PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bayern vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-81
20-17 22-20 20-22 17-22
Position#1
Record31-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#2
Record30-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game80.0
GermanyBBLBBL - Final· BMW Park
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bayern v Ulm
02 Jan 2027
BAY v ULM
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
BAY62
ULM79
26 Jun 2025
BAY81
ULM77
21 Jun 2025
BAY79
ULM81
15 Jun 2025
BAY82
ULM66
17 Mar 2025
BAY70
ULM62
18 Feb 2024
BAY81
ULM65
17 Dec 2023
BAY95
ULM80
30 May 2023
BAY88
ULM93
28 May 2023
BAY69
ULM87
01 Oct 2022
BAY87
ULM80
26 Sep 2021
BAY83
ULM86
07 May 2021
BAY64
ULM98
06 Jun 2020
BAY85
ULM95
26 Nov 2019
BAY83
ULM69
10 May 2019
BAY95
ULM72
04 Apr 2018
BAY100
ULM95
01 Feb 2017
BAY101
ULM98
26 Dec 2016
BAY79
ULM87
13 Jan 2016
BAY83
ULM69
03 Jan 2016
BAY101
ULM85
30 Dec 2014
BAY100
ULM93
29 Mar 2014
BAY72
ULM90
26 Dec 2013
BAY87
ULM70
05 Jan 2013
BAY80
ULM78
15 Feb 2012
BAY87
ULM83
04 Nov 2008
BAY89
ULM92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
73-72
73
72
+1
68avg 80
H11/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
78-60
78
60
+18
70avg 80
H17/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
80-65
80
65
+15
82avg 80
A20/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
80-69
80
69
+11
81avg 80
H24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
90-95
90
95
-5
84avg 80
H01/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
90-61
90
61
+29
87avg 80
A04/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
98-68
98
68
+30
99avg 80
H07/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
94-82 OT
94
82
+12
88avg 80
A10/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 80
H15/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
53avg 80
A18/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
21-26
15-12
25-9
20-17
21-10
15-13
22-20
16-19
22-13
21-13
21-20
22-21
20-19
25-15
13-14
23-23
25-22
17-19
25-31
17-16
20-17
28-12
25-16
24-15
21-25
24-16
29-12
14-28
22-13
22-21
21-17
19-19
18-17
17-16
28-14
22-21
15-14
7-21
20-23
154.6Avg total
82.9Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)83.375.2158.6+8.176%
Season at home (21)84.073.3157.3+10.690%
Season away (20)82.777.2159.9+5.460%
Last 10 (10)82.971.7154.6+11.280%
Last 5 (5)85.671.2156.8+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.593.0177.5-8.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.888.2173.0-3.450%
vs Weaker (18)85.774.9160.6+10.783%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#6
W
94-83
94
83
+11
84avg 81
H17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
74-62
74
62
+12
73avg 81
A21/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
93-84
93
84
+9
92avg 81
H24/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
82avg 81
H01/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 81
A04/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
99-86
99
86
+13
94avg 81
H07/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
77-78
77
78
-1
70avg 81
A10/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
87avg 81
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
50avg 81
A15/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 81
H18/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
25-13
30-22
19-21
22-18
25-9
14-13
13-22
20-24
23-21
19-22
31-17
24-16
21-21
19-19
9-17
20-20
17-26
20-20
20-21
17-20
31-17
20-18
31-31
23-25
18-19
22-19
14-15
26-17
24-26
16-15
25-26
19-19
17-18
16-17
14-28
21-22
14-15
21-7
23-20
163.8Avg total
84.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)87.580.0167.4+7.571%
Season at home (22)93.678.6172.2+15.095%
Season away (20)80.781.5162.1-0.845%
Last 10 (10)84.179.7163.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)82.478.8161.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.591.0176.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.178.9166.0+8.270%
vs Weaker (18)89.380.9170.2+8.472%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
BayernUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H11/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H17/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A20/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H01/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A04/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H07/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A10/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H15/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/06
