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UMBC Retrievers vs Maine Black Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 62-87
27-45 35-42
Position#280
Record9-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#135
Record11-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game66.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Maine Black Bears
08 Jan 2026
UMBC69
MAIN62
18 Jan 2025
UMBC62
MAIN87
18 Jan 2024
UMBC70
MAIN65
14 Jan 2023
UMBC85
MAIN77
26 Feb 2022
UMBC93
MAIN79
30 Jan 2021
UMBC v MAIN
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
UMBC63
MAIN53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maine Black Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morgan State
#258
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H27/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A02/12
NCAA
Towson
#78
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A07/12
NCAA
Cairn
#485
W
103-57
103
57
+46
H10/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A19/12
NCAA
Marist
#80
L
73-76 OT
73
76
-3
A21/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
A29/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A04/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
87-64
87
64
+23
A10/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-26
55-43
35-41
27-45
38-24
46-47
50-27
53-30
34-53
48-38
39-39
31-31
41-40
38-39
43-44
39-43
30-37
57-27
38-46
38-33
161.0Avg total
83.7Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.976.1159.0+6.950%
Season at home (10)87.369.8157.1+17.560%
Season away (8)77.583.9161.4-6.438%
Last 10 (10)83.777.3161.0+6.450%
Last 5 (5)82.879.8162.6+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.692.2169.8-14.60%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.178.2158.3+1.947%
vs Weaker (7)90.166.1156.3+24.071%
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maine Black BearsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine-Augusta
#629
W
103-51
103
51
+52
H03/12
NCAA
Fordham
#313
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A08/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A12/12
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A14/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#339
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H29/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
55-81
55
81
-26
A04/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H09/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H11/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
52-27
51-24
23-37
49-50
29-29
32-27
44-35
40-44
30-34
42-40
27-19
29-40
25-38
30-43
32-40
50-31
43-31
44-35
23-26
34-18
139.7Avg total
72.9Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)71.766.3138.1+5.458%
Season at home (7)82.157.9140.0+24.386%
Season away (12)65.771.2136.9-5.642%
Last 10 (10)72.966.8139.7+6.160%
Last 5 (5)67.464.2131.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)65.976.9142.7-11.029%
vs Similar ◀ (8)63.464.2127.6-0.950%
vs Weaker (13)71.467.2138.5+4.262%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +4.9+4.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +4.9+4.9
UMBC RetrieversMaine Black Bears
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morgan State
#258
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A02/12
NCAA
Towson
#78
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Cairn
#485
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H10/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A19/12
NCAA
Marist
#80
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A21/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A04/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A10/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H16/01
NCAA
76.2Avg total
38.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.734.973.6+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.333.173.5+7.267%-
Last 30 away (15)37.136.773.8+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.776.2+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.039.272.2-6.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.835.973.7+1.959%-
vs Weaker (7)42.730.973.6+11.971%-
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maine Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine-Augusta
#629
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H03/12
NCAA
Fordham
#313
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A08/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A12/12
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#339
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A21/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
27-19
27
19
+8
H29/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A04/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H09/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H11/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A16/01
NCAA
64.4Avg total
32.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.232.164.3+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.828.562.3+5.358%-
Last 30 away (18)31.134.465.6-3.328%-
Last 10 (10)32.831.664.4+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)30.030.860.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.338.171.4-4.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)28.530.058.5-1.538%-
vs Weaker (13)31.231.262.4-0.146%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats76-79
10/01/25ANJIT87-64
04/01/25ABinghamton82-87
29/12/24AAmerican University96-93 OT
21/12/24AMarist73-76 OT
19/12/24AGeorgia Tech82-91
10/12/24HCairn103-57
07/12/24ATowson84-71
02/12/24AGeorgetown62-86
27/11/24HMorgan State92-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25ANJIT57-44
11/01/25HAlbany Great Danes87-66
09/01/25HBinghamton82-71
04/01/25ABryant University55-81
29/12/24HBoston University56-59
21/12/24AStony Brook72-74
14/12/24ACanisius84-79
12/12/24ADuquesne61-56
08/12/24AFordham72-87
03/12/24HMaine-Augusta103-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%60%38%
Points / game82.987.377.5
Allowed / game76.169.883.9
Point differential+6.9+17.5-6.4
Avg total159.0157.1161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Maine Black Bears
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %58%86%42%
Points / game71.782.165.7
Allowed / game66.357.971.2
Point differential+5.4+24.3-5.6
Avg total138.1140.0136.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%86%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (1)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell1813572%82.471.9+10.4
2 Maine Black Bears1911858%71.766.3+5.4
3 Vermont1910953%65.864.5+1.3
4 UMBC Retrievers189950%82.976.1+6.9
5 Bryant University189950%82.477.1+5.3
6 Binghamton1991047%69.971.8-1.9
7 NJIT1831517%61.970.8-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers273562
Maine Black Bears454287
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