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Ukraine vs Montenegro Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#22
Record9-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#51
Record4-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game79.1
EuropeWorld CupRound 4
Other2027
Meetings · Ukraine v Montenegro
29 Nov 2026
UKRA v MONT
upcoming
22 Feb 2019
UKRA74
MONT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukraine win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Montenegro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Switzerland
#43
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H16/08
World Cup
Slovakia
#69
W
98-86
98
86
+12
A20/08
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A27/11
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H30/11
World Cup
Spain
#27
L
66-86
66
86
-20
H27/02
World Cup
Spain
#27
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A02/03
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H02/07
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
99-69
99
69
+30
A05/07
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H28/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
13-19
21-24
11-9
17-20
32-20
20-27
29-19
15-23
28-25
23-13
26-18
18-20
28-16
27-10
15-25
21-17
12-15
14-33
19-21
9-16
12-12
22-24
21-26
30-27
19-14
26-19
20-16
22-25
31-12
24-19
22-13
24-19
16-18
24-22
18-17
19-18
27-22
26-22
26-27
162.9Avg total
85.5Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.275.9159.2+7.375%
Season at home (6)80.774.0154.7+6.783%
Season away (6)85.877.8163.7+8.067%
Last 10 (10)85.577.4162.9+8.180%
Last 5 (5)87.677.6165.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.481.0154.4-7.612%
vs Similar (7)82.786.7169.4-4.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.873.9159.7+11.987%
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#21
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A01/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#37
L
62-83
62
83
-21
H27/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A30/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A27/02
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H02/03
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A02/07
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H05/07
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
74-101
74
101
-27
A28/08
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
22-19
24-31
23-16
26-25
16-23
21-20
20-21
21-14
11-25
11-25
19-19
26-17
23-17
16-22
15-19
19-17
21-21
15-14
12-13
18-22
17-22
18-13
12-22
23-13
13-8
13-20
23-27
17-14
11-15
27-21
10-14
17-27
25-21
25-29
7-24
18-19
22-27
22-26
27-26
154.7Avg total
74.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.879.1150.9-7.450%
Season at home (4)70.281.0151.2-10.825%
Season away (4)73.277.2150.5-4.075%
Last 10 (10)74.480.3154.7-5.950%
Last 5 (5)73.082.0155.0-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.984.1156.0-12.231%
vs Similar (7)77.974.3152.1+3.671%
vs Weaker (7)81.673.7155.3+7.957%
This opponent (Ukraine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
UkraineMontenegro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UkraineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Switzerland
#43
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H16/08
World Cup
Slovakia
#69
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A20/08
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A27/11
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/11
World Cup
Spain
#27
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H27/02
World Cup
Spain
#27
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A02/03
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H02/07
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A05/07
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A31/08
World Cup
79.1Avg total
42.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.177.8+3.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.177.0+2.780%-
Last 30 away (15)41.637.178.7+4.560%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.079.1+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.678.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.036.071.0-1.062%-
vs Similar (7)41.438.980.3+2.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.536.980.3+6.680%-
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#21
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A01/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H27/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A30/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A27/02
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H02/03
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A02/07
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H05/07
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A28/08
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H31/08
World Cup
76.5Avg total
38.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.177.4-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.440.980.3-1.527%-
Last 30 away (15)37.237.374.5-0.167%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.176.5+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.673.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.841.977.8-6.125%-
vs Similar (7)40.437.477.9+3.057%-
vs Weaker (7)41.934.176.0+7.786%-
This opponent (Ukraine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukrainetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukraine: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.3
54.7%
-38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.7
36.5%
-23.0
🏀 Free throws20.013.5
67.5%
-13.5
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
-39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws22.416.5
73.7%
-16.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukraine
WWWWLLWWWW
Montenegro
LLWWLWWLLW
#22
League position
#51
-6.3
Net rating
-6.0
104.6
Offensive rating
106.5
110.8
Defensive rating
112.5
54.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
21.7%
Turnover %
19.9%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.5%
3-point %
33.9%
75.9%
Assist %
58.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Ukraine   ■ Montenegro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ukraine wins
2
Montenegro wins
DateGameScore
31/08/26Montenegro v Ukraine89-98
22/02/19Ukraine v Montenegro74-76
17/09/18Montenegro v Ukraine90-84
Ukrainelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26AMontenegro98-89
28/08/26HGreece82-76
05/07/26ADenmark99-69
02/07/26HGeorgia95-76
02/03/26ASpain64-78
27/02/26HSpain66-86
30/11/25HDenmark88-71
27/11/25AGeorgia92-79
20/08/25ASlovakia98-86
16/08/25HSwitzerland73-64
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26HUkraine89-98
28/08/26AGeorgia74-101
05/07/26HRomania65-64
02/07/26APortugal72-68
02/03/26HGreece65-79
27/02/26AGreece67-65
30/11/25ARomania80-75
27/11/25HPortugal62-83
03/09/25HGreat Britain83-89
01/09/25ASweden87-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukraine
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game83.280.785.8
Allowed / game75.974.077.8
Point differential+7.3+6.7+8.0
Avg total159.2154.7163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montenegro
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%25%75%
Points / game71.870.273.2
Allowed / game79.181.077.2
Point differential-7.4-10.8-4.0
Avg total150.9151.2150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.
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