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UMass vs St. Louis Billikens Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 31 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Postponed
Position#220
Record7-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#75
Record8-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · UMass v St. Louis Billikens
04 Feb 2025
UMAS71
ST. 73
04 Jan 2023
UMAS90
ST. 81
20 Jan 2022
UMAS91
ST. 85
30 Dec 2021
UMAS v ST.
upcoming
20 Jan 2021
UMAS v ST.
upcoming
18 Feb 2020
UMAS67
ST. 63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
St. Louis Billikens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#234
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H16/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A18/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A19/11
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H21/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H25/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Harvard
#195
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#323
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A08/12
NCAA
North Texas
#15
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A11/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#230
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
44-23
34-36
39-52
35-35
43-43
41-47
45-42
37-27
55-54
34-46
51-37
43-42
44-35
36-41
40-41
27-39
30-27
31-30
34-35
159.2Avg total
80.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.678.0157.6+1.658%
Season at home (7)83.674.1157.7+9.486%
Season away (5)74.083.4157.4-9.420%
Last 10 (10)80.778.5159.2+2.260%
Last 5 (5)76.476.2152.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.479.1152.6-5.736%
vs Similar (9)80.676.7157.2+3.956%
vs Weaker (7)80.365.1145.4+15.186%
This opponent (St. Louis Billikens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Louis BillikensUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
86-44
86
44
+42
H13/11
NCAA
Memphis
#78
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A17/11
NCAA
Mercer
#198
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H20/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#55
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H25/11
NCAA
Boise State
#31
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
A01/12
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H04/12
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H08/12
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H11/12
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
50-16
36-28
27-42
47-48
38-35
37-23
34-33
48-43
46-34
33-34
39-35
34-38
48-41
24-36
32-26
27-38
36-19
43-49
27-35
43-39
146.3Avg total
76.2Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.168.0150.1+14.167%
Season at home (10)82.564.4146.9+18.170%
Season away (2)80.086.0166.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)76.270.1146.3+6.160%
Last 5 (5)73.273.0146.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.077.0149.0-5.00%
vs Similar (8)69.571.9141.4-2.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)76.664.4141.0+12.379%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: -0.4-0.4
UMassSt. Louis Billikens
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#234
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A18/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A19/11
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H21/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H25/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H27/11
NCAA
Harvard
#195
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#323
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A08/12
NCAA
North Texas
#15
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A11/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#230
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H19/12
NCAA
73.1Avg total
35.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.735.370.9+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.034.272.2+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)33.036.569.5-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.673.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.673.8-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.938.471.4-5.536%-
vs Similar (9)35.035.970.9-0.944%-
vs Weaker (7)42.028.170.1+13.986%-
This opponent (St. Louis Billikens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Louis BillikensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
50-16
50
16
+34
H13/11
NCAA
Memphis
#78
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A17/11
NCAA
Mercer
#198
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H24/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#55
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Boise State
#31
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A01/12
NCAA
UAB
#27
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
36-19
36
19
+17
H11/12
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H19/12
NCAA
69.3Avg total
37.7Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.331.067.4+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (22)38.129.567.6+8.582%-
Last 30 away (8)31.535.166.6-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)37.731.669.3+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)36.431.267.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.041.089.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (8)32.633.666.2-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)35.929.365.2+6.674%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UMass wins
3
St. Louis Billikens wins
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/21HFairfield77-73 OT
11/12/21ANorth Texas57-66
08/12/21ANortheastern76-82
04/12/21HHarvard87-77
27/11/21HRutgers85-83
25/11/21HUMass Lowell92-81
21/11/21HBall State86-89
19/11/21ANC Greensboro93-90 OT
18/11/21AWeber State73-88
16/11/21HPenn State81-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/21HAuburn70-74
11/12/21HBoston College79-68
08/12/21HBelmont59-64
04/12/21HUAB72-77
01/12/21ABoise State86-82 OT
25/11/21HStephen F. Austin79-68
24/11/21HIllinois State82-76
20/11/21HMercer75-58
17/11/21AMemphis74-90
13/11/21HEastern Illinois86-44

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%86%20%
Points / game79.683.674.0
Allowed / game78.074.183.4
Point differential+1.6+9.4-9.4
Avg total157.6157.7157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %17%14%20%
St. Louis Billikens
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL67%
HomeWLLWL70%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %67%70%50%
Points / game82.182.580.0
Allowed / game68.064.486.0
Point differential+14.1+18.1-6.0
Avg total150.1146.9166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio119282%73.566.5+6.9
2 Toledo129375%78.567.5+11.0
3 Akron107370%73.059.3+13.7
4 Bowling Green117464%84.072.4+11.6
5 Miami (Ohio)127558%79.467.6+11.8
6 UMass127558%79.678.0+1.6
7 Buffalo116555%81.571.5+10.1
8 Kent State115645%70.462.3+8.1
9 Ball State115645%74.477.9-3.5
10 Eastern Michigan115645%72.076.8-4.8
11 Western Michigan124833%65.579.5-14.0
12 Northern Illinois103730%56.767.0-10.3
13 Central Michigan1221017%65.282.8-17.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Davidson1210283%78.064.8+13.2
2 Loyola Chicago119282%78.961.1+17.8
3 Rhode Island118373%71.262.4+8.8
4 St. Bonaventure118373%71.568.5+3.0
5 Richmond Spiders139469%75.169.4+5.7
6 St. Louis Billikens128467%82.168.0+14.1
7 VCU Rams117464%60.556.7+3.8
8 Dayton138562%70.464.4+6.0
9 George Mason127558%72.865.4+7.3
10 Fordham127558%73.168.8+4.3
11 Saint Josephs Hawks116555%71.070.1+0.9
12 La Salle105550%70.571.4-0.9
13 Duquesne125742%70.071.2-1.2
14 George Washington124833%65.169.4-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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