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Greece vs Portugal Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 56-71
15-19 8-9 19-25 14-18
Position#39
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Position#37
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeWorld CupRound 6· SUNEL Arena
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portugal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Spain
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
89avg 76
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 76
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 76
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
64avg 76
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
92avg 76
H14/09
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
A02/03
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A02/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
19-15
18-28
22-23
28-22
22-19
17-18
17-20
24-19
20-19
20-14
23-24
16-26
15-23
20-23
17-22
24-15
24-19
21-22
23-33
26-12
19-17
23-15
23-20
24-17
13-19
19-13
20-19
17-19
21-21
14-15
13-12
22-18
22-17
13-18
22-12
18-16
20-19
20-16
8-22
155.9Avg total
79.8Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.467.4142.8+8.060%
Season at home (2)78.065.5143.5+12.550%
Season away (3)73.768.7142.3+5.067%
Last 10 (10)79.876.1155.9+3.770%
Last 5 (5)75.467.4142.8+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.083.2155.2-11.233%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.274.5154.8+5.867%
vs Weaker (12)81.972.3154.2+9.683%
This opponent (Portugal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Serbia
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
56avg 58
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
54-95
54
95
-41
41avg 58
A30/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
62-78
62
78
-16
51avg 58
H01/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
68-65
68
65
+3
61avg 58
A03/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
58-85
58
85
-27
45avg 58
A06/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#51
W
83-62
83
62
+21
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
99-82
99
82
+17
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
A02/03
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
68-72
68
72
-4
no box
H02/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
14-20
16-21
20-16
13-22
14-29
10-22
17-22
21-23
7-27
15-15
19-13
14-14
13-18
20-13
21-20
12-17
20-14
19-21
7-33
14-21
25-11
25-11
19-19
17-24
19-13
13-19
19-20
25-12
29-34
21-15
24-21
22-27
31-23
20-26
23-25
13-23
8-13
20-13
27-23
152.1Avg total
72.5Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.878.6161.4+4.240%
Season at home (3)78.376.7155.0+1.733%
Season away (2)89.581.5171.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)72.579.6152.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)82.878.6161.4+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)61.680.7142.2-19.111%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.882.2165.0+0.633%
vs Weaker (12)76.669.1145.7+7.567%
This opponent (Greece) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
GreecePortugal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/09
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H27/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A30/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A02/03
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/07
World Cup
79.7Avg total
42.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.776.0+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.936.973.8-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)41.736.578.1+5.273%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.279.7+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.075.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.739.872.5-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.635.877.4+5.883%-
vs Weaker (12)40.236.076.2+4.258%-
This opponent (Portugal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A30/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H01/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A03/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A06/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#51
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A27/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H27/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A02/03
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H02/07
World Cup
75.8Avg total
35.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.577.8-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.840.379.1-1.536%-
Last 30 away (16)37.938.876.7-0.956%-
Last 10 (10)35.040.875.8-5.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.280.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.240.471.7-9.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.742.386.0+1.344%-
vs Weaker (12)39.636.776.2+2.967%-
This opponent (Greece) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.8
56.0%
-37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws20.814.2
68.3%
-14.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 66.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.216.7
43.7%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.87.3
25.3%
-21.9
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
-11.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece
LWLWWWLWWW
Portugal
LLWLWLWLLL
#39
League position
#37
+11.6
Net rating
-15.3
111.6
Offensive rating
89.8
100.0
Defensive rating
105.1
55.9%
Effective FG%
41.3%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.3%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.2%
3-point %
25.3%
65.6%
Assist %
67.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Greece   ■ Portugal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Greece wins
0
Portugal wins
DateGameScore
30/11/25Portugal v Greece68-76
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/26ARomania66-73
02/03/26AMontenegro79-65
27/02/26HMontenegro65-67
30/11/25APortugal76-68
27/11/25HRomania91-64
14/09/25HFinland92-89
12/09/25HTurkey68-94
09/09/25ALithuania87-76
07/09/25HIsrael84-79
04/09/25ASpain90-86
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/26HMontenegro68-72
02/03/26ARomania96-101
27/02/26HRomania99-82
30/11/25HGreece68-76
27/11/25AMontenegro83-62
06/09/25AGermany58-85
03/09/25AEstonia68-65
01/09/25HLatvia62-78
30/08/25ATurkey54-95
29/08/25HSerbia69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game75.478.073.7
Allowed / game67.465.568.7
Point differential+8.0+12.5+5.0
Avg total142.8143.5142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portugal
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game82.878.389.5
Allowed / game78.676.781.5
Point differential+4.2+1.7+8.0
Avg total161.4155.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Canada550100%101.682.6+19.0
4 Brazil550100%91.674.4+17.2
5 Poland550100%94.878.4+16.4
6 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
7 Mali550100%82.071.6+10.4
8 Croatia98189%96.969.8+27.1
9 Ivory Coast65183%94.875.2+19.7
10 Lebanon65183%89.572.3+17.2
11 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
12 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
13 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
14 South Sudan54180%84.462.8+21.6
15 Senegal54180%88.068.6+19.4
16 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
17 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
18 Italy54180%87.475.4+12.0
19 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
20 Germany54180%88.680.2+8.4
21 France54180%81.473.6+7.8
22 Cameroon54180%76.471.4+5.0
23 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
24 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
25 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
26 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
27 Guinea64267%72.564.3+8.2
28 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
29 Qatar64267%80.074.3+5.7
30 Nigeria64267%79.774.7+5.0
31 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
32 Angola53260%84.072.2+11.8
33 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
34 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
35 New Zealand53260%86.079.6+6.4
36 Estonia53260%87.281.6+5.6
37 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
38 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
39 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
40 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
41 Netherlands95456%79.975.7+4.2
42 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
43 Egypt63350%77.773.7+4.0
44 Saudi Arabia63350%76.874.3+2.5
45 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
46 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
47 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
48 Colombia42250%79.284.5-5.2
49 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
50 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
51 Austria136746%84.382.8+1.5
52 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
53 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
54 Israel52340%80.674.8+5.8
55 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
56 Portugal52340%82.878.6+4.2
57 Bahamas52340%90.289.2+1.0
58 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
59 Latvia52340%78.079.8-1.8
60 Sweden52340%81.284.8-3.6
61 China52340%82.487.0-4.6
62 Chinese Taipei52340%77.883.0-5.2
63 Czech Republic52340%82.688.8-6.2
64 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
65 Jamaica52340%88.0100.2-12.2
66 D.R. Congo52340%67.081.2-14.2
67 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
68 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Venezuela41325%80.586.2-5.8
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Puerto Rico51420%84.492.2-7.8
77 Chile51420%71.079.4-8.4
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium5050%72.279.0-6.8
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
87 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
88 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
89 Nicaragua3030%70.794.3-23.7
90 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Guam5050%63.299.6-36.4
93 Cyprus5050%56.496.6-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece158191456
Portugal199251871
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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