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Ukmerges Stekas vs Plunges Olimpas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 89-87
14-19 29-25 21-17 25-26
Position#16
Record2-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game90.5
vs
Position#14
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game87.7
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Plunges Olimpas
25 Oct 2025
UKME89
PLUN87
04 Jan 2025
UKME71
PLUN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Plunges Olimpas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
97-72
97
72
+25
93avg 71
H01/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
100-98
100
98
+2
98avg 71
A06/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
76avg 71
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
67avg 71
A11/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
72-94
72
94
-22
65avg 71
H02/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
66-81
66
81
-15
49avg 71
A09/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 71
H11/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
94-105
94
105
-11
80avg 71
A16/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 71
H18/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
98-90
98
90
+8
90avg 71
H23/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
16-31
25-12
25-15
34-30
23-24
18-22
25-22
17-21
27-25
14-25
21-19
13-16
24-26
19-23
19-20
22-23
21-27
16-21
13-23
17-28
15-17
11-19
23-17
19-21
22-19
7-28
22-23
22-23
17-30
19-28
36-24
30-16
21-31
19-25
18-10
23-17
22-20
31-25
22-28
172.7Avg total
83.9Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.390.5171.8-9.233%
Season at home (4)82.089.2171.2-7.250%
Season away (2)80.093.0173.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)83.988.8172.7-4.940%
Last 5 (5)83.289.8173.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.687.3165.9-8.729%
vs Similar (19)79.579.0158.5+0.553%
vs Weaker (4)96.573.8170.2+22.875%
This opponent (Plunges Olimpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Plunges OlimpasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpas
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#10
W
85-82
85
82
+3
72avg 74
A22/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
77-65
77
65
+12
71avg 74
H27/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
72-84
72
84
-12
61avg 74
A01/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
96-108
96
108
-12
86avg 74
A02/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
80-68
80
68
+12
72avg 74
A04/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
58avg 74
A09/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
104-76
104
76
+28
103avg 74
H11/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
88-91
88
91
-3
78avg 74
A16/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
100-107
100
107
-7
94avg 74
H18/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
71-78
71
78
-7
58avg 74
A23/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
26-15
18-21
24-24
20-16
18-14
22-20
17-15
25-22
23-26
9-15
15-21
20-29
19-26
27-28
30-25
17-20
22-15
21-26
20-7
16-14
15-27
16-18
23-27
23-21
24-27
31-14
26-14
30-14
21-28
17-32
20-17
28-28
22-20
19-28
31-31
14-27
26-12
20-15
11-24
168.8Avg total
84.3Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.087.7174.7-0.729%
Season at home (2)102.091.5193.5+10.550%
Season away (5)81.086.2167.2-5.220%
Last 10 (10)84.384.5168.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)86.687.6174.2-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.984.6158.5-10.70%
vs Similar (15)82.982.7165.5+0.247%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)105.082.5187.5+22.575%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
Ukmerges StekasPlunges Olimpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H01/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A06/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H02/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A09/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A16/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H18/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/10
NKL
89.5Avg total
43.6Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.082.9-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.438.881.1+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)39.245.885.0-6.629%-
Last 10 (10)43.645.989.5-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.486.0-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.445.486.9-4.043%-
vs Similar (19)39.642.181.7-2.542%-
vs Weaker (4)46.235.882.0+10.5100%-
This opponent (Plunges Olimpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Plunges OlimpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A22/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H27/02
NKL
Silute
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A01/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A02/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A04/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A09/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H11/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A16/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H18/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A23/10
NKL
84.9Avg total
42.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.881.4-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.342.083.3-0.746%-
Last 30 away (17)38.241.679.9-3.441%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.384.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.687.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.141.678.7-4.527%-
vs Similar (15)40.642.683.2-2.047%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.539.281.8+3.275%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.5
54.0%
54.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.5
30.5%
32.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.514.6
71.2%
69.3%14.6
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Plunges Olimpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Plunges Olimpas: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.1
50.3%
54.5%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.7
35.0%
32.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.6
75.7%
69.3%15.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
WWLLLLLLWW
Plunges Olimpas
LLLWLWLLWW
#16
League position
#14
-5.8
Net rating
-1.6
107.8
Offensive rating
108.1
113.7
Defensive rating
109.6
50.6%
Effective FG%
51.1%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.5%
3-point %
35.0%
60.7%
Assist %
52.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 108.1Defence113.7 · 109.6Shooting50.6% · 51.1%3-point %30.5% · 35.0%Ball care14.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.1% · 30.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Plunges Olimpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ukmerges Stekas wins
1
Plunges Olimpas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25HSilute98-90
18/10/25HMazeikiai88-82
16/10/25AKedainiu SC94-105
11/10/25HNeptunas 270-91
09/10/25AVytis VDU66-81
02/10/25HVilkaviskis72-94
11/03/25AOmega-Tauras75-85
09/03/25HOmega-Tauras79-90
06/03/25AOmega-Tauras100-98
01/03/25HDelikatesas Joniskis97-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25AVilkaviskis71-78
18/10/25HOmega-Tauras100-107
16/10/25ATelsiai88-91
11/10/25HBC Olimpas Palanga104-76
09/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas 270-86
04/10/25AAlytaus Alytus80-68
02/10/25ARytas 296-108
01/03/25ASilute72-84
27/02/25HUkmerges Stekas77-65
22/02/25ANeptunas 285-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game81.382.080.0
Allowed / game90.589.293.0
Point differential-9.2-7.2-13.0
Avg total171.8171.2173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Plunges Olimpas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%50%20%
Points / game87.0102.081.0
Allowed / game87.791.586.2
Point differential-0.7+10.5-5.2
Avg total174.7193.5167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vilkaviskis76186%85.774.7+11.0
2 Kedainiu SC65183%96.590.5+6.0
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 265183%85.079.0+6.0
4 Omega-Tauras75271%93.386.3+7.0
5 Suduva-Mantinga64267%82.377.7+4.7
6 Vytis VDU64267%83.379.7+3.7
7 Rytas 274357%85.679.0+6.6
8 Telsiai63350%84.786.8-2.2
9 Mazeikiai73443%81.981.9+0.0
10 Silute73443%85.088.7-3.7
11 Neptunas 262433%81.282.2-1.0
12 Alytaus Alytus62433%78.882.3-3.5
13 Jurbarkas62433%74.082.5-8.5
14 Ukmerges Stekas62433%81.390.5-9.2
15 Plunges Olimpas72529%87.087.7-0.7
16 Kretinga72529%82.988.3-5.4
17 BC Olimpas Palanga71614%76.988.1-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas1429212589
Plunges Olimpas1925172687
← all games of the day
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