BBL
77.4Avg total
39.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.183.1+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.340.481.7+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)42.941.984.8+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.077.4+1.480%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.075.4+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.048.582.5-14.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.545.386.8-3.830%-
vs Weaker (18)43.237.981.2+5.378%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A21/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H01/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A04/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H07/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A15/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/06
BBL
82.0Avg total
42.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.282.6+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.841.688.4+5.176%-
Last 30 away (13)36.738.274.9-1.546%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.382.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.681.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.046.588.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.640.582.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker (18)42.939.382.2+3.672%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.314.2
54.0%
52.3%28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.812.0
35.5%
33.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws22.017.9
81.4%
73.5%17.9
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.4
54.3%
52.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.8
31.2%
33.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws27.420.1
73.4%
73.5%20.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWWLWWWW
Ulm
WLWLWLWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+16.2
Net rating
+5.7
113.3
Offensive rating
106.4
97.0
Defensive rating
100.7
53.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
18.2%
Turnover %
21.3%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.44
35.5%
3-point %
31.2%
69.1%
Assist %
59.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 106.4Defence97.0 · 100.7Shooting53.6% · 50.9%3-point %35.5% · 31.2%Ball care18.2% · 21.3%Off. rebounds30.2% · 33.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
5
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
18/06/25Ulm v Bayern79-64
15/06/25Bayern v Ulm82-66
08/04/25Ulm v Bayern109-94
17/03/25Bayern v Ulm70-62
01/05/24Ulm v Bayern74-81
18/02/24Bayern v Ulm81-65
17/12/23Bayern v Ulm95-80
02/06/23Ulm v Bayern104-102 OT
30/05/23Bayern v Ulm88-93
28/05/23Bayern v Ulm69-87
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/25AUlm64-79
15/06/25HUlm82-66
10/06/25AHeidelberg94-82 OT
07/06/25HHeidelberg98-68
04/06/25AHeidelberg90-61
01/06/25HHeidelberg90-95
24/05/25HSyntainics MBC80-69
20/05/25ASyntainics MBC80-65
17/05/25HSyntainics MBC78-60
11/05/25HLudwigsburg73-72
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/25HBayern79-64
15/06/25ABayern66-82
12/06/25HWurzburg91-84
10/06/25AWurzburg77-78
07/06/25HWurzburg99-86
04/06/25AWurzburg77-87
01/06/25HWurzburg91-87 OT
24/05/25HAlba Berlin93-84
21/05/25AAlba Berlin74-62
17/05/25HAlba Berlin94-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayWWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %76%90%60%
Points / game83.384.082.7
Allowed / game75.273.377.2
Point differential+8.1+10.6+5.4
Avg total158.6157.3159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%52%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)71% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422220
Win %71%95%45%
Points / game87.593.680.7
Allowed / game80.078.681.5
Point differential+7.5+15.0-0.8
Avg total167.4172.2162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern41311076%83.375.2+8.1
2 Ulm42301271%87.580.0+7.5
3 Basketball Braunschweig37221559%84.181.3+2.8
4 Heidelberg40221855%80.582.0-1.5
5 Wurzburg42231955%83.481.8+1.6
6 Alba Berlin36191753%86.080.3+5.6
7 Chemnitz36191753%82.485.3-2.9
8 Ludwigsburg32161650%76.274.6+1.7
9 Oldenburg34171750%89.689.4+0.3
10 Vechta32161650%79.881.7-1.8
11 Syntainics MBC37181949%83.985.1-1.1
12 Rostock33161748%81.481.5-0.1
13 Hamburg32151747%81.183.5-2.3
14 Bonn32141844%84.284.3-0.1
15 Bamberg32122038%83.886.0-2.3
16 Frankfurt3282425%75.682.5-7.0
17 Gottingen323299%81.094.8-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2022201779
Ulm1720222281
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.