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Central Michigan vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 75-78
41-31 34-47
Position#323
Record4-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#156
Record7-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Central Michigan v Toledo
02 Jan 2027
CENT v TOLE
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
CENT75
TOLE78
19 Jan 2024
CENT65
TOLE62
28 Feb 2023
CENT65
TOLE99
04 Jan 2022
CENT54
TOLE82
02 Mar 2021
CENT81
TOLE79
25 Feb 2020
CENT81
TOLE93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
66-90
66
90
-24
H21/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A22/11
NCAA
Adrian College
#588
W
112-67
112
67
+45
H26/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A03/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
65-107
65
107
-42
A07/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A13/12
NCAA
Olivet C.
#420
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A20/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
61-88
61
88
-27
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-44
36-46
36-41
35-44
59-35
53-32
39-31
33-52
32-52
33-55
22-44
33-34
35-24
50-41
44-27
29-47
28-40
33-48
29-31
35-49
154.1Avg total
72.4Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.978.1149.9-6.229%
Season at home (6)81.871.2153.0+10.767%
Season away (8)64.483.2147.6-18.90%
Last 10 (10)72.481.7154.1-9.320%
Last 5 (5)67.677.0144.6-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.682.3148.9-15.811%
vs Similar (8)78.078.8156.8-0.838%
vs Weaker (11)75.969.5145.5+6.455%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Moron
#11
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
A06/12
Segunda FEB
Oakland
#212
L
97-98
97
98
-1
A06/12
NCAA
Gijon
#27
W
94-77
94
77
+17
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Robert Morris
#74
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A13/12
NCAA
Clavijo
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A14/12
Segunda FEB
Michigan State
#29
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A16/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#488
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H20/12
NCAA
Cordoba
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H21/12
Segunda FEB
Western Michigan
#325
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H30/12
NCAA
Caceres
#13
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
26-23
10-27
20-10
0-0
48-45
0-0
49-53
24-24
27-16
16-16
27-21
0-0
42-24
0-0
28-51
20-24
21-16
14-21
20-17
0-0
28-58
0-0
41-34
0-0
49-28
0-0
51-39
18-22
17-16
14-19
27-17
0-0
32-41
0-0
52-38
24-22
15-18
21-25
26-21
167.9Avg total
85.1Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.078.0161.0+5.054%
Season at home (7)87.974.7162.6+13.171%
Season away (6)77.381.8159.2-4.533%
Last 10 (10)85.182.8167.9+2.350%
Last 5 (5)85.081.4166.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.090.3174.3-6.333%
vs Similar (15)79.580.6160.1-1.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)92.072.2164.2+19.8100%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: -7.8-7.82nd half: +0.7+0.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: -7.8-7.82nd half: +0.7+0.7
Central MichiganToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H21/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Adrian College
#588
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H26/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A03/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A07/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A13/12
NCAA
Olivet C.
#420
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A20/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H30/12
NCAA
72.3Avg total
35.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.334.569.8+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.131.768.8+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)33.537.370.9-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)35.436.972.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.633.264.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.638.469.0-7.922%-
vs Similar (8)35.536.171.6-0.650%-
vs Weaker (11)37.031.068.0+6.073%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Moron
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A06/12
Segunda FEB
Oakland
#212
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A06/12
NCAA
Gijon
#27
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Robert Morris
#74
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A13/12
NCAA
Clavijo
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A14/12
Segunda FEB
Michigan State
#29
L
28-58
28
58
-30
A16/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#488
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Cordoba
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/12
Segunda FEB
Western Michigan
#325
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/12
NCAA
Caceres
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/01
Segunda FEB
79.8Avg total
40.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.077.1+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.835.276.1+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)37.141.178.2-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.079.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.077.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.344.579.8-9.233%-
vs Similar (15)37.238.575.7-1.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.233.277.5+11.088%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Central Michigan wins
8
Toledo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HOhio64-80
23/12/25AWisconsin61-88
20/12/25ANorthern Illinois73-74
18/12/25HOlivet C.85-65
13/12/25AStony Brook55-78
07/12/25ASt. Louis Billikens65-107
03/12/25ALoyola Chicago72-83
26/11/25HAdrian College112-67
22/11/25AMarquette71-85
21/11/25HNorthern Kentucky66-90
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ACaceres96-95 OT
30/12/25HWestern Michigan84-79
21/12/25HCordoba76-74
20/12/25HLourdes100-67
16/12/25AMichigan State69-92
14/12/25AClavijo75-78
13/12/25ARobert Morris70-75
10/12/25HGijon94-77
06/12/25AOakland97-98
06/12/25AMoron90-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game71.981.864.4
Allowed / game78.171.283.2
Point differential-6.2+10.7-18.9
Avg total149.9153.0147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game83.087.977.3
Allowed / game78.074.781.8
Point differential+5.0+13.1-4.5
Avg total161.0162.6159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)14140100%94.971.9+23.0
2 Buffalo1513287%79.970.5+9.3
3 Akron1310377%97.176.8+20.2
4 Bowling Green1511473%89.168.7+20.4
5 Kent State1410471%90.181.2+8.9
6 UMass159660%80.573.3+7.1
7 Toledo137654%83.078.0+5.0
8 Ohio158753%76.775.1+1.6
9 Eastern Michigan157847%71.672.3-0.7
10 Western Michigan146843%75.978.8-2.9
11 Northern Illinois145936%76.178.4-2.3
12 Ball State1441029%68.368.9-0.6
13 Central Michigan1441029%71.978.1-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Central Michigan413475
Toledo314778
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