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UMBC Retrievers vs Maine Black Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 69-62
32-20 37-42
Position#43
Record7-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#355
Record2-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game60.8
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Maine Black Bears
08 Jan 2026
UMBC69
MAIN62
18 Jan 2025
UMBC62
MAIN87
18 Jan 2024
UMBC70
MAIN65
14 Jan 2023
UMBC85
MAIN77
26 Feb 2022
UMBC93
MAIN79
30 Jan 2021
UMBC v MAIN
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
UMBC63
MAIN53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maine Black Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wagner
#249
W
71-70 OT
71
70
+1
H16/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
52-89
52
89
-37
A20/11
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#558
W
102-52
102
52
+50
H24/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H29/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A04/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A06/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H09/12
NCAA
Army
#318
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H12/12
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A21/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
93-59
93
59
+34
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-32
32-28
17-47
35-42
48-29
54-23
34-22
37-35
37-45
44-45
25-26
48-40
43-39
36-44
30-36
30-27
29-45
40-49
40-34
53-25
147.4Avg total
75.1Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.271.7146.8+3.554%
Season at home (6)76.263.0139.2+13.267%
Season away (7)74.379.1153.4-4.943%
Last 10 (10)75.172.3147.4+2.850%
Last 5 (5)74.873.0147.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.087.8164.8-10.80%
vs Similar (10)71.181.4152.5-10.330%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.972.1151.9+7.857%
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maine Black BearsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#204
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A28/11
NCAA
Longwood
#202
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A29/11
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H30/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
57-79
57
79
-22
A04/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
61-93
61
93
-32
A06/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A11/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
43-70
43
70
-27
H13/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A21/12
NCAA
Maine-Fort Kent
#537
W
104-66
104
66
+38
H30/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-39
33-35
22-29
39-36
25-36
35-28
23-38
34-41
30-48
31-45
33-24
36-35
17-39
26-31
28-37
28-37
54-32
50-34
17-26
34-30
132.3Avg total
62.3Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)60.869.4130.1-8.612%
Season at home (6)62.564.0126.5-1.517%
Season away (10)59.772.6132.3-12.910%
Last 10 (10)62.370.0132.3-7.720%
Last 5 (5)64.665.0129.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)59.570.5130.0-11.08%
vs Similar (12)62.865.5128.3-2.742%
vs Weaker (5)71.867.2139.0+4.660%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -7.1-7.12nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -0.6-0.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -7.1-7.12nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -0.6-0.6
UMBC RetrieversMaine Black Bears
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wagner
#249
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H16/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A20/11
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#558
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H24/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H29/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A06/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H09/12
NCAA
Army
#318
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H12/12
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A21/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A29/12
NCAA
68.6Avg total
33.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.538.273.7-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.837.173.9-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)34.439.173.5-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)33.135.568.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.069.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.045.683.6-7.60%-
vs Similar (10)31.139.070.1-7.920%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)37.635.973.4+1.750%-
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maine Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#204
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A28/11
NCAA
Longwood
#202
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A29/11
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H30/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A04/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A06/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A11/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
17-39
17
39
-22
H13/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A21/12
NCAA
Maine-Fort Kent
#537
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H30/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
17-26
17
26
-9
H03/01
NCAA
62.5Avg total
27.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.032.162.1-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.729.460.1+1.354%-
Last 30 away (17)29.434.263.6-4.824%-
Last 10 (10)27.734.862.5-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)29.831.661.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)28.134.462.5-6.317%-
vs Similar (12)27.331.258.5-3.833%-
vs Weaker (5)36.029.065.0+7.080%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25ACoppin State93-59
21/12/25ASouth Florida69-94
12/12/25HArmy60-63
09/12/25HBuffalo79-83
06/12/25ABucknell73-66
04/12/25AGeorgetown81-90
29/11/25HDelaware State71-57
24/11/25HNotre Dame MD102-52
20/11/25AGeorge Washington52-89
16/11/25HWagner71-70 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HBryant University51-56
30/12/25HMaine-Fort Kent104-66
21/12/25ADrexel56-74
13/12/25HCanisius43-70
11/12/25ABoston University69-59
06/12/25AMiami (Ohio)61-93
04/12/25AOhio57-79
30/11/25HSiena60-64
29/11/25ALongwood61-65
28/11/25AAmerican University61-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW54%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game75.276.274.3
Allowed / game71.763.079.1
Point differential+3.5+13.2-4.9
Avg total146.8139.2153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Maine Black Bears
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL12%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %12%17%10%
Points / game60.862.559.7
Allowed / game69.464.072.6
Point differential-8.6-1.5-12.9
Avg total130.1126.5132.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont169756%77.673.4+4.2
2 UMBC Retrievers137654%75.271.7+3.5
3 UMass Lowell1661038%77.379.9-2.6
4 NJIT1661038%64.977.2-12.4
5 Bryant University1551033%64.170.7-6.6
6 Binghamton1641225%68.476.4-8.0
7 Maine Black Bears1621412%60.869.4-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers323769
Maine Black Bears204262
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