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PAOK vs Panionios Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 94-78
22-23 23-20 28-14 21-21
Position#6
Record11-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game82.6
PAOK 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#8
Record11-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.0
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Final· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · PAOK v Panionios
20 Dec 2025
PAK106
PAN88
07 May 2025
PAK94
PAN78
11 Jan 2025
PAK98
PAN105
02 Jan 2021
PAK v PAN
upcoming
03 Oct 2020
PAK20
PAN0
21 Mar 2020
PAK v PAN
upcoming
10 Apr 2019
PAK83
PAN73
03 Oct 2018
PAK81
PAN69
13 Jan 2018
PAK92
PAN74
28 Feb 2015
PAK79
PAN65
01 Jun 2014
PAK84
PAN80
26 May 2014
PAK81
PAN63
14 Dec 2013
PAK91
PAN100
20 Apr 2013
PAK59
PAN66
12 Nov 2011
PAK51
PAN58
19 Feb 2011
PAK84
PAN92
29 Dec 2009
PAK75
PAN70
15 Oct 2008
PAK76
PAN80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panionios winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#4
W
71-61
71
61
+10
66avg 74
H15/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
84avg 74
A23/03
Basket League
Cholet
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 74
H26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#1
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
86avg 74
A02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 74
A05/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
94-69
94
69
+25
94avg 74
H12/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#2
L
65-72
65
72
-7
53avg 74
A16/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 74
H23/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
75avg 74
A27/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 74
A03/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-9
19-17
15-19
22-16
26-19
22-18
20-18
15-29
25-19
15-28
22-21
26-21
27-16
16-24
13-25
25-15
14-14
18-29
16-27
28-19
27-17
14-16
30-18
23-18
12-22
19-16
19-14
15-20
24-24
15-25
24-12
21-21
9-21
16-19
26-18
27-20
17-36
23-11
18-17
18-26
162.5Avg total
81.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.682.6162.2-3.042%
Season at home (12)83.778.4162.1+5.267%
Season away (14)76.186.1162.2-10.121%
Last 10 (10)81.281.3162.5-0.140%
Last 5 (5)80.880.4161.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.185.2165.3-5.133%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.978.6160.5+3.362%
vs Weaker (1)69.074.0143.0-5.00%
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanionios
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
79avg 71
H02/02
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
61avg 71
A08/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
60avg 71
H01/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
66-97
66
97
-31
58avg 71
A09/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
93-101 OT
93
101
-8
84avg 71
H16/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
64-95
64
95
-31
57avg 71
A23/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
92-78
92
78
+14
85avg 71
H29/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
67-106
67
106
-39
54avg 71
A06/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
80avg 71
H13/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
102-93
102
93
+9
101avg 71
H03/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
22-12
20-17
23-23
20-24
18-13
11-24
23-19
16-28
13-23
20-14
26-15
16-27
12-23
21-25
17-22
25-31
20-18
23-22
19-16
9-22
16-26
20-20
19-27
17-11
26-18
28-27
21-22
17-22
28-20
8-32
14-32
18-28
22-16
17-28
28-19
30-22
17-22
32-24
23-25
168.8Avg total
79.8Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.581.0159.6-2.542%
Season at home (14)83.177.5160.6+5.664%
Season away (12)73.285.2158.3-12.017%
Last 10 (10)79.889.0168.8-9.230%
Last 5 (5)82.092.6174.6-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.689.1162.8-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.477.5157.8+2.959%
vs Weaker (5)81.072.6153.6+8.480%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
PAOKPanionios
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#4
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/03
Basket League
Cholet
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A05/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A16/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H23/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A27/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A03/05
Basket League
77.3Avg total
37.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.778.6-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.838.379.1+2.556%-
Last 30 away (14)36.941.278.1-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.077.3-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.476.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.142.279.3-5.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.437.478.8+4.062%-
vs Weaker (1)34.039.073.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H02/02
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A08/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H01/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A09/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H16/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A23/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H29/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A06/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H13/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H03/05
Basket League
80.2Avg total
37.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.278.1-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.637.177.6+3.556%-
Last 30 away (14)37.141.678.7-4.443%-
Last 10 (10)37.942.380.2-4.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.481.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.643.578.1-8.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.038.178.1+1.953%-
vs Weaker (5)42.435.878.2+6.680%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.0
47.3%
53.5%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.1
34.1%
34.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.7
76.0%
73.3%17.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panioniostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panionios: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.1
51.0%
53.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.2
33.2%
34.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.614.4
69.9%
73.3%14.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LLWLWLWLLW
Panionios
WLLWLLLLLW
#6
League position
#8
-0.7
Net rating
-11.6
108.2
Offensive rating
104.5
108.9
Defensive rating
116.1
49.1%
Effective FG%
50.5%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.1%
3-point %
33.2%
68.6%
Assist %
59.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 104.5Defence108.9 · 116.1Shooting49.1% · 50.5%3-point %34.1% · 33.2%Ball care16.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds32.0% · 28.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ PAOK   ■ Panionios
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
PAOK wins
3
Panionios wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25PAOK v Panionios98-105 OT
19/10/24Panionios v PAOK73-62
03/10/20PAOK v Panionios20-0
30/11/19Panionios v PAOK97-87
10/04/19PAOK v Panionios83-73
23/12/18Panionios v PAOK69-73
03/10/18PAOK v Panionios81-69
09/05/18Panionios v PAOK67-81
13/01/18PAOK v Panionios92-74
28/02/15PAOK v Panionios79-65
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AAS Karditsas76-90
27/04/25AAEK Athens85-89 OT
23/04/25HBilbao84-82
16/04/25ABilbao65-72
12/04/25HAEK Athens94-69
05/04/25AAEK Athens76-89
02/04/25ACholet90-88 OT
26/03/25HCholet88-89
23/03/25AKolossos Rhodes83-84
15/03/25HAS Karditsas71-61
Panionioslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HPeristeri102-93
13/04/25HOlympiacos85-91
06/04/25AOlympiacos67-106
29/03/25HAris92-78
23/03/25AOlympiacos64-95
16/03/25HPromitheas93-101 OT
09/03/25APanathinaikos66-97
01/03/25HAEK Athens75-80
08/02/25AAris72-80
02/02/25HAS Karditsas82-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %42%67%21%
Points / game79.683.776.1
Allowed / game82.678.486.1
Point differential-3.0+5.2-10.1
Avg total162.2162.1162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %8%8%7%
Panionios
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW42%
HomeLLWLW64%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %42%64%17%
Points / game78.583.173.2
Allowed / game81.077.585.2
Point differential-2.5+5.6-12.0
Avg total159.6160.6158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %15%7%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos24240100%93.876.0+17.7
2 Olympiacos2523292%90.074.2+15.8
3 AEK Athens26161062%84.781.7+3.1
4 Promitheas25131252%81.281.2-0.1
5 AS Karditsas26131350%76.578.5-2.0
6 Panionios26111542%78.581.0-2.5
7 PAOK26111542%79.682.6-3.0
8 Aris28111739%77.783.1-5.4
9 Peristeri27101737%77.583.4-5.9
10 Kolossos Rhodes2691735%79.381.2-1.8
11 Maroussi2681831%78.585.1-6.6
12 Lavrio2772026%78.985.3-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2223282194
Panionios2320142178
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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