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Ulm vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 94-81
27-27 15-11 26-26 26-17
Position#6
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#11
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyBBLRound 1· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Ulm v Chemnitz
10 Jan 2027
ULM v CHE
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
ULM88
CHE76
28 Sep 2025
ULM94
CHE81
06 Apr 2025
ULM117
CHE87
27 Sep 2023
ULM90
CHE85
05 Nov 2022
ULM93
CHE99
22 Jan 2022
ULM77
CHE68
24 Jan 2021
ULM102
CHE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
82avg 80
H01/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 80
A04/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
99-86
99
86
+13
94avg 80
H07/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
77-78
77
78
-1
70avg 80
A10/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
87avg 80
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
50avg 80
A15/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 80
H18/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 80
A21/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
53-67
53
67
-14
39avg 80
H24/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
66avg 80
A26/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
21-21
19-19
9-17
20-20
17-26
20-20
20-21
17-20
31-17
20-18
31-31
23-25
18-19
22-19
14-15
26-17
24-26
16-15
25-26
19-19
17-18
16-17
14-28
21-22
14-15
21-7
23-20
17-20
20-22
22-20
22-17
13-19
19-13
12-17
9-18
21-28
20-20
20-17
16-16
158.6Avg total
79.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.179.5158.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)71.274.6145.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.097.0187.0-7.00%
vs Similar (12)83.377.6160.9+5.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.681.2170.9+8.471%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
95-97
95
97
-2
86avg 74
A19/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
81-103
81
103
-22
71avg 74
H27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
102avg 74
H01/05
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
108-102 OT
108
102
+6
98avg 74
H04/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
93-88
93
88
+5
87avg 74
A07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
94-104
94
104
-10
86avg 74
A11/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
90-93
90
93
-3
74avg 74
H17/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 74
A20/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
97-88
97
88
+9
96avg 74
H25/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
64-92
64
92
-28
48avg 74
A27/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
20-32
20-29
23-19
23-27
4-35
28-21
26-20
19-21
13-25
26-25
32-19
18-21
29-25
23-16
24-32
12-29
23-21
24-22
34-16
21-34
30-27
22-20
21-23
20-29
24-17
24-27
22-20
15-19
18-17
18-20
19-18
23-21
36-19
14-24
24-24
23-26
18-22
7-19
16-25
183.7Avg total
89.6Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.694.1183.7-4.540%
Last 5 (5)83.090.2173.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.692.8176.3-9.222%
vs Similar (18)82.587.0169.5-4.544%
vs Weaker (3)83.073.7156.7+9.3100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
UlmChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H01/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A04/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H07/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A15/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A21/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H24/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A26/06
BBL
80.5Avg total
40.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.681.8+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.640.386.9+6.275%-
Last 30 away (14)37.238.876.0-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.380.5-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.275.4-3.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.049.099.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (12)40.439.279.7+1.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.039.382.3+3.771%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A19/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
27-62
27
62
-35
H27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H01/05
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H04/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A11/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H17/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A20/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H25/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A27/05
BBL
90.5Avg total
42.1Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.884.8-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.343.585.8-1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)39.844.183.9-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.148.490.5-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)45.646.291.8-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.245.283.4-7.044%-
vs Similar (18)42.144.286.3-2.150%-
vs Weaker (3)42.337.079.3+5.333%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.1
51.7%
53.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.4
28.8%
34.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.616.7
70.8%
73.5%16.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.9
56.2%
53.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.7
37.4%
34.0%35.1
🏀 Free throws21.215.9
75.0%
73.5%15.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLWWLWLWLW
Chemnitz
LWLLLWWWLL
#6
League position
#11
-0.9
Net rating
-5.4
102.7
Offensive rating
110.8
103.6
Defensive rating
116.1
47.8%
Effective FG%
56.2%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
20.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.8%
3-point %
37.4%
53.6%
Assist %
60.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 110.8Defence103.6 · 116.1Shooting47.8% · 56.2%3-point %28.8% · 37.4%Ball care20.4% · 18.6%Off. rebounds34.8% · 25.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ulm wins
4
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
06/04/25Ulm v Chemnitz117-87
22/09/24Chemnitz v Ulm86-90
02/03/24Chemnitz v Ulm83-82
09/12/23Chemnitz v Ulm78-87
27/09/23Ulm v Chemnitz90-85
21/04/23Chemnitz v Ulm92-86
05/11/22Ulm v Chemnitz93-99 OT
22/01/22Ulm v Chemnitz77-68
24/10/21Chemnitz v Ulm78-81
02/10/21Chemnitz v Ulm87-85
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/06/25ABayern77-81
24/06/25HBayern53-67
21/06/25ABayern81-79
18/06/25HBayern79-64
15/06/25ABayern66-82
12/06/25HWurzburg91-84
10/06/25AWurzburg77-78
07/06/25HWurzburg99-86
04/06/25AWurzburg77-87
01/06/25HWurzburg91-87 OT
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/25AHeidelberg64-92
25/05/25HHeidelberg97-88
20/05/25AHeidelberg70-74
17/05/25HHeidelberg90-93
11/05/25AOldenburg94-104
07/05/25AHamburg93-88
04/05/25HRostock108-102 OT
01/05/25HLudwigsburg104-100 OT
27/04/25HAlba Berlin81-103
19/04/25ASyntainics MBC95-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Chemnitz
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bamberg110100%98.075.0+23.0
2 Bayern110100%93.077.0+16.0
3 Wurzburg110100%72.061.0+11.0
4 Trier110100%88.078.0+10.0
5 Vechta110100%86.076.0+10.0
6 Syntainics MBC110100%93.085.0+8.0
7 Hamburg1010%85.093.0-8.0
8 Heidelberg1010%76.086.0-10.0
9 Rostock1010%78.088.0-10.0
10 Bonn1010%61.072.0-11.0
11 Jena1010%77.093.0-16.0
12 Basketball Braunschweig1010%75.098.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2715262694
Chemnitz2711261781
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