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Ukraine vs Greece Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-76
24-19 16-18 24-22 18-17
Position#22
Record7-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game74.6
Ukraine 🏆
vs
Position#39
Record3-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game68.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Xiaomi Arena
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukraine winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Greece winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUkraine
Date
Competition
Switzerland
#43
L
64-66
64
66
-2
no box
A06/08
World Cup
Slovakia
#69
W
80-71
80
71
+9
no box
H09/08
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
73-64
73
64
+9
no box
H16/08
World Cup
Slovakia
#69
W
98-86
98
86
+12
no box
A20/08
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
88-71
88
71
+17
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Spain
#27
L
66-86
66
86
-20
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Spain
#27
L
64-78
64
78
-14
no box
A02/03
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
95-76
95
76
+19
no box
H02/07
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
99-69
99
69
+30
no box
A05/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
13-12
20-15
17-21
24-24
21-14
17-14
18-19
28-12
13-19
21-24
11-9
17-20
32-20
20-27
29-19
15-23
28-25
23-13
26-18
18-20
28-16
27-10
15-25
21-17
12-15
14-33
19-21
9-16
12-12
22-24
21-26
30-27
19-14
26-19
20-16
22-25
31-12
24-19
22-13
156.5Avg total
81.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.974.6156.5+7.370%
Season at home (5)80.473.6154.0+6.880%
Season away (5)83.475.6159.0+7.860%
Last 10 (10)81.974.6156.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)82.476.0158.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.780.6154.2-6.911%
vs Similar (7)82.786.7169.4-4.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.372.2156.5+12.186%
This opponent (Greece) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Israel
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 82
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 82
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
64avg 82
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
92avg 82
H14/09
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
A02/03
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A02/07
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
56-71
56
71
-15
no box
H05/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
22-19
17-18
17-20
24-19
20-19
20-14
23-24
16-26
15-23
20-23
17-22
24-15
24-19
21-22
23-33
26-12
19-17
23-15
23-20
24-17
13-19
19-13
20-19
17-19
21-21
14-15
13-12
22-18
22-17
13-18
22-12
18-16
20-19
20-16
8-22
15-19
8-9
19-25
14-18
151.0Avg total
76.4Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.268.0140.2+4.250%
Season at home (3)70.767.3138.0+3.333%
Season away (3)73.768.7142.3+5.067%
Last 10 (10)76.474.6151.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)68.468.8137.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.083.2155.2-11.233%
vs Similar (13)78.474.2152.6+4.262%
vs Weaker (11)80.870.9151.7+9.982%
This opponent (Ukraine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
UkraineGreece
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UkraineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Switzerland
#43
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A06/08
World Cup
Slovakia
#69
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/08
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H16/08
World Cup
Slovakia
#69
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A20/08
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A27/11
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/11
World Cup
Spain
#27
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H27/02
World Cup
Spain
#27
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A02/03
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H02/07
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A05/07
World Cup
76.8Avg total
40.7Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.177.8+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.837.377.1+2.573%-
Last 30 away (15)41.736.978.5+4.860%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.176.8+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.875.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.436.471.9-1.056%-
vs Similar (7)41.438.980.3+2.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.836.680.4+7.179%-
This opponent (Greece) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/09
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H27/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A30/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A02/03
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/07
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H05/07
World Cup
76.3Avg total
39.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.174.8+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.735.871.5-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)41.736.578.1+5.273%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.576.3+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.870.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.739.872.5-7.217%-
