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Umea vs Nassjo Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:04
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record4-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game84.8
SwedenBasketligan· Umea Energi Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Umea v Nassjo
29 Jan 2027
UMEA v NASS
upcoming
17 Nov 2026
UMEA v NASS
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
UMEA104
NASS96
16 Nov 2024
UMEA76
NASS93
16 Jan 2024
UMEA94
NASS98
07 Nov 2023
UMEA87
NASS95
20 Jan 2023
UMEA64
NASS85
08 Mar 2022
UMEA76
NASS84
19 Nov 2021
UMEA84
NASS74
26 Jan 2021
UMEA93
NASS82
02 Nov 2020
UMEA78
NASS91
14 Mar 2020
UMEA v NASS
upcoming
24 Oct 2019
UMEA84
NASS83
12 Mar 2019
UMEA77
NASS79
18 Dec 2018
UMEA80
NASS71
23 Mar 2018
UMEA87
NASS81
05 Dec 2017
UMEA102
NASS91
13 Jan 2017
UMEA49
NASS79
14 Oct 2016
UMEA57
NASS68
13 Nov 2015
UMEA77
NASS73
21 Oct 2014
UMEA66
NASS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Umea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nassjo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
75-108
75
108
-33
59avg 71
A25/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
64-78
64
78
-14
51avg 71
H29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
69-93
69
93
-24
58avg 71
H09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 71
A17/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
72avg 71
A19/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
71-53
71
53
+18
66avg 71
A23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
85avg 71
H27/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
62avg 71
A31/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
95-100
95
100
-5
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
15-25
21-27
21-27
18-22
24-12
9-24
13-20
23-21
20-22
19-27
7-23
23-26
21-21
16-11
18-28
25-27
17-20
19-21
17-20
19-8
16-17
16-10
20-18
25-21
20-20
23-24
13-16
18-25
15-25
29-17
15-23
36-16
21-33
23-25
15-26
26-14
19-16
24-22
20-26
165.9Avg total
78.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.987.0165.9-8.120%
Season at home (4)80.291.8172.0-11.50%
Season away (6)78.083.8161.8-5.833%
Last 10 (10)78.987.0165.9-8.120%
Last 5 (5)85.083.4168.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)78.494.0172.4-15.65%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.286.8167.0-6.620%
vs Weaker (5)87.479.4166.8+8.060%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 76
H29/09
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 76
A09/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
66avg 76
A13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
64avg 76
H16/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 76
H19/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
78avg 76
H27/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
62avg 76
A30/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
69-91
69
91
-22
no box
A10/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
H13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
19-27
12-25
28-16
17-17
25-23
15-28
24-17
16-21
14-28
13-25
31-17
16-28
25-24
22-21
11-7
27-25
20-17
21-19
20-17
23-19
25-10
9-21
26-23
18-25
18-30
23-19
15-18
17-21
18-18
12-28
34-22
23-16
16-28
13-19
17-28
23-31
19-22
23-22
28-15
165.4Avg total
79.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.584.8164.4-5.336%
Season at home (6)83.083.2166.2-0.250%
Season away (5)75.486.8162.2-11.420%
Last 10 (10)79.685.8165.4-6.230%
Last 5 (5)80.087.0167.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)80.794.7175.4-14.021%
vs Similar ◀ (6)90.290.8181.0-0.750%
vs Weaker (5)95.286.6181.8+8.660%
This opponent (Umea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: +5.4+5.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: +5.4+5.4
UmeaNassjo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A25/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A17/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A19/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H27/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A31/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A13/11
Basketligan
83.9Avg total
41.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.385.1-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.644.987.4-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)39.243.883.0-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.083.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.082.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)39.945.485.2-5.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.846.685.4-7.820%-
vs Weaker (5)46.237.884.0+8.4100%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H29/09
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A09/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H16/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H19/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H27/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A30/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A10/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H13/11
Basketligan
85.0Avg total
39.9Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.747.990.5-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.546.291.8-0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)39.449.789.1-10.314%-
Last 10 (10)39.945.185.0-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.084.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.150.190.2-10.016%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)47.845.593.3+2.350%-
vs Weaker (5)46.242.288.4+4.060%-
This opponent (Umea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.1
53.0%
52.7%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.2
24.1%
33.9%15.6
🏀 Free throws22.414.5
64.7%
74.1%14.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.1
51.7%
52.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.2
35.5%
33.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.915.2
69.4%
74.1%15.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Umea
WLLLWLLLLL
Nassjo
WLLLWWLLLL
#9
League position
#7
-10.2
Net rating
-6.5
83.0
Offensive rating
93.2
93.3
Defensive rating
99.7
47.4%
Effective FG%
52.3%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
24.1%
3-point %
35.5%
52.7%
Assist %
55.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence83.0 · 93.2Defence93.3 · 99.7Shooting47.4% · 52.3%3-point %24.1% · 35.5%Ball care18.1% · 16.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Umea   ■ Nassjo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Umea wins
9
Nassjo wins
DateGameScore
19/10/26Nassjo v Umea88-78
03/02/26Nassjo v Umea120-108 OT
22/11/25Nassjo v Umea97-79
01/11/25Umea v Nassjo104-96
13/02/25Nassjo v Umea102-77
06/12/24Nassjo v Umea90-87
16/11/24Umea v Nassjo76-93
22/03/24Nassjo v Umea103-74
16/01/24Umea v Nassjo94-98
10/11/23Nassjo v Umea117-79
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AUppsala89-78
06/11/26HSloga Uppsala95-100
31/10/26AKoping Stars77-90
27/10/26HBC Lulea93-96 OT
23/10/26AUppsala71-53
19/10/26ANassjo78-88
17/10/26ABoras78-86
09/10/26HJamtland69-93
29/09/26HSodertalje64-78
25/09/26ANorrkoping75-108
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HNorrkoping93-90
10/11/26ASodertalje69-91
06/11/26HKoping Stars81-89
30/10/26AJamtland74-92
27/10/26HSloga Uppsala83-73
19/10/26HUmea88-78
16/10/26HUppsala74-80
13/10/26ABC Lulea74-91
09/10/26AHogsbo81-85
29/09/26HNorrkoping79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Umea
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW20%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game78.980.278.0
Allowed / game87.091.883.8
Point differential-8.1-11.5-5.8
Avg total165.9172.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
Nassjo
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game79.583.075.4
Allowed / game84.883.286.8
Point differential-5.3-0.2-11.4
Avg total164.4166.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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