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UMBC Retrievers vs Maine Black Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 70-65
34-30 36-35
Position#312
Record5-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#261
Record7-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Maine Black Bears
08 Jan 2026
UMBC69
MAIN62
18 Jan 2025
UMBC62
MAIN87
18 Jan 2024
UMBC70
MAIN65
14 Jan 2023
UMBC85
MAIN77
26 Feb 2022
UMBC93
MAIN79
30 Jan 2021
UMBC v MAIN
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
UMBC63
MAIN53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maine Black Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#368
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H02/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A06/12
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H09/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#152
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A13/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
81-103
81
103
-22
A21/12
NCAA
American University
#203
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H30/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H06/01
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A12/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-39
35-50
45-40
47-47
36-41
44-51
38-46
35-43
31-26
29-40
36-50
45-53
31-47
54-40
36-33
31-48
32-45
40-32
31-45
51-41
161.9Avg total
76.2Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.183.6161.7-5.428%
Season at home (8)79.979.1159.0+0.850%
Season away (10)76.787.1163.8-10.410%
Last 10 (10)76.285.7161.9-9.510%
Last 5 (5)77.486.8164.2-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.681.5153.1-9.910%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.881.2157.0-5.440%
vs Weaker (9)74.773.8148.4+0.944%
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maine Black BearsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Columbia
#229
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A25/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#328
W
72-57
72
57
+15
A30/11
NCAA
Brown
#276
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H03/12
NCAA
Boston University
#221
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H09/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A19/12
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A22/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A30/12
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A06/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
26-41
37-29
35-28
37-23
23-26
34-28
40-37
32-28
37-28
18-41
33-33
36-35
38-47
28-41
34-39
30-26
28-39
34-34
40-45
133.2Avg total
65.0Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)67.667.8135.4-0.141%
Season at home (6)74.265.7139.8+8.550%
Season away (11)64.168.9133.0-4.836%
Last 10 (10)65.068.2133.2-3.240%
Last 5 (5)63.876.0139.8-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)60.770.0130.7-9.331%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.567.1135.5+1.445%
vs Weaker (5)69.265.4134.6+3.880%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -2.9-2.9
UMBC RetrieversMaine Black Bears
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#368
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H02/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#152
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A13/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/12
NCAA
American University
#203
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H30/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A12/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A13/01
NCAA
76.3Avg total
35.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.737.771.4-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.136.572.6-0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)31.538.870.3-7.319%-
Last 10 (10)35.141.276.3-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.244.077.2-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.442.674.0-11.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.137.273.3-1.150%-
vs Weaker (9)33.734.468.1-0.833%-
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maine Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Columbia
#229
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A25/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#328
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A30/11
NCAA
Brown
#276
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H03/12
NCAA
Boston University
#221
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A07/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H09/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A19/12
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A22/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A30/12
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A06/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H11/01
NCAA
63.5Avg total
31.6Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.232.263.4-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.629.764.2+4.975%-
Last 30 away (18)28.933.962.8-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)31.631.963.5-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)29.235.464.6-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)28.333.661.9-5.346%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.531.463.8+1.145%-
vs Weaker (5)31.430.261.6+1.260%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
UMBC Retrievers wins
2
Maine Black Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AUMass Lowell82-86
12/01/24AVermont72-77
06/01/24HBryant University67-81
30/12/23HAmerican University85-87
21/12/23AIowa81-103
13/12/23ASt. Peters60-66
09/12/23HTowson73-89
06/12/23AMorgan State80-92
02/12/23HLehigh92-87
01/12/23ACoppin State70-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24HNew Hampshire Wildcats74-79
06/01/24AVermont58-65
30/12/23AMinnesota62-80
22/12/23AFlorida International74-82
19/12/23AUCF Knights51-74
09/12/23HCentral Connecticut State69-56
07/12/23ABoston University74-65
03/12/23HBrown60-49
30/11/23AHoly Cross72-57
25/11/23AColumbia56-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %28%50%10%
Points / game78.179.976.7
Allowed / game83.679.187.1
Point differential-5.4+0.8-10.4
Avg total161.7159.0163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maine Black Bears
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17611
Win %41%50%36%
Points / game67.674.264.1
Allowed / game67.865.768.9
Point differential-0.1+8.5-4.8
Avg total135.4139.8133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell1612475%80.566.4+14.1
2 Vermont1914574%73.664.3+9.3
3 New Hampshire85362%80.972.9+8.0
4 Bryant University1811761%80.075.6+4.4
5 Albany74357%76.675.7+0.9
6 Binghamton168850%74.473.5+0.9
7 Maine Black Bears1771041%67.667.8-0.1
8 UMBC Retrievers1851328%78.183.6-5.4
9 NJIT1541127%70.375.6-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers343670
Maine Black Bears303565
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