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UMass Lowell vs UMBC Retrievers Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Postponed
Position#200
Record6-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Position#57
Record10-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game63.9
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · UMass Lowell v UMBC Retrievers
28 Feb 2026
UMAS60
UMBC84
20 Feb 2025
UMAS98
UMBC79
09 Mar 2024
UMAS94
UMBC89
13 Jan 2024
UMAS86
UMBC82
18 Jan 2023
UMAS81
UMBC75
12 Feb 2022
UMAS88
UMBC71
23 Jan 2021
UMAS v UMBC
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
UMAS50
UMBC60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass Lowell win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMass LowellUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#71
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H21/12
NCAA
Vermont
#71
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#262
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A27/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#262
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A28/12
NCAA
NJIT
#270
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H02/01
NCAA
NJIT
#270
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H03/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H09/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H10/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A16/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-22
44-43
27-22
26-40
29-43
29-30
30-32
34-39
23-35
44-38
34-33
40-27
36-34
35-28
25-31
33-44
47-37
45-41
42-35
35-32
137.3Avg total
68.7Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)68.471.4139.9-3.043%
Season at home (6)66.066.2132.2-0.250%
Season away (8)70.275.4145.6-5.138%
Last 10 (10)68.768.6137.3+0.150%
Last 5 (5)74.468.4142.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)67.878.4146.2-10.722%
vs Similar (17)70.873.1143.9-2.441%
vs Weaker (4)84.578.0162.5+6.575%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#210
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H08/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#246
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A13/12
NCAA
Albany
#230
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A19/12
NCAA
Albany
#230
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A20/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H27/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H28/12
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A09/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A10/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H16/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
38-30
22-24
44-25
32-36
33-28
29-34
36-26
29-29
45-38
32-32
37-43
38-26
31-28
29-35
39-31
30-31
33-39
26-27
31-22
128.7Avg total
67.2Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)69.763.9133.6+5.877%
Season at home (6)71.867.2139.0+4.767%
Season away (7)67.961.1129.0+6.786%
Last 10 (10)67.261.5128.7+5.780%
Last 5 (5)65.262.8128.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.672.0137.6-6.440%
vs Similar (14)66.362.5128.8+3.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)69.765.0134.7+4.773%
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +5.7+5.7
UMass LowellUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMass LowellLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#71
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H21/12
NCAA
Vermont
#71
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H22/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#262
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A27/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#262
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A28/12
NCAA
NJIT
#270
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H02/01
NCAA
NJIT
#270
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H09/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H10/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A16/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A17/01
NCAA
64.6Avg total
32.2Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.634.867.4-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.133.366.4-0.164%-
Last 30 away (16)32.136.268.2-4.125%-
Last 10 (10)32.232.464.6-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.070.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)28.735.063.7-6.322%-
vs Similar (17)32.533.966.5-1.447%-
vs Weaker (4)41.538.279.8+3.275%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#210
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H08/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#246
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A13/12
NCAA
Albany
#230
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A19/12
NCAA
Albany
#230
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H27/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H28/12
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A09/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H16/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H17/01
NCAA
61.0Avg total
30.5Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.631.161.7-0.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.930.262.1+1.750%-
Last 30 away (16)29.431.961.3-2.619%-
Last 10 (10)30.530.561.0+0.020%-
Last 5 (5)31.030.261.2+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.034.466.4-2.440%-
vs Similar (14)29.429.959.3-0.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)31.431.362.6+0.127%-
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UMass Lowell wins
1
UMBC Retrievers wins
DateGameScore
08/02/20UMass Lowell v UMBC Retrievers50-60
04/01/20UMBC Retrievers v UMass Lowell73-86 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/21ABinghamton77-67
16/01/21ABinghamton92-78
10/01/21HHartford58-75
09/01/21HHartford71-62
03/01/21HNJIT74-60
02/01/21HNJIT67-73
28/12/20AStony Brook64-71
27/12/20AStony Brook58-73
22/12/20HVermont53-62
21/12/20HVermont73-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/21HHartford57-49
16/01/21HHartford63-70
10/01/21ANew Hampshire68-66
09/01/21ANew Hampshire69-54
28/12/20HBinghamton69-75
27/12/20HBinghamton74-67
20/12/20AAlbany65-60
19/12/20AAlbany65-64
13/12/20ACoppin State66-49
08/12/20HDelaware76-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass Lowell
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW43%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%50%38%
Points / game68.466.070.2
Allowed / game71.466.275.4
Point differential-3.0-0.2-5.1
Avg total139.9132.2145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW77%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%67%86%
Points / game69.771.867.9
Allowed / game63.967.261.1
Point differential+5.8+4.7+6.7
Avg total133.6139.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bryant University1310377%89.277.6+11.5
2 UMBC Retrievers1310377%69.763.9+5.8
3 Vermont107370%74.860.8+14.0
4 New Hampshire116555%68.464.8+3.5
5 UMass Lowell146843%68.471.4-3.0
6 NJIT104640%68.371.6-3.3
7 Albany83538%68.568.6-0.1
8 Maine Black Bears92722%53.164.6-11.4
9 Binghamton131128%64.676.1-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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