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UMBC Retrievers vs Vermont Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 70-72
35-27 35-45
Position#312
Record7-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Vermont 🏆
USA
Position#16
Record18-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game63.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Vermont
21 Jan 2027
UMBC v VERM
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
UMBC74
VERM59
19 Feb 2026
UMBC75
VERM62
01 Mar 2025
UMBC69
VERM79
10 Feb 2024
UMBC70
VERM72
01 Jan 2023
UMBC61
VERM74
15 Jan 2022
UMBC69
VERM86
19 Feb 2021
UMBC66
VERM55
18 Feb 2021
UMBC71
VERM80
11 Jan 2020
UMBC50
VERM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vermont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#203
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H30/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H06/01
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A12/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A13/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H19/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H20/01
NCAA
NJIT
#349
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H28/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
L
95-99
95
99
-4
A02/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
114-102
114
102
+12
A04/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
80-93
80
93
-13
H09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-47
54-40
36-33
31-48
32-45
40-32
31-45
51-41
34-30
36-35
29-22
29-42
46-24
28-51
47-53
48-46
45-44
69-58
24-41
56-52
162.6Avg total
79.7Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.083.4162.5-4.429%
Season at home (12)76.877.5154.2-0.842%
Season away (12)81.389.3170.7-8.017%
Last 10 (10)79.782.9162.6-3.220%
Last 5 (5)84.286.6170.8-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.884.8159.6-10.09%
vs Similar (11)79.280.9160.1-1.745%
vs Weaker (7)77.178.9156.0-1.729%
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#276
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A03/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H06/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#312
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H12/01
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H13/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#209
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A18/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
72-65 OT
72
65
+7
A25/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A27/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H02/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#209
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H03/02
NCAA
NJIT
#349
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-42
37-28
26-30
39-28
45-32
32-40
37-21
39-34
31-27
51-35
26-29
34-31
28-25
39-32
38-21
43-38
22-20
40-29
23-24
38-39
132.4Avg total
71.4Scored
61.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.563.1135.6+9.575%
Season at home (12)75.058.8133.8+16.292%
Season away (12)70.167.4137.5+2.758%
Last 10 (10)71.461.0132.4+10.490%
Last 5 (5)68.658.6127.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.059.0131.0+13.0100%
vs Similar (8)68.070.6138.6-2.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)73.961.4135.2+12.685%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +5.8+5.8
UMBC RetrieversVermont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#203
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H30/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A12/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A13/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H19/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H20/01
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H28/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A04/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H09/02
NCAA
73.9Avg total
35.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.637.772.3-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.534.969.4-0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)34.740.575.3-5.827%-
Last 10 (10)35.538.473.9-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.875.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.944.277.1-11.318%-
vs Similar (11)35.735.671.4+0.164%-
vs Weaker (7)36.032.768.7+3.343%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#276
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A03/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H06/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#312
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H12/01
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H13/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#209
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A18/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A25/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H02/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#209
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H03/02
NCAA
NJIT
#349
L
23-24
23
24
-1
A09/02
NCAA
58.1Avg total
31.0Scored
27.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.329.463.7+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.126.362.4+9.875%-
Last 30 away (14)32.432.965.3-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)31.027.158.1+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)27.423.851.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.029.054.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (8)30.533.664.1-3.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)35.528.463.9+7.170%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UMBC Retrievers wins
8
Vermont wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24HUMass Lowell80-93
04/02/24AAlbany Great Danes114-102
02/02/24ABryant University95-99
28/01/24HNJIT74-75
20/01/24HNew Hampshire Wildcats58-64
19/01/24HMaine Black Bears70-65
13/01/24AUMass Lowell82-86
12/01/24AVermont72-77
06/01/24HBryant University67-81
30/12/23HAmerican University85-87
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24ANJIT61-63
03/02/24HBinghamton62-49
02/02/24HAlbany Great Danes81-59
27/01/24ABryant University67-57
25/01/24AUMass Lowell72-65 OT
18/01/24ABinghamton82-62
13/01/24HNJIT76-55
12/01/24HUMBC Retrievers77-72
06/01/24HMaine Black Bears65-58
03/01/24ABrown71-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLWLLL42%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %29%42%17%
Points / game79.076.881.3
Allowed / game83.477.589.3
Point differential-4.4-0.8-8.0
Avg total162.5154.2170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vermont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %75%92%58%
Points / game72.575.070.1
Allowed / game63.158.867.4
Point differential+9.5+16.2+2.7
Avg total135.6133.8137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%58%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont2418675%72.563.1+9.5
2 UMass Lowell2216673%80.568.2+12.3
3 New Hampshire85362%80.972.9+8.0
4 Bryant University2415962%80.075.5+4.6
5 Albany74357%76.675.7+0.9
6 Binghamton22111150%71.371.4-0.1
7 Maine Black Bears23101343%67.767.7-0.0
8 UMBC Retrievers2471729%79.083.4-4.4
9 NJIT2161529%68.674.0-5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers353570
Vermont274572
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