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Nassjo vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:04
Final 95-104
22-23 20-28 26-28 27-25
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#9
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game92.8
SwedenBasketligan· Nassjo Sporthall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nassjo v Hogsbo
05 Feb 2027
NASS v HOGS
upcoming
04 Dec 2026
NASS v HOGS
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
NASS111
HOGS98
10 Oct 2025
NASS95
HOGS104
13 Mar 2025
NASS121
HOGS80
12 Nov 2024
NASS111
HOGS103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nassjo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
W
97-93
97
93
+4
97avg 86
H28/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
69-108
69
108
-39
58avg 86
A04/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
82-111
82
111
-29
75avg 86
A06/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
W
100-94
100
94
+6
96avg 86
H11/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
W
100-96
100
96
+4
101avg 86
H13/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
81-103
81
103
-22
76avg 86
A15/04
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
69-80
69
80
-11
55avg 86
A19/09
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
W
84-78
84
78
+6
74avg 86
H23/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
79-63
79
63
+16
71avg 86
A28/09
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
76avg 86
A03/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
26-30
21-18
28-16
17-18
22-30
15-31
15-29
18-29
20-26
21-33
23-23
21-24
30-16
29-32
20-22
27-20
25-24
25-30
23-22
18-24
18-23
28-32
17-24
16-23
16-22
19-15
18-20
20-22
21-14
21-25
22-17
18-16
21-19
17-13
23-15
22-23
24-24
18-16
22-20
175.6Avg total
84.7Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.576.0155.5+3.575%
Season at home (1)84.078.0162.0+6.0100%
Season away (3)78.075.3153.3+2.767%
Last 10 (10)84.790.9175.6-6.260%
Last 5 (5)79.881.4161.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)83.591.5174.9-8.047%
vs Similar ◀ (10)91.487.1178.5+4.370%
vs Weaker (5)103.086.4189.4+16.680%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Uppsala
#6
L
85-110
85
110
-25
76avg 75
A04/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
80-107
80
107
-27
77avg 75
H07/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
80-121
80
121
-41
67avg 75
A13/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
93-122
93
122
-29
80avg 75
A21/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
104-98
104
98
+6
94avg 75
H24/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
78avg 75
H28/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 75
A19/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
109-111
109
111
-2
108avg 75
H23/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
83-86
83
86
-3
72avg 75
H27/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 75
A02/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-36
21-23
22-28
19-23
25-35
17-14
16-33
22-25
19-27
26-27
16-36
19-31
20-34
20-28
25-23
28-37
26-21
21-29
31-19
26-29
26-22
13-19
22-24
19-19
19-27
24-22
18-25
16-15
31-27
24-32
34-21
20-31
26-28
12-20
23-21
22-17
21-30
26-20
15-16
19-19
188.5Avg total
87.2Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.592.8180.2-5.20%
Season at home (2)96.098.5194.5-2.50%
Season away (2)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)87.2101.3188.5-14.110%
Last 5 (5)86.091.0177.0-5.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)83.195.3178.4-12.38%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (4)88.883.8172.5+5.050%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.6-3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.6-3.6
NassjoHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H28/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A04/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A06/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H11/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H13/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A15/04
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A19/09
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H23/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/09
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A03/10
Basketligan
87.8Avg total
42.2Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.144.491.4+2.771%-
Last 30 away (16)42.346.588.8-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)42.245.687.8-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.080.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.045.387.3-3.347%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)45.446.992.3-1.540%-
vs Weaker (5)50.443.493.8+7.080%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala
#6
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A04/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H07/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A13/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A21/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H24/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H23/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H27/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A02/10
Basketligan
96.1Avg total
44.0Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.145.987.0-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.443.582.9-4.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.748.391.0-5.513%-
Last 10 (10)44.052.196.1-8.10%-
Last 5 (5)44.449.493.8-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)41.447.088.4-5.719%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (4)39.038.577.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.0
52.8%
54.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.9
34.6%
35.8%32.7
🏀 Free throws15.813.4
84.8%
74.6%13.4
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.8
55.3%
54.1%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.2
29.6%
35.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
74.6%16.2
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nassjo
WWWLLWWLLW
Hogsbo
LLLLLWLLLL
#7
League position
#9
-8.7
Net rating
-17.5
110.4
Offensive rating
107.0
119.0
Defensive rating
124.5
52.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.6%
3-point %
29.6%
69.2%
Assist %
63.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 107.0Defence119.0 · 124.5Shooting52.4% · 50.9%3-point %34.6% · 29.6%Ball care16.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds27.3% · 24.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Nassjo   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nassjo wins
1
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
24/03/25Hogsbo v Nassjo104-98
13/03/25Nassjo v Hogsbo121-80
02/12/24Hogsbo v Nassjo84-104
12/11/24Nassjo v Hogsbo111-103
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25AKoping Stars86-83
28/09/25ASodertalje79-63
23/09/25HBC Lulea84-78
19/09/25ABoras69-80
15/04/25ABC Lulea81-103
13/04/25HBC Lulea100-96
11/04/25HBC Lulea100-94
06/04/25ABC Lulea82-111
04/04/25ABC Lulea69-108
28/03/25HBoras97-93
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25ASodertalje81-85
27/09/25HSloga Uppsala83-86
23/09/25HJamtland109-111
19/09/25ANorrkoping77-89
28/03/25HUppsala80-84
24/03/25HNassjo104-98
21/03/25ANorrkoping93-122
13/03/25ANassjo80-121
07/03/25HBC Lulea80-107
04/03/25AUppsala85-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nassjo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game79.584.078.0
Allowed / game76.078.075.3
Point differential+3.5+6.0+2.7
Avg total155.5162.0153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game87.596.079.0
Allowed / game92.898.587.0
Point differential-5.2-2.5-8.0
Avg total180.2194.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping330100%89.773.7+16.0
2 Boras43175%95.079.5+15.5
3 Uppsala43175%87.282.5+4.8
4 Nassjo43175%79.576.0+3.5
5 Sodertalje32167%75.778.0-2.3
6 BC Lulea53260%90.890.2+0.6
7 Jamtland42250%93.291.8+1.5
8 Sloga Uppsala41325%74.585.5-11.0
9 Umea41325%79.891.2-11.5
10 Hogsbo4040%87.592.8-5.2
11 Koping Stars3030%79.090.3-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nassjo2220262795
Hogsbo23282825104
← all games of the day
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