PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
UMass Lowell hosts St. Peters on 17 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the UMass Lowell team the favourite, rating them 95% to win largely because of their 3-1 record, 79.2 points scored per game and only 62.8 points allowed, and a league position of 109 that places them well above the 364-ranked St. Peters, who are 0-4 with 47.5 points per game and 63.8 allowed. UMass Lowell's home slate shows a perfect 2-0 record, 92.0 points per game and 59.0 allowed, while St. Peters' road performance is 0-3, 45.0 points per game and 65.7 allowed, and their last five games have been all losses. The two teams have met three times, with UMass Lowell winning twice and St. Peters winning once, the most recent encounter ending 68-66 in favour of St. Peters on 22 November 2025. Pythia projects a 82-63 victory for UMass Lowell, a total of 145.3 points, and gives the home team a 95% chance to win, while St. Peters have a 5% chance; the model also estimates a 1% probability that the game will go to overtime. The projected score of 82-63 reflects the strong offensive output expected from UMass Lowell and the defensive pressure they will apply to a struggling St. Peters squad.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 79.2 | 62.8 | 142.0 | +16.5 | 75% |
| Season at home (2) | 92.0 | 59.0 | 151.0 | +33.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 66.5 | 66.5 | 133.0 | +0.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.0 | 70.3 | 145.3 | +4.7 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.2 | 68.4 | 145.6 | +8.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 63.8 | 80.2 | 144.0 | -16.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (8) | 78.8 | 72.8 | 151.5 | +6.0 | 75% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 73.1 | 69.1 | 142.2 | +4.0 | 73% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 47.5 | 63.8 | 111.2 | -16.2 | 0% |
| Season at home (1) | 55.0 | 58.0 | 113.0 | -3.0 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 45.0 | 65.7 | 110.7 | -20.7 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 59.3 | 66.8 | 126.1 | -7.5 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 49.0 | 65.8 | 114.8 | -16.8 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 46.0 | 67.0 | 113.0 | -21.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (16) | 68.2 | 69.2 | 137.4 | -1.1 | 56% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 69.5 | 64.2 | 133.7 | +5.3 | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.3 | 34.8 | 71.1 | +1.5 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 39.3 | 33.1 | 72.4 | +6.1 | 64% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 33.7 | 36.2 | 69.9 | -2.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.0 | 33.2 | 70.2 | +3.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.8 | 31.6 | 70.4 | +7.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 32.0 | 40.1 | 72.1 | -8.1 | 12% | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 36.5 | 36.2 | 72.8 | +0.2 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 34.5 | 32.5 | 66.9 | +2.0 | 82% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.7 | 32.0 | 63.8 | -0.3 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 35.4 | 29.3 | 64.7 | +6.1 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 28.1 | 34.7 | 62.8 | -6.7 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 27.7 | 30.0 | 57.7 | -2.3 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 22.0 | 31.0 | 53.0 | -9.0 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 20.7 | 33.3 | 54.0 | -12.7 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 31.4 | 32.1 | 63.4 | -0.7 | 38% | - |
| vs Weaker (10) | 33.0 | 31.7 | 64.7 | +1.3 | 60% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 | St. Peters v UMass Lowell | 68-66 |
| 08/11/24 | UMass Lowell v St. Peters | 81-74 |
| 21/11/23 | St. Peters v UMass Lowell | 61-69 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | UMass | 62-72 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Marist | 63-61 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Merrimack Warriors | 71-61 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Rivier | 121-57 |
| 10/03/26 | A | UMBC Retrievers | 69-91 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Albany Great Danes | 81-76 |
| 03/03/26 | A | Maine Black Bears | 67-56 |
| 28/02/26 | H | UMBC Retrievers | 60-84 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Vermont | 64-66 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Binghamton | 92-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | South Carolina | 41-77 |
| 08/11/26 | A | NJIT | 52-54 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Binghamton | 55-58 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Seton Hall | 42-66 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Fairfield | 55-74 |
| 01/03/26 | A | Marist | 63-56 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Manhattan | 75-65 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Siena | 63-72 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Iona | 64-72 OT |
| 15/02/26 | H | Fairfield | 83-74 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWL | 75% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 79.2 | 92.0 | 66.5 |
| Allowed / game | 62.8 | 59.0 | 66.5 |
| Point differential | +16.5 | +33.0 | +0.0 |
| Avg total | 142.0 | 151.0 | 133.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLL | 0% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 47.5 | 55.0 | 45.0 |
| Allowed / game | 63.8 | 58.0 | 65.7 |
| Point differential | -16.2 | -3.0 | -20.7 |
| Avg total | 111.2 | 113.0 | 110.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UMass Lowell | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 79.2 | 62.8 | +16.5 |
| 2 |  Binghamton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 70.0 | 66.5 | +3.5 |
| 3 |  Vermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.0 | 67.3 | +2.7 |
| 4 |  UMBC Retrievers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 75.0 | 77.0 | -2.0 |
| 5 |  Bryant University | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 62.5 | 71.8 | -9.2 |
| 6 |  Maine Black Bears | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 64.2 | 73.5 | -9.2 |
| 7 |  NJIT | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 54.8 | 80.2 | -25.4 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacred Heart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 88.0 | 64.7 | +23.3 |
| 2 |  Siena | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.3 | 79.0 | +6.3 |
| 3 |  Merrimack Warriors | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 65.7 | 60.0 | +5.7 |
| 4 |  Quinnipiac | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 68.0 | 76.0 | -8.0 |
| 5 |  Iona | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 66.2 | 71.5 | -5.2 |
| 6 |  Mount St. Mary's | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 60.0 | 77.0 | -17.0 |
| 7 |  Marist | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.3 | 70.7 | -0.3 |
| 8 |  Canisius | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.3 | 81.7 | -7.3 |
| 9 |  Manhattan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.3 | 73.0 | -8.7 |
| 10 |  Fairfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 59.0 | 75.7 | -16.7 |
| 11 |  Rider | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 64.5 | 72.2 | -7.8 |
| 12 | St. Peters | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 47.5 | 63.8 | -16.2 |
| 13 |  Niagara | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 56.5 | 82.0 | -25.5 |
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