
23-23
33-13
26-28
24-19
25-22
161.3Avg total
85.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.078.4164.4+7.673%
Season at home (11)88.276.2164.4+12.091%
Season away (11)83.880.5164.4+3.355%
Last 10 (10)85.675.7161.3+9.970%
Last 5 (5)84.874.4159.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)74.274.5148.7-0.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.578.4165.9+9.175%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
66-83
66
83
-17
52avg 71
H14/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
67-72
67
72
-5
56avg 71
A16/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
78avg 71
H21/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 71
A23/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
79-84
79
84
-5
80avg 71
H28/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 71
A30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 71
A05/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 71
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
110avg 71
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
68-59
68
59
+9
61avg 71
H14/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
7-22
21-23
18-23
22-18
12-19
12-19
21-16
20-25
21-18
20-13
20-22
24-25
16-16
15-24
22-27
17-11
18-16
22-27
22-30
16-25
20-21
23-20
12-17
14-25
18-22
17-19
21-19
24-26
13-23
23-21
14-16
21-19
24-20
31-13
25-27
21-16
19-10
17-19
11-14
155.5Avg total
75.4Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.480.1157.5-2.741%
Season at home (11)79.679.4159.0+0.355%
Season away (11)75.280.8156.0-5.627%
Last 10 (10)75.480.1155.5-4.730%
Last 5 (5)76.878.4155.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)94.092.0186.0+2.0100%
vs Similar (21)75.579.4154.9-4.029%
vs Weaker (8)85.577.9163.4+7.675%
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
TelsiaiUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A16/11
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A18/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A21/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H23/11
NKL
Kretinga
#13
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H28/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A01/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A05/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H07/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H12/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A14/12
NKL
82.9Avg total
42.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.577.8+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.836.878.6+5.073%-
Last 30 away (15)38.838.277.0+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.282.9+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.881.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)32.038.570.5-6.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.437.279.6+5.167%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H14/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A16/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H21/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A05/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/12
NKL
75.9Avg total
36.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.577.4-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.937.275.1+0.753%-
Last 30 away (13)38.042.580.5-4.531%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.275.9-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.479.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)29.040.069.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (21)37.640.778.3-3.138%-
vs Weaker (8)39.936.276.1+3.662%-
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.5
58.1%
52.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.0
35.7%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.912.4
69.3%
70.5%12.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.0
50.8%
52.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.8
33.0%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws13.79.4
68.6%
70.5%9.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Telsiai
WWWLWWLLWW
Ukmerges Stekas
WWLLLLLWLL
#1
League position
#8
+12.6
Net rating
-5.8
114.2
Offensive rating
101.1
101.6
Defensive rating
106.9
56.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
20.2%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.7%
3-point %
33.0%
63.2%
Assist %
68.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 101.1Defence101.6 · 106.9Shooting56.3% · 50.2%3-point %35.7% · 33.0%Ball care16.0% · 20.2%Off. rebounds29.3% · 31.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Telsiai   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Telsiai wins
1
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateGameScore
24/10/24Ukmerges Stekas v Telsiai94-92 OT
06/01/24Ukmerges Stekas v Telsiai70-76
11/11/23Telsiai v Ukmerges Stekas75-58
15/12/22Ukmerges Stekas v Telsiai80-83
20/10/22Telsiai v Ukmerges Stekas78-74
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24ADelikatesas Joniskis108-82
12/12/24HNeptunas 288-68
07/12/24HRytas 283-71
05/12/24ASuduva-Mantinga54-77
01/12/24AAlytaus Alytus91-74
28/11/24HKretinga91-77
23/11/24HBC Olimpas Palanga86-88
21/11/24ABC Olimpas Palanga78-81 OT
18/11/24AKretinga93-66
16/11/24ARytas 284-73
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HRytas 268-59
10/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis101-79
07/12/24HSuduva-Mantinga74-86
05/12/24ABC Olimpas Palanga70-85
30/11/24ASilute71-83
28/11/24HAlytaus Alytus79-84
23/11/24AOmega-Tauras77-92
21/11/24HOmega-Tauras81-78
16/11/24ASuduva-Mantinga67-72
14/11/24HBC Olimpas Palanga66-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Telsiai
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayWLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%91%55%
Points / game86.088.283.8
Allowed / game78.476.280.5
Point differential+7.6+12.0+3.3
Avg total164.4164.4164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%64%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %14%0%27%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW41%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%55%27%
Points / game77.479.675.2
Allowed / game80.179.480.8
Point differential-2.7+0.3-5.6
Avg total157.5159.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas2116576%82.379.0+3.3
2 Telsiai2216673%86.078.4+7.6
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2215768%80.672.7+8.0
4 Omega-Tauras2114767%81.078.1+2.9
5 Vytis VDU2214864%90.484.7+5.7
6 Vilkaviskis2213959%82.277.1+5.1
7 Neptunas 22213959%78.877.2+1.5
8 Suduva-Mantinga22121055%81.577.8+3.7
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 222121055%79.776.6+3.1
10 Silute2291341%79.781.0-1.3
11 Ukmerges Stekas2291341%77.480.1-2.7
12 Alytaus Alytus2291341%82.488.2-5.8
13 Rytas 22281436%78.582.1-3.7
14 Plunges Olimpas2171433%77.782.2-4.5
15 Kretinga2271532%80.085.8-5.7
16 Delikatesas Joniskis231224%76.292.7-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Telsiai2224101268
Ukmerges Stekas182181562
← all games of the day
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