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UMBC Retrievers vs Maine Black Bears Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Postponed
Position#57
Record10-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game63.9
vs
Position#325
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game53.1
Allowed / game64.6
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Maine Black Bears
08 Jan 2026
UMBC69
MAIN62
18 Jan 2025
UMBC62
MAIN87
18 Jan 2024
UMBC70
MAIN65
14 Jan 2023
UMBC85
MAIN77
26 Feb 2022
UMBC93
MAIN79
30 Jan 2021
UMBC v MAIN
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
UMBC63
MAIN53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Maine Black Bears win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#210
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H08/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#246
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A13/12
NCAA
Albany
#230
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A19/12
NCAA
Albany
#230
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A20/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H27/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H28/12
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A09/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A10/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H16/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
38-30
22-24
44-25
32-36
33-28
29-34
36-26
29-29
45-38
32-32
37-43
38-26
31-28
29-35
39-31
30-31
33-39
26-27
31-22
128.7Avg total
67.2Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)69.763.9133.6+5.877%
Season at home (6)71.867.2139.0+4.767%
Season away (7)67.961.1129.0+6.786%
Last 10 (10)67.261.5128.7+5.780%
Last 5 (5)65.262.8128.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.672.0137.6-6.440%
vs Similar (14)66.362.5128.8+3.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)69.765.0134.7+4.773%
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maine Black BearsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#17
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A19/12
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A20/12
NCAA
Boston College
#332
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A22/12
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H02/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H03/01
NCAA
NJIT
#270
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A09/01
NCAA
NJIT
#270
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Vermont
#71
L
30-65
30
65
-35
A16/01
NCAA
Vermont
#71
L
60-88
60
88
-28
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-35
24-26
20-31
40-32
20-35
30-30
24-43
38-35
26-30
33-26
29-30
29-32
32-29
22-34
18-18
27-23
12-31
18-34
28-47
32-41
117.0Avg total
52.8Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)53.164.6117.7-11.422%
Season at home (2)58.559.0117.5-0.550%
Season away (7)51.666.1117.7-14.614%
Last 10 (10)52.864.2117.0-11.420%
Last 5 (5)49.463.8113.2-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)57.466.7124.0-9.322%
vs Similar (7)69.772.0141.7-2.343%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -9.4-9.42nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: -2.0-2.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -9.4-9.42nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: -2.0-2.0
UMBC RetrieversMaine Black Bears
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#210
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H08/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#246
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A13/12
NCAA
Albany
#230
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A19/12
NCAA
Albany
#230
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H27/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H28/12
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A09/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H16/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H17/01
NCAA
61.0Avg total
30.5Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.631.161.7-0.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.930.262.1+1.750%-
Last 30 away (16)29.431.961.3-2.619%-
Last 10 (10)30.530.561.0+0.020%-
Last 5 (5)31.030.261.2+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.034.466.4-2.440%-
vs Similar (14)29.429.959.3-0.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)31.431.362.6+0.127%-
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maine Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#17
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A19/12
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A20/12
NCAA
Boston College
#332
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A22/12
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H02/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H03/01
NCAA
NJIT
#270
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A09/01
NCAA
NJIT
#270
D
18-18
18
18
+0
A10/01
NCAA
Vermont
#71
L
12-31
12
31
-19
A16/01
NCAA
Vermont
#71
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A17/01
NCAA
56.4Avg total
23.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.932.860.7-5.023%-
Last 30 at home (12)30.831.962.8-1.125%-
Last 30 away (18)25.933.459.3-7.622%-
Last 10 (10)23.532.956.4-9.410%-
Last 5 (5)23.831.054.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)26.632.058.6-5.522%-
vs Similar (7)32.135.467.6-3.329%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UMBC Retrievers wins
1
Maine Black Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/21HHartford57-49
16/01/21HHartford63-70
10/01/21ANew Hampshire68-66
09/01/21ANew Hampshire69-54
28/12/20HBinghamton69-75
27/12/20HBinghamton74-67
20/12/20AAlbany65-60
19/12/20AAlbany65-64
13/12/20ACoppin State66-49
08/12/20HDelaware76-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/21AVermont60-88
16/01/21AVermont30-65
10/01/21ANJIT45-41
09/01/21ANJIT54-63
03/01/21HNew Hampshire58-62
02/01/21HNew Hampshire59-56
22/12/20ABoston College62-78
20/12/20AHartford50-65
19/12/20AHartford60-63
08/03/20AVermont50-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW77%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%67%86%
Points / game69.771.867.9
Allowed / game63.967.261.1
Point differential+5.8+4.7+6.7
Avg total133.6139.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maine Black Bears
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %22%50%14%
Points / game53.158.551.6
Allowed / game64.659.066.1
Point differential-11.4-0.5-14.6
Avg total117.7117.5117.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bryant University1310377%89.277.6+11.5
2 UMBC Retrievers1310377%69.763.9+5.8
3 Vermont107370%74.860.8+14.0
4 New Hampshire137654%68.266.2+2.1
5 UMass Lowell146843%68.471.4-3.0
6 NJIT125742%66.869.8-3.0
7 Albany104640%69.568.4+1.1
8 Maine Black Bears92722%53.164.6-11.4
9 Binghamton131128%64.676.1-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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