PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ulm vs Panionios Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 103-96
28-22 24-25 25-24 26-25
Position#15
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game93.0
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#19
Record1-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeEurocupRound 2· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panionios winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
87avg 81
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
50avg 81
A15/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 81
H18/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 81
A21/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
53-67
53
67
-14
39avg 81
H24/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
66avg 81
A26/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 81
H28/09
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
W
96-93
96
93
+3
89avg 81
A30/09
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#10
W
93-86
93
86
+7
93avg 81
A02/10
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
87-80
87
80
+7
82avg 81
H04/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
24-26
16-15
25-26
19-19
17-18
16-17
14-28
21-22
14-15
21-7
23-20
17-20
20-22
22-20
22-17
13-19
19-13
12-17
9-18
21-28
20-20
20-17
16-16
27-27
15-11
26-26
26-17
20-23
28-16
22-26
26-28
26-20
22-32
22-18
23-16
18-10
18-23
21-28
30-19
161.4Avg total
81.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)96.093.0189.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)96.093.0189.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.779.7161.4+2.070%
Last 5 (5)89.484.2173.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.093.0189.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (13)83.677.8161.4+5.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.182.4173.4+8.775%
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanionios
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
66-97
66
97
-31
58avg 71
A09/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
93-101 OT
93
101
-8
84avg 71
H16/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
64-95
64
95
-31
57avg 71
A23/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
92-78
92
78
+14
85avg 71
H29/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
67-106
67
106
-39
54avg 71
A06/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
80avg 71
H13/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
102-93
102
93
+9
101avg 71
H03/05
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
78-94
78
94
-16
63avg 71
A07/05
Basket League
Chemnitz
#12
W
89-86 OT
89
86
+3
74avg 71
H01/10
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
L
61-87
61
87
-26
49avg 71
H04/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
12-23
21-25
17-22
25-31
20-18
23-22
19-16
9-22
16-26
20-20
19-27
17-11
26-18
28-27
21-22
17-22
28-20
8-32
14-32
18-28
22-16
17-28
28-19
30-22
17-22
32-24
23-25
23-22
20-23
14-28
21-21
30-13
19-32
8-21
20-11
21-18
18-22
2-16
20-31
172.5Avg total
79.7Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.086.0175.0+3.0100%
Season at home (1)89.086.0175.0+3.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.792.8172.5-13.130%
Last 5 (5)83.090.2173.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.988.6162.5-14.710%
vs Similar (17)80.377.9158.2+2.459%
vs Weaker (3)80.378.0158.3+2.367%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
UlmPanionios
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A15/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A21/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H24/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A26/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H28/09
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A30/09
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#10
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A02/10
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H04/10
BBL
80.6Avg total
40.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.582.1+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.939.485.4+6.575%-
Last 30 away (14)38.739.678.4-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.180.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.085.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.039.087.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (13)40.138.878.8+1.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.240.284.4+4.169%-
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A09/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H16/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A23/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H29/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A06/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H13/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H03/05
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/05
Basket League
Chemnitz
#12
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H01/10
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H04/10
Basket League
84.0Avg total
40.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.279.3-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.838.579.2+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)37.142.179.3-5.036%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.684.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.687.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.543.379.8-6.830%-
vs Similar (17)40.138.578.6+1.647%-
vs Weaker (3)41.739.381.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.8
51.3%
54.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.8
33.6%
34.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.715.7
72.4%
75.2%15.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panioniostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panionios: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.6
52.0%
54.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.0
31.2%
34.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.413.7
70.6%
75.2%13.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWLLWWLW
Panionios
LWLWLLWLLL
#15
League position
#19
+2.3
Net rating
-16.7
108.2
Offensive rating
102.4
105.9
Defensive rating
119.2
50.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.3%
19.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.6%
3-point %
31.2%
59.8%
Assist %
59.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 102.4Defence105.9 · 119.2Shooting50.9% · 50.0%3-point %33.6% · 31.2%Ball care19.5% · 18.8%Off. rebounds35.3% · 30.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Ulm   ■ Panionios
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
0
Panionios wins
No previous meetings.
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HRostock87-80
02/10/25AOldenburg93-86
30/09/25ATurk Telekom96-93
28/09/25HChemnitz94-81
26/06/25ABayern77-81
24/06/25HBayern53-67
21/06/25ABayern81-79
18/06/25HBayern79-64
15/06/25ABayern66-82
12/06/25HWurzburg91-84
Panionioslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HPeristeri61-87
01/10/25HChemnitz89-86 OT
07/05/25APAOK78-94
03/05/25HPeristeri102-93
13/04/25HOlympiacos85-91
06/04/25AOlympiacos67-106
29/03/25HAris92-78
23/03/25AOlympiacos64-95
16/03/25HPromitheas93-101 OT
09/03/25APanathinaikos66-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game96.0-96.0
Allowed / game93.0-93.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total189.0-189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Panionios
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total175.0175.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JL Bourg110100%79.048.0+31.0
2 Buducnost110100%86.059.0+27.0
3 Hapoel Jerusalem110100%100.085.0+15.0
4 Slask Wroclaw110100%95.085.0+10.0
5 Bahcesehir Kol.110100%98.090.0+8.0
6 Cedevita Olimpija110100%76.069.0+7.0
7 Lietkabelis110100%85.079.0+6.0
8 Aris110100%85.081.0+4.0
9 Panionios110100%89.086.0+3.0
10 Ulm110100%96.093.0+3.0
11 Cluj-Napoca21150%98.5100.0-1.5
12 Chemnitz1010%86.089.0-3.0
13 Turk Telekom1010%93.096.0-3.0
14 Venezia1010%81.085.0-4.0
15 Besiktas1010%79.085.0-6.0
16 Manresa1010%69.076.0-7.0
17 Neptunas2020%93.5101.0-7.5
18 Hamburg1010%85.0100.0-15.0
19 London Lions1010%59.086.0-27.0
20 Trento1010%48.079.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm28242526103
Panionios2225242596
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.