vs Similar (13)40.235.275.4+4.977%-
vs Weaker (11)40.235.275.4+5.064%-
This opponent (Ukraine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukrainetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukraine: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.3
54.7%
-38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.7
36.5%
-23.0
🏀 Free throws20.013.5
67.5%
-13.5
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.8
56.0%
-37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws20.814.2
68.3%
-14.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 28 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukraine
WWLLWWWWWL
Greece
LLWLWWWLWW
#22
League position
#39
-6.3
Net rating
+11.6
104.6
Offensive rating
111.6
110.8
Defensive rating
100.0
54.7%
Effective FG%
55.9%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
21.7%
Turnover %
18.7%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.5%
3-point %
37.2%
75.9%
Assist %
65.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Ukraine   ■ Greece
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ukraine wins
1
Greece wins
DateGameScore
06/09/22Greece v Ukraine99-79
Ukrainelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/26ADenmark99-69
02/07/26HGeorgia95-76
02/03/26ASpain64-78
27/02/26HSpain66-86
30/11/25HDenmark88-71
27/11/25AGeorgia92-79
20/08/25ASlovakia98-86
16/08/25HSwitzerland73-64
09/08/25HSlovakia80-71
06/08/25ASwitzerland64-66
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/26HPortugal56-71
02/07/26ARomania66-73
02/03/26AMontenegro79-65
27/02/26HMontenegro65-67
30/11/25APortugal76-68
27/11/25HRomania91-64
14/09/25HFinland92-89
12/09/25HTurkey68-94
09/09/25ALithuania87-76
07/09/25HIsrael84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukraine
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW70%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game81.980.483.4
Allowed / game74.673.675.6
Point differential+7.3+6.8+7.8
Avg total156.5154.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Greece
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game72.270.773.7
Allowed / game68.067.368.7
Point differential+4.2+3.3+5.0
Avg total140.2138.0142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia770100%98.366.7+31.6
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada770100%101.479.6+21.9
4 Poland770100%96.080.3+15.7
5 Turkey660100%88.573.7+14.8
6 Croatia1110191%99.171.2+27.9
7 Argentina76186%86.667.9+18.7
8 Ivory Coast76186%93.175.4+17.7
9 Lebanon76186%90.072.6+17.4
10 Brazil76186%93.178.0+15.1
11 France76186%85.372.0+13.3
12 Germany76186%93.380.4+12.9
13 Cameroon76186%76.970.4+6.4
14 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
15 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
16 Mexico54180%96.683.4+13.2
17 Dominican Republic54180%91.880.2+11.6
18 South Sudan86275%82.467.8+14.6
19 Jordan75271%84.463.1+21.3
20 Senegal75271%85.168.9+16.3
21 Angola75271%86.971.9+15.0
22 New Zealand75271%93.180.6+12.6
23 Uruguay75271%85.073.1+11.9
24 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
25 Iran75271%77.667.7+9.9
26 Tunisia75271%72.766.7+6.0
27 Mali75271%80.175.6+4.6
28 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
29 Serbia64267%86.581.3+5.2
30 Guinea85362%73.466.0+7.4
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Egypt74357%77.472.7+4.7
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Georgia74357%83.781.6+2.1
35 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Sweden74357%82.983.4-0.6
38 Finland74357%78.481.0-2.6
39 Montenegro74357%69.376.4-7.1
40 Hungary116555%81.376.6+4.6
41 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
42 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
43 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
44 Nigeria84450%77.476.0+1.4
45 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
46 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
47 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
48 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
49 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
50 Netherlands115645%80.579.3+1.3
51 Estonia73443%82.381.1+1.1
52 Latvia73443%83.182.9+0.3
53 Bahamas73443%92.393.6-1.3
54 Philippines73443%78.179.7-1.6
55 Saudi Arabia73443%77.078.9-1.9
56 Slovenia73443%82.984.7-1.9
57 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
58 South Korea73443%77.480.1-2.7
59 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
60 Cape Verde83538%74.579.0-4.5
61 Bosnia & Herzegovina62433%79.077.2+1.8
62 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
63 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
66 Israel72529%80.683.3-2.7
67 Puerto Rico72529%87.491.7-4.3
68 Panama72529%74.487.3-12.9
69 D.R. Congo72529%66.685.0-18.4
70 Syria72529%65.784.7-19.0
71 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
72 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukraine2416241882
Greece1918221776
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