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Umea vs Nassjo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:04
Final 104-96
19-24 14-26 28-28 43-18
Position#10
Record2-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game88.2
Umea 🏆
Sweden
vs
Nassjo
Sweden
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game85.4
SwedenBasketligan· Umea Energi Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Umea v Nassjo
29 Jan 2027
UMEA v NASS
upcoming
17 Nov 2026
UMEA v NASS
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
UMEA104
NASS96
16 Nov 2024
UMEA76
NASS93
16 Jan 2024
UMEA94
NASS98
07 Nov 2023
UMEA87
NASS95
20 Jan 2023
UMEA64
NASS85
08 Mar 2022
UMEA76
NASS84
19 Nov 2021
UMEA84
NASS74
26 Jan 2021
UMEA93
NASS82
02 Nov 2020
UMEA78
NASS91
14 Mar 2020
UMEA v NASS
upcoming
24 Oct 2019
UMEA84
NASS83
12 Mar 2019
UMEA77
NASS79
18 Dec 2018
UMEA80
NASS71
23 Mar 2018
UMEA87
NASS81
05 Dec 2017
UMEA102
NASS91
13 Jan 2017
UMEA49
NASS79
14 Oct 2016
UMEA57
NASS68
13 Nov 2015
UMEA77
NASS73
21 Oct 2014
UMEA66
NASS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Umea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nassjo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#3
L
80-103
80
103
-23
63avg 67
H25/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
97-103
97
103
-6
92avg 67
H28/03
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
61avg 67
A20/09
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
73-106
73
106
-33
64avg 67
H23/09
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
88-93
88
93
-5
77avg 67
H27/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
79avg 67
A06/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
83-103
83
103
-20
70avg 67
H10/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 67
H14/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
72-68
72
68
+4
72avg 67
A17/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
L
80-93
80
93
-13
69avg 67
A23/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
14-34
20-20
19-25
20-21
25-27
32-24
20-31
21-19
19-26
18-21
18-28
16-30
25-32
15-26
17-18
23-23
36-20
20-28
9-22
22-20
17-23
29-10
14-19
19-26
18-32
22-17
24-28
19-20
29-13
13-19
12-25
22-20
12-19
18-16
20-13
19-21
11-33
28-15
22-24
171.6Avg total
80.4Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.488.2166.6-9.925%
Season at home (4)79.294.8174.0-15.50%
Season away (4)77.581.8159.2-4.250%
Last 10 (10)80.491.2171.6-10.820%
Last 5 (5)78.082.6160.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)75.093.9168.9-18.87%
vs Similar (2)81.598.0179.5-16.50%
vs Weaker (1)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#3
W
100-96
100
96
+4
101avg 87
H13/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
81-103
81
103
-22
76avg 87
A15/04
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
69-80
69
80
-11
55avg 87
A19/09
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
W
84-78
84
78
+6
74avg 87
H23/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
79-63
79
63
+16
71avg 87
A28/09
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
76avg 87
A03/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
L
95-104
95
104
-9
93avg 87
H10/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
94-90
94
90
+4
86avg 87
H14/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
65-108
65
108
-43
52avg 87
A17/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
100-77
100
77
+23
98avg 87
H24/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
25-24
25-30
23-22
18-24
18-23
28-32
17-24
16-23
16-22
19-15
18-20
20-22
21-14
21-25
22-17
18-16
21-19
17-13
23-15
22-23
24-24
18-16
22-20
22-23
20-28
26-28
27-25
33-21
18-23
20-20
23-26
15-33
19-25
16-23
15-27
31-29
27-17
18-22
24-9
173.5Avg total
85.3Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.085.4169.4-1.462%
Season at home (4)93.287.2180.5+6.075%
Season away (4)74.883.5158.2-8.850%
Last 10 (10)85.388.2173.5-2.960%
Last 5 (5)88.092.4180.4-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)81.792.2173.9-10.644%
vs Similar (10)91.589.2180.7+2.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)105.284.5189.8+20.875%
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
UmeaNassjo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#3
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H25/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H28/03
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A20/09
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
41-62
41
62
-21
H23/09
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H27/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A06/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H10/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H14/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A23/10
