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Wurzburg vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 98-84
23-26 26-22 30-15 19-21
Position#5
Record17-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#6
Record18-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game78.2
GermanyBBLRound 32· Tectake Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Wurzburg v Ulm
09 May 2027
WUR v ULM
upcoming
02 May 2026
WUR98
ULM84
10 Jun 2025
WUR78
ULM77
04 Jun 2025
WUR87
ULM77
14 Apr 2025
WUR89
ULM72
24 May 2024
WUR75
ULM72
22 May 2024
WUR82
ULM79
19 Nov 2023
WUR83
ULM88
14 Oct 2023
WUR72
ULM76
03 Mar 2023
WUR62
ULM82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
72avg 73
A10/03
Champions League
Bonn
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
77avg 73
H14/03
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
77avg 73
H17/03
Champions League
Oldenburg
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
82avg 73
A22/03
BBL
Trier
#12
L
90-102
90
102
-12
79avg 73
A01/04
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
86-103
86
103
-17
75avg 73
H04/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
87-69
87
69
+18
84avg 73
A11/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
80-66
80
66
+14
79avg 73
H17/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 73
H23/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
52-83
52
83
-31
40avg 73
A26/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-34
15-15
28-17
22-25
16-18
19-24
27-21
19-24
26-19
21-26
17-19
20-17
18-20
21-25
23-18
23-16
17-21
22-24
25-37
26-20
17-27
30-21
14-26
25-29
24-16
19-12
24-20
20-21
17-26
20-9
23-14
20-17
14-21
32-16
20-29
15-24
11-27
8-17
19-21
14-18
166.1Avg total
81.0Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.281.0162.2+0.255%
Season at home (15)84.781.3166.0+3.567%
Season away (16)77.980.8158.7-2.944%
Last 10 (10)81.085.1166.1-4.140%
Last 5 (5)77.282.2159.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.787.3168.0-6.711%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.280.6162.8+1.650%
vs Weaker (9)83.177.6160.7+5.678%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Jena
#16
W
93-90
93
90
+3
83avg 74
H14/03
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 74
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
L
90-93
90
93
-3
89avg 74
A29/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
104-81
104
81
+23
106avg 74
H01/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
67-77
67
77
-10
56avg 74
A04/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
65avg 74
H11/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 74
A15/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
75-68
75
68
+7
58avg 74
A19/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
67avg 74
H22/04
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
78avg 74
H25/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
30-28
20-18
14-20
19-20
20-20
19-21
26-16
24-20
23-23
22-26
21-24
19-25
31-16
29-20
25-20
16-14
24-24
14-16
13-23
23-16
18-24
16-19
16-30
14-20
20-21
13-16
19-22
11-15
30-20
12-19
22-14
5-23
34-25
26-21
12-20
29-20
13-12
19-19
20-21
162.5Avg total
81.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.278.2160.4+4.056%
Season at home (17)83.576.7160.2+6.871%
Season away (15)80.779.9160.6+0.740%
Last 10 (10)81.081.5162.5-0.550%
Last 5 (5)74.479.4153.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.885.2163.0-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.377.9155.2-0.660%
vs Weaker (14)86.178.4164.6+7.757%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
WurzburgUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A10/03
Champions League
Bonn
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H14/03
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H17/03
Champions League
Oldenburg
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/03
BBL
Trier
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A01/04
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H04/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A11/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H17/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H23/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
19-44
19
44
-25
A26/04
BBL
80.4Avg total
38.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.480.4-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.980.8+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.079.9-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.880.4-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.743.984.6-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.140.679.7-1.542%-
vs Weaker (9)40.336.877.1+3.667%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jena
#16
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H14/03
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H01/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A04/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A19/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H22/04
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H25/04
BBL
84.2Avg total
43.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.379.9+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.038.981.9+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.139.777.9-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.084.2+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.278.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.842.881.7-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.339.578.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (14)42.237.779.9+4.564%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.9
54.2%
53.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.7
35.5%
34.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.313.7
71.0%
73.5%13.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.6
53.1%
53.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.5
30.9%
34.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.716.2
71.4%
73.5%16.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LLWWLLWWLL
Ulm
WLWLLLWLWW
#5
League position
#6
-5.4
Net rating
-0.4
96.6
Offensive rating
89.9
102.0
Defensive rating
90.4
53.8%
Effective FG%
50.2%
58.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.5%
3-point %
30.9%
62.9%
Assist %
62.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 89.9Defence102.0 · 90.4Shooting53.8% · 50.2%3-point %35.5% · 30.9%Ball care15.5% · 17.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Wurzburg wins
5
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
29/12/25Ulm v Wurzburg66-61
12/06/25Ulm v Wurzburg91-84
10/06/25Wurzburg v Ulm78-77
07/06/25Ulm v Wurzburg99-86
04/06/25Wurzburg v Ulm87-77
01/06/25Ulm v Wurzburg91-87 OT
14/04/25Wurzburg v Ulm89-72
28/09/24Ulm v Wurzburg85-76
24/05/24Wurzburg v Ulm75-72
22/05/24Wurzburg v Ulm82-79
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26ASyntainics MBC52-83
23/04/26HBayern81-90
17/04/26HFrankfurt80-66
11/04/26AJena87-69
04/04/26HVechta86-103
01/04/26ATrier90-102
22/03/26AOldenburg85-79
17/03/26HChalon/Saone84-81
14/03/26HBonn81-87
10/03/26AJoventut Badalona84-91
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HHamburg81-72
22/04/26HAlba Berlin77-89
19/04/26ARostock75-68
15/04/26AChemnitz66-79
11/04/26HBamberg73-89
04/04/26ABasketball Braunschweig67-77
01/04/26HSyntainics MBC104-81
29/03/26AHeidelberg90-93
23/03/26HBonn84-77
14/03/26HJena93-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL55%
HomeWLLWL67%
AwayLWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%67%44%
Points / game81.284.777.9
Allowed / game81.081.380.8
Point differential+0.2+3.5-2.9
Avg total162.2166.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%47%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)100% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Ulm
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %56%71%40%
Points / game82.283.580.7
Allowed / game78.276.779.9
Point differential+4.0+6.8+0.7
Avg total160.4160.2160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%35%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3126584%88.074.1+13.9
2 Alba Berlin3223972%86.078.1+7.9
3 Bamberg31211068%89.382.0+7.4
4 Bonn32201262%83.479.8+3.6
5 Ulm32181456%82.278.2+4.0
6 Wurzburg31171455%81.281.0+0.2
7 Ludwigsburg31171455%82.883.5-0.6
8 Vechta31161552%90.288.4+1.8
9 Trier31161552%90.893.3-2.5
10 Rostock31141745%82.882.8-0.0
11 Oldenburg31141745%82.884.2-1.4
12 Chemnitz31141745%83.285.3-2.1
13 Hamburg31131842%86.087.9-1.9
14 Syntainics MBC31131842%85.187.1-2.0
15 Frankfurt32122038%81.485.6-4.2
16 Jena31112035%81.689.4-7.8
17 Basketball Braunschweig3182326%81.890.0-8.2
18 Heidelberg3182326%78.386.6-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg2326301998
Ulm2622152184
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