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Ulm vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 95-80
21-17 29-16 23-24 22-23
Position#10
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game88.0
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game68.2
EuropeEurocupRound 6
European cup2018
Meetings · Ulm v Crvena zvezda
07 Nov 2018
ULM95
CZV80
09 Jan 2013
ULM95
CZV100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A02/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#4
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A06/10
German Cup
Galatasaray
#20
W
103-92 OT
103
92
+11
H10/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
A13/10
BBL
Monaco
#8
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H16/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H20/10
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A24/10
Eurocup
Giessen
#13
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H27/10
BBL
Brescia
#19
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H30/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#12
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A04/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
22-18
16-16
14-26
17-16
25-18
16-21
16-23
19-25
27-18
6-23
26-12
20-24
21-22
19-19
17-12
15-24
17-22
11-13
22-16
17-24
20-20
15-24
22-24
25-20
15-29
23-24
32-30
21-23
23-22
20-19
27-28
24-29
16-16
27-18
16-19
16-23
19-25
25-17
28-14
172.9Avg total
84.5Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.888.0171.8-4.240%
Season at home (3)83.783.0166.7+0.767%
Season away (2)84.095.5179.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)84.588.4172.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)86.289.6175.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.889.5169.3-9.618%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.085.0165.0-5.022%
vs Weaker (9)86.483.7170.1+2.867%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#10
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H02/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
W
87-71
87
71
+16
A07/10
ABA League
Monaco
#8
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A10/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H13/10
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H16/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H20/10
ABA League
Brescia
#19
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A24/10
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A27/10
ABA League
Galatasaray
#20
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H30/10
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H03/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
18-22
16-16
26-14
22-13
23-18
22-19
20-21
17-6
12-18
8-20
29-19
29-17
17-15
20-19
14-15
16-17
28-16
16-25
25-21
25-23
27-21
23-11
21-20
31-15
7-24
12-17
11-13
25-12
20-20
15-17
21-23
26-13
18-13
25-21
18-10
22-14
28-20
22-18
22-27
152.9Avg total
82.5Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.468.2145.6+9.280%
Season at home (3)86.769.7156.3+17.0100%
Season away (2)63.566.0129.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)82.570.4152.9+12.190%
Last 5 (5)83.870.4154.2+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.470.0151.4+11.4100%
vs Weaker (24)86.172.3158.5+13.888%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +9.0+9.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
UlmCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A02/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/10
German Cup
Galatasaray
#20
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/10
BBL
Monaco
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H16/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/10
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A24/10
Eurocup
Giessen
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H27/10
BBL
Brescia
#19
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H30/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A04/11
BBL
84.6Avg total
40.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.943.782.5-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.043.881.8-5.814%-
Last 30 away (16)39.643.683.2-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)40.044.684.6-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)39.246.285.4-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.343.981.2-6.69%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.046.282.2-10.20%-
vs Weaker (9)43.341.985.2+1.456%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H02/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A07/10
ABA League
Monaco
#8
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A10/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H13/10
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H16/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H20/10
ABA League
Brescia
#19
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/10
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/10
ABA League
Galatasaray
#20
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H30/10
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H03/11
ABA League
77.7Avg total
43.9Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.035.580.5+9.687%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.835.981.7+9.994%-
Last 30 away (14)44.135.079.1+9.179%-
Last 10 (10)43.933.877.7+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)45.835.080.8+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.434.273.6+5.280%-
vs Weaker (24)46.435.581.9+11.092%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.819.0
45.5%
51.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.8
34.8%
36.6%23.2
🏀 Free throws21.217.8
83.5%
74.9%17.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.4
57.6%
51.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.2
39.6%
36.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.613.8
74.2%
74.9%13.8
They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWLLLLLWLL
Crvena zvezda
WWWLWWWWWW
#10
League position
#9
-9.4
Net rating
+18.0
105.6
Offensive rating
113.0
114.9
Defensive rating
95.1
47.9%
Effective FG%
58.3%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
43.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.5%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.8%
3-point %
39.6%
55.1%
Assist %
66.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 113.0Defence114.9 · 95.1Shooting47.9% · 58.3%3-point %34.8% · 39.6%Ball care18.5% · 17.5%Off. rebounds33.1% · 26.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Ulm   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
2
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
02/10/18Crvena zvezda v Ulm88-73
13/02/13Crvena zvezda v Ulm78-92
09/01/13Ulm v Crvena zvezda95-100
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/18ABayreuth88-79
30/10/18HBrescia83-82
27/10/18HGiessen91-92
24/10/18AMoraBanc Andorra95-103
20/10/18HAlba Berlin74-92
16/10/18HMonaco65-75
13/10/18AOldenburg99-103 OT
10/10/18HGalatasaray103-92 OT
06/10/18AFrankfurt74-78
02/10/18ACrvena zvezda73-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/18HCedevita94-79
30/10/18HGalatasaray87-57
27/10/18AFMP Beograd81-72
24/10/18ABrescia61-69
20/10/18HIgokea96-75
16/10/18HMoraBanc Andorra85-79
13/10/18HKK Krka Novo mesto80-66
10/10/18AMonaco66-63
07/10/18ABuducnost87-71
02/10/18HUlm88-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game83.883.784.0
Allowed / game88.083.095.5
Point differential-4.2+0.7-11.5
Avg total171.8166.7179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
Crvena zvezda
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game77.486.763.5
Allowed / game68.269.766.0
Point differential+9.2+17.0-2.5
Avg total145.6156.3129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban65183%85.574.2+11.3
2 Unics Kazan65183%88.076.7+11.3
3 Alba Berlin65183%92.283.8+8.3
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne65183%78.770.5+8.2
5 Crvena zvezda54180%77.468.2+9.2
6 Unicaja54180%89.282.6+6.6
7 Monaco54180%77.071.4+5.6
8 Valencia64267%80.773.8+6.8
9 Frankfurt64267%80.878.3+2.5
10 Rytas53260%78.475.2+3.2
11 Zenit Petersburg63350%85.582.0+3.5
12 Turk Telekom63350%74.878.5-3.7
13 MoraBanc Andorra52340%87.687.2+0.4
14 Cedevita52340%78.279.0-0.8
15 Limoges52340%81.284.0-2.8
16 Ulm52340%83.888.0-4.2
17 Galatasaray52340%80.485.0-4.6
18 Partizan62433%76.580.0-3.5
19 Tofas62433%89.294.2-5.0
20 Brescia51420%77.283.6-6.4
21 Trento61517%69.580.8-11.3
22 Gdynia61517%73.385.0-11.7
23 Mornar Bar61517%76.792.2-15.5
24 Torino6060%83.590.0-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2129232295
Crvena zvezda1716242380
← all games of the day
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