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UMass Lowell vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 60-84
33-37 27-47
Position#247
Record13-16
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game76.2
UMass Lowell
USA
vs
UMBC Retrievers 🏆
USA
Position#43
Record19-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UMass Lowell v UMBC Retrievers
28 Feb 2026
UMAS60
UMBC84
20 Feb 2025
UMAS98
UMBC79
09 Mar 2024
UMAS94
UMBC89
13 Jan 2024
UMAS86
UMBC82
18 Jan 2023
UMAS81
UMBC75
12 Feb 2022
UMAS88
UMBC71
23 Jan 2021
UMAS v UMBC
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
UMAS50
UMBC60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass Lowell winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMass LowellUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#85
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H22/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A24/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H31/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
L
56-81
56
81
-25
A06/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H19/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-40
39-37
35-46
21-33
30-40
31-26
43-31
48-46
15-42
41-39
39-38
50-41
42-38
46-31
42-28
36-28
43-35
49-44
30-34
34-32
147.2Avg total
74.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.776.2151.9-0.645%
Season at home (12)86.471.0157.4+15.475%
Season away (17)68.179.9148.0-11.924%
Last 10 (10)74.372.9147.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.269.8152.0+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)64.183.3147.4-19.20%
vs Similar (11)74.675.3149.9-0.645%
vs Weaker (7)77.372.9150.1+4.471%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#220
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H22/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H24/01
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A30/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
77-65 OT
77
65
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H05/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A14/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H19/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-28
40-46
46-35
33-21
29-29
26-35
27-28
41-37
39-26
40-36
37-24
41-38
47-28
38-35
38-26
37-36
28-32
38-30
36-30
34-28
137.9Avg total
75.1Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.068.0142.9+7.070%
Season at home (14)75.563.4138.9+12.186%
Season away (13)74.472.8147.2+1.554%
Last 10 (10)75.162.8137.9+12.390%
Last 5 (5)74.861.4136.2+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.085.0159.0-11.00%
vs Similar (4)66.085.0151.0-19.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)76.266.6142.8+9.675%
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +2.6+2.6
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +2.6+2.6
UMass LowellUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMass LowellLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#85
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H22/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A24/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A29/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H31/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
L
15-42
15
42
-27
A06/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H19/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A27/02
NCAA
72.0Avg total
34.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.536.572.0-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.232.471.7+6.875%-
Last 30 away (18)33.039.272.2-6.239%-
Last 10 (10)34.837.272.0-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.673.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.241.673.8-9.333%-
vs Similar (11)35.636.071.6-0.445%-
vs Weaker (7)34.135.069.1-0.971%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#220
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H22/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Vermont
#85
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A30/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A01/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H05/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A14/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/02
NCAA
66.0Avg total
37.4Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.868.1+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.131.468.5+5.662%-
Last 30 away (14)33.234.467.6-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)37.428.666.0+8.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.228.065.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.041.072.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (4)30.244.074.2-13.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)36.130.967.0+5.258%-
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
UMass Lowell wins
2
UMBC Retrievers wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26UMBC Retrievers v UMass Lowell79-56
20/02/25UMass Lowell v UMBC Retrievers98-79
01/02/25UMBC Retrievers v UMass Lowell67-83
09/03/24UMass Lowell v UMBC Retrievers94-89 OT
09/02/24UMBC Retrievers v UMass Lowell80-93
13/01/24UMass Lowell v UMBC Retrievers86-82
22/02/23UMBC Retrievers v UMass Lowell70-75
18/01/23UMass Lowell v UMBC Retrievers81-75
06/03/22UMBC Retrievers v UMass Lowell93-85 OT
12/02/22UMass Lowell v UMBC Retrievers88-71
UMass Lowelllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26AVermont64-66
21/02/26HBinghamton92-79
19/02/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats78-56
12/02/26HBryant University88-69
08/02/26AAlbany Great Danes89-79
06/02/26ANJIT56-81
31/01/26HMaine Black Bears91-77
29/01/26ANew Hampshire Wildcats61-66
24/01/26AUMBC Retrievers56-79
22/01/26HVermont68-77
UMBC Retrieverslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HBryant University70-58
21/02/26HAlbany Great Danes66-62
19/02/26HVermont75-62
14/02/26ANew Hampshire Wildcats85-63
12/02/26AMaine Black Bears78-62
05/02/26HBinghamton79-62
01/02/26AAlbany Great Danes77-65 OT
30/01/26AVermont55-64
24/01/26HUMass Lowell79-56
22/01/26HNJIT87-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass Lowell
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL45%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLLWL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291217
Win %45%75%24%
Points / game75.786.468.1
Allowed / game76.271.079.9
Point differential-0.6+15.4-11.9
Avg total151.9157.4148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %70%86%54%
Points / game75.075.574.4
Allowed / game68.063.472.8
Point differential+7.0+12.1+1.5
Avg total142.9138.9147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMBC Retrievers2719870%75.068.0+7.0
2 Vermont30191163%74.369.6+4.6
3 NJIT29151452%68.873.7-4.9
4 UMass Lowell29131645%75.776.2-0.6
5 Bryant University2882029%64.372.5-8.1
6 Maine Black Bears2982128%62.868.6-5.8
7 Binghamton3072323%67.775.1-7.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass Lowell332760
UMBC Retrievers374784
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