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Hogsbo vs Umea Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:04
Final 93-80
21-19 33-11 15-28 24-22
Position#9
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game91.6
vs
Position#10
Record2-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game87.6
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hogsbo v Umea
19 Mar 2027
HOGS v UMEA
upcoming
02 Dec 2026
HOGS v UMEA
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
HOGS81
UMEA77
23 Oct 2025
HOGS93
UMEA80
08 Nov 2024
HOGS85
UMEA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Umea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
93-122
93
122
-29
80avg 75
A21/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
104-98
104
98
+6
94avg 75
H24/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
78avg 75
H28/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 75
A19/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
109-111
109
111
-2
108avg 75
H23/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
83-86
83
86
-3
72avg 75
H27/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 75
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
104-95
104
95
+9
90avg 75
A10/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 75
H13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 75
A17/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-34
20-28
25-23
28-37
26-21
21-29
31-19
26-29
26-22
13-19
22-24
19-19
19-27
24-22
18-25
16-15
31-27
24-32
34-21
20-31
26-28
12-20
23-21
22-17
21-30
26-20
15-16
19-19
23-22
28-20
28-26
25-27
13-19
25-17
15-23
26-28
21-21
27-28
23-13
8-26
183.4Avg total
88.9Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.491.6179.0-4.114%
Season at home (3)90.394.7185.0-4.30%
Season away (4)85.289.2174.5-4.025%
Last 10 (10)88.994.5183.4-5.620%
Last 5 (5)85.288.2173.4-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)83.395.3178.6-12.18%
vs Similar ◀ (1)104.095.0199.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (3)90.085.3175.3+4.733%
This opponent (Umea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
72avg 67
A21/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
80-103
80
103
-23
63avg 67
H25/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
97-103
97
103
-6
92avg 67
H28/03
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
61avg 67
A20/09
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
73-106
73
106
-33
64avg 67
H23/09
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
88-93
88
93
-5
77avg 67
H27/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
79avg 67
A06/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
83-103
83
103
-20
70avg 67
H10/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 67
H14/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
72-68
72
68
+4
72avg 67
A17/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
20-14
24-33
13-13
27-24
14-34
20-20
19-25
20-21
25-27
32-24
20-31
21-19
19-26
18-21
18-28
16-30
25-32
15-26
17-18
23-23
36-20
20-28
9-22
22-20
17-23
29-10
14-19
19-26
18-32
22-17
24-28
19-20
29-13
13-19
12-25
22-20
12-19
18-16
20-13
171.1Avg total
80.1Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.187.6165.7-9.429%
Season at home (4)79.294.8174.0-15.50%
Season away (3)76.778.0154.7-1.367%
Last 10 (10)80.191.0171.1-10.920%
Last 5 (5)79.682.6162.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)75.193.8168.9-18.87%
vs Similar ◀ (1)83.0103.0186.0-20.00%
vs Weaker (1)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -5.6-5.6
HogsboUmea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A21/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H24/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H23/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H27/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A10/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A17/10
Basketligan
93.2Avg total
44.6Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.646.387.9-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.344.183.4-4.829%-
Last 30 away (16)43.748.291.9-4.519%-
Last 10 (10)44.648.693.2-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)44.445.089.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)41.547.288.7-5.719%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)51.042.093.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)39.739.379.0+0.333%-
This opponent (Umea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A21/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H25/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H28/03
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A20/09
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
41-62
41
62
-21
H23/09
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H27/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A06/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H10/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H14/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/10
Basketligan
89.8Avg total
42.4Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.147.685.6-9.517%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.149.088.1-9.919%-
Last 30 away (14)36.945.982.9-9.014%-
Last 10 (10)42.447.489.8-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.286.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)38.147.485.4-9.318%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)37.058.095.0-21.00%-
vs Weaker (1)39.043.082.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.4
51.6%
54.1%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.9
34.5%
35.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
74.6%16.6
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.6
50.9%
54.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.2
33.6%
35.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.813.1
69.7%
74.6%13.1
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LLWLLLLLWL
Umea
WLLWLLLLLL
#9
League position
#10
-6.8
Net rating
-12.9
110.6
Offensive rating
101.3
117.4
Defensive rating
114.3
51.7%
Effective FG%
50.7%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
20.4%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.5%
3-point %
33.6%
56.2%
Assist %
57.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 101.3Defence117.4 · 114.3Shooting51.7% · 50.7%3-point %34.5% · 33.6%Ball care14.6% · 20.4%Off. rebounds26.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Umea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hogsbo wins
1
Umea wins
DateGameScore
07/02/25Umea v Hogsbo83-110
17/01/25Umea v Hogsbo87-77
08/11/24Hogsbo v Umea85-79
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/25AUppsala79-88
13/10/25HBoras79-87
10/10/25ANassjo104-95
02/10/25ASodertalje81-85
27/09/25HSloga Uppsala83-86
23/09/25HJamtland109-111
19/09/25ANorrkoping77-89
28/03/25HUppsala80-84
24/03/25HNassjo104-98
21/03/25ANorrkoping93-122
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/25ASodertalje72-68
14/10/25HBC Lulea73-77
10/10/25HKoping Stars83-103
06/10/25ASloga Uppsala82-72
27/09/25HNorrkoping88-93
23/09/25HBoras73-106
20/09/25AJamtland76-94
28/03/25HKoping Stars97-103
25/03/25HBC Lulea80-103
21/03/25AJamtland77-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game87.490.385.2
Allowed / game91.694.789.2
Point differential-4.1-4.3-4.0
Avg total179.0185.0174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Umea
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%0%67%
Points / game78.179.276.7
Allowed / game87.694.878.0
Point differential-9.4-15.5-1.3
Avg total165.7174.0154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping65183%90.277.5+12.7
2 Jamtland64267%98.386.0+12.3
3 Boras64267%89.079.3+9.7
4 BC Lulea64267%88.587.3+1.2
5 Sodertalje64267%74.774.0+0.7
6 Uppsala74357%86.085.1+0.9
7 Nassjo74357%81.786.6-4.9
8 Sloga Uppsala62433%78.889.3-10.5
9 Umea72529%78.187.6-9.4
10 Koping Stars61517%82.087.5-5.5
11 Hogsbo71614%87.491.6-4.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2133152493
Umea1911282280
← all games of the day
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