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UMass vs Central Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 95-89
40-47 55-42
Position#189
Record14-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game74.4
UMass 🏆
USA
vs
Position#323
Record7-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game77.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UMass v Central Michigan
16 Jan 2027
UMAS v CENT
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
UMAS95
CENT89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A06/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A17/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-38
33-42
34-34
52-52
41-48
42-38
28-25
51-46
36-35
49-47
33-40
35-30
35-34
49-48
38-29
30-38
47-43
37-43
38-30
32-37
158.7Avg total
79.5Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.574.4153.9+5.161%
Season at home (13)80.772.1152.8+8.669%
Season away (10)77.977.4155.3+0.550%
Last 10 (10)79.579.2158.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)74.874.4149.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.081.1151.1-11.112%
vs Similar (13)78.476.4154.8+2.054%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)75.671.1146.8+4.575%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
61-88
61
88
-27
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H30/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
61-100
61
100
-39
A14/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H21/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A24/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
100-65
100
65
+35
H28/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-40
33-48
29-31
35-49
41-31
34-47
30-43
39-39
49-43
38-42
35-49
26-51
20-33
47-35
31-35
34-42
38-36
62-29
20-32
42-27
149.3Avg total
71.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.477.6150.0-5.232%
Season at home (11)80.271.1151.3+9.164%
Season away (11)64.584.1148.6-19.50%
Last 10 (10)71.178.2149.3-7.130%
Last 5 (5)71.073.8144.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)67.982.2150.2-14.323%
vs Similar (8)75.177.1152.2-2.025%
vs Weaker (7)77.172.7149.9+4.443%
This opponent (UMass) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -1.9-1.9
UMassCentral Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A06/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H31/01
NCAA
72.7Avg total
37.1Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.435.370.7+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.433.568.8+1.953%-
Last 30 away (13)35.537.773.2-2.254%-
Last 10 (10)37.135.672.7+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.273.4+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.640.473.0-7.825%-
vs Similar (13)36.534.771.2+1.846%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)35.933.068.9+2.988%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H30/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H03/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A14/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
20-33
20
33
-13
H21/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H28/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H01/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
32.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.236.470.6-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.433.268.6+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)33.139.272.4-6.125%-
Last 10 (10)32.137.369.4-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)28.837.065.8-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.039.071.0-7.031%-
vs Similar (8)31.237.668.9-6.425%-
vs Weaker (7)37.932.370.1+5.657%-
This opponent (UMass) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMass wins
0
Central Michigan wins
No previous meetings.
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HEastern Michigan70-67
28/01/26AMiami (Ohio)84-86
24/01/26ABuffalo68-67
20/01/26HToledo84-82
17/01/26ANorthern Illinois68-70
14/01/26AWestern Michigan85-82
10/01/26HBall State79-71
06/01/26AOhio83-86
03/01/26HBowling Green100-101 OT
31/12/25AEastern Michigan74-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HBowling Green62-59
28/01/26HEastern Michigan100-65
24/01/26AWestern Michigan65-77
21/01/26HBall State67-68
14/01/26AMiami (Ohio)61-100
10/01/26HKent State87-85
07/01/26AAkron69-82
03/01/26HToledo75-78
30/12/25HOhio64-80
23/12/25AWisconsin61-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW61%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %61%69%50%
Points / game79.580.777.9
Allowed / game74.472.177.4
Point differential+5.1+8.6+0.5
Avg total153.9152.8155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Central Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW32%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%64%0%
Points / game72.480.264.5
Allowed / game77.671.184.1
Point differential-5.2+9.1-19.5
Avg total150.0151.3148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)23230100%92.874.3+18.5
2 Akron2319483%90.474.0+16.4
3 Kent State2215768%87.281.4+5.8
4 UMass2314961%79.574.4+5.1
5 Buffalo2314961%79.775.5+4.2
6 Bowling Green2213959%84.670.9+13.7
7 Toledo22121055%81.877.8+4.0
8 Ohio23121152%77.477.6-0.2
9 Eastern Michigan2391439%71.272.7-1.5
10 Western Michigan2181338%75.479.2-3.8
11 Ball State2171433%67.369.9-2.6
12 Northern Illinois2171433%73.076.5-3.5
13 Central Michigan2271532%72.477.6-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass405595
Central Michigan474289
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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