Basketligan
89.7Avg total
41.4Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.047.485.4-9.417%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.548.387.8-8.720%-
Last 30 away (15)36.546.582.9-10.013%-
Last 10 (10)41.448.389.7-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.483.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)38.346.985.2-8.619%-
vs Similar (2)33.556.089.5-22.50%-
vs Weaker (1)39.043.082.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#3
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H13/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A15/04
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A19/09
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H23/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/09
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A03/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H10/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H14/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A17/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H24/10
Basketligan
88.4Avg total
43.1Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.246.690.7-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.244.792.9+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)40.148.588.6-8.320%-
Last 10 (10)43.145.388.4-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.249.295.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.646.287.8-4.744%-
vs Similar (10)45.047.892.8-2.830%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)52.544.897.2+7.8100%-
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.3
51.9%
54.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.8
31.2%
35.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.713.1
70.1%
74.6%13.1
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.6
51.3%
54.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.2
37.6%
35.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws15.412.1
78.6%
74.6%12.1
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Umea
LWLLWLLLLL
Nassjo
WLWLWWWLLW
#10
League position
#7
-12.5
Net rating
-4.0
100.8
Offensive rating
110.7
113.3
Defensive rating
114.7
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
20.3%
Turnover %
15.5%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.2%
3-point %
37.6%
55.3%
Assist %
65.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 110.7Defence113.3 · 114.7Shooting49.8% · 53.5%3-point %31.2% · 37.6%Ball care20.3% · 15.5%Off. rebounds30.4% · 26.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Umea   ■ Nassjo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Umea wins
8
Nassjo wins
DateGameScore
13/02/25Nassjo v Umea102-77
06/12/24Nassjo v Umea90-87
16/11/24Umea v Nassjo76-93
22/03/24Nassjo v Umea103-74
16/01/24Umea v Nassjo94-98
10/11/23Nassjo v Umea117-79
07/11/23Umea v Nassjo87-95
20/01/23Umea v Nassjo64-85
30/12/22Nassjo v Umea97-105
07/10/22Nassjo v Umea90-99 OT
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25AHogsbo80-93
17/10/25ASodertalje72-68
14/10/25HBC Lulea73-77
10/10/25HKoping Stars83-103
06/10/25ASloga Uppsala82-72
27/09/25HNorrkoping88-93
23/09/25HBoras73-106
20/09/25AJamtland76-94
28/03/25HKoping Stars97-103
25/03/25HBC Lulea80-103
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/25HSloga Uppsala100-77
17/10/25ANorrkoping65-108
14/10/25HUppsala94-90
10/10/25HHogsbo95-104
03/10/25AKoping Stars86-83
28/09/25ASodertalje79-63
23/09/25HBC Lulea84-78
19/09/25ABoras69-80
15/04/25ABC Lulea81-103
13/04/25HBC Lulea100-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Umea
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL25%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game78.479.277.5
Allowed / game88.294.881.8
Point differential-9.9-15.5-4.2
Avg total166.6174.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nassjo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game84.093.274.8
Allowed / game85.487.283.5
Point differential-1.4+6.0-8.8
Avg total169.4180.5158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping76186%92.679.1+13.4
2 Boras86275%94.082.1+11.9
3 BC Lulea75271%87.186.0+1.1
4 Jamtland85362%97.191.1+6.0
5 Sodertalje85362%77.675.4+2.2
6 Nassjo85362%84.085.4-1.4
7 Uppsala84450%87.587.0+0.5
8 Hogsbo82625%88.190.1-2.0
9 Umea82625%78.488.2-9.9
10 Sloga Uppsala82625%78.891.4-12.6
11 Koping Stars81712%84.592.0-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Umea19142843104
Nassjo2426281896
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