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Ulm vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 98-84
31-17 23-22 21-20 23-25
Position#9
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ulm 🏆
vs
Balkan
Position#32
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEurocupRound 1· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H22/04
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H25/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A02/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
103-64
103
64
+39
A10/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A16/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A18/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H23/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H20/09
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#15
W
93-78
93
78
+15
A25/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#7
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H27/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
5-23
34-25
26-21
12-20
29-20
13-12
19-19
20-21
26-23
22-26
15-30
21-19
31-24
30-8
19-16
23-16
26-16
15-19
16-18
17-27
18-22
24-19
18-32
27-17
28-27
19-20
19-32
21-17
18-15
17-12
23-30
28-20
27-21
16-16
27-21
23-20
24-16
9-25
22-21
12-28
167.3Avg total
83.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.983.4167.3+0.540%
Last 5 (5)84.086.2170.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.783.0160.7-5.343%
vs Similar (11)80.083.8163.8-3.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.877.8165.7+10.058%
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minyor
#7
W
105-66
105
66
+39
H29/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
103-83
103
83
+20
A01/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H09/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H11/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
77-59
77
59
+18
A14/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H25/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
H27/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A30/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A01/06
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H05/06
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
22-21
26-13
33-12
20-18
26-23
34-22
23-20
26-16
21-20
15-26
29-27
27-14
19-27
14-19
20-18
19-14
16-14
13-20
29-11
19-23
24-16
23-18
22-16
19-28
27-19
20-22
15-12
23-23
14-19
22-18
18-22
18-22
25-20
19-26
16-16
20-18
18-21
22-19
21-22
165.7Avg total
87.4Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.478.3165.7+9.180%
Last 5 (5)83.681.6165.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (2)79.079.5158.5-0.550%
vs Weaker (28)91.380.2171.5+11.179%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +5.0+5.0
UlmBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H22/04
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H25/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A02/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
61-32
61
32
+29
A10/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A16/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H23/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#5
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/09
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#15
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A25/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H27/09
BBL
82.0Avg total
43.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.180.8+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.738.982.6+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.739.278.9+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.982.0+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.678.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.639.777.3-2.143%-
vs Similar (11)40.640.380.9+0.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.137.682.7+7.575%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minyor
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A01/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H09/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A14/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H25/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H27/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A30/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/06
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/06
NBL
82.3Avg total
42.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.440.986.3+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.439.184.5+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)45.542.788.2+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.682.3+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.883.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (2)35.544.079.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (28)46.140.786.8+5.568%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.4
54.0%
54.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.3
31.2%
34.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.715.8
76.3%
75.6%15.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.6
53.3%
54.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.7
33.7%
34.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws25.218.5
73.4%
75.6%18.5
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWWLLLWLWL
Balkan
WLLWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#32
+0.6
Net rating
+9.7
93.2
Offensive rating
98.9
92.6
Defensive rating
89.2
51.1%
Effective FG%
52.1%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
16.2%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.2%
3-point %
33.7%
66.3%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 98.9Defence92.6 · 89.2Shooting51.1% · 52.1%3-point %31.2% · 33.7%Ball care16.2% · 13.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Ulm   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
0
Balkan wins
No previous meetings.
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26HWurzburg67-90
25/09/26APhoenix Hagen93-78
20/09/26HLudwigsburg86-77
23/05/26HBamberg87-96
18/05/26ABamberg87-90
16/05/26ABamberg74-80
10/05/26AFrankfurt103-64
02/05/26AWurzburg84-98
25/04/26HHamburg81-72
22/04/26HAlba Berlin77-89
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/06/26HLok. Plovdiv81-80
01/06/26ALok. Plovdiv78-84
30/05/26ALok. Plovdiv77-82
27/05/26HLok. Plovdiv94-89 OT
25/05/26HLok. Plovdiv88-73
14/05/26ACherno More77-59
11/05/26HCherno More80-78
09/05/26HCherno More91-89
01/05/26AMinyor103-83
29/04/26HMinyor105-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Balkan
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia110100%104.072.0+32.0
2 Hapoel Jerusalem110100%94.073.0+21.0
3 PAOK110100%93.078.0+15.0
4 Aris110100%87.074.0+13.0
5 Bahcesehir Kol.110100%91.078.0+13.0
6 Tofas110100%82.069.0+13.0
7 Lietkabelis110100%75.072.0+3.0
8 Siauliai110100%74.071.0+3.0
9 Trento110100%76.073.0+3.0
10 Rigas Zelli110100%86.084.0+2.0
11 Tortona1010%84.086.0-2.0
12 KK Bosna1010%72.075.0-3.0
13 London Lions1010%71.074.0-3.0
14 Neptunas1010%73.076.0-3.0
15 BC Roma1010%78.091.0-13.0
16 Chemnitz1010%69.082.0-13.0
17 Le Mans1010%74.087.0-13.0
18 Manresa1010%78.093.0-15.0
19 Rostock1010%73.094.0-21.0
20 Frankfurt1010%72.0104.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm3123212398
Balkan1722202584
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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