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Union De Santa Fe vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-79
17-25 24-15 15-18 29-21
Position#11
Record17-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#12
Record15-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game78.5
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Ángel Malvicino
Other2024-25
Meetings · Union De Santa Fe v Penarol
19 Nov 2025
UNIO63
PENA82
02 May 2025
UNIO85
PENA79
12 Feb 2024
UNIO74
PENA83
13 Dec 2022
UNIO81
PENA90
18 Apr 2022
UNIO71
PENA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Union De Santa Fe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Union De Santa FeArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFe
Date
Competition
Riachuelo
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
82avg 76
A10/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
79-74
79
74
+5
73avg 76
H17/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
88-89
88
89
-1
86avg 76
H20/03
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
75-85
75
85
-10
60avg 76
A24/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
105-100
105
100
+5
100avg 76
A26/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
93-104
93
104
-11
92avg 76
A28/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
84-76
84
76
+8
81avg 76
H01/04
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 76
H10/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
80-96
80
96
-16
72avg 76
A13/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 76
H29/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
18-21
28-25
21-22
19-11
21-25
21-24
18-14
22-24
20-14
23-22
23-29
17-28
23-23
16-15
19-19
28-31
21-18
28-25
28-26
26-28
25-22
15-24
27-30
24-20
21-13
16-20
23-23
19-21
23-18
22-22
21-28
14-28
26-16
15-25
25-27
19-24
19-31
20-10
19-18
174.1Avg total
85.3Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.885.5167.2-3.747%
Season at home (17)83.281.8165.0+1.571%
Season away (19)80.588.8169.3-8.326%
Last 10 (10)85.388.8174.1-3.530%
Last 5 (5)83.889.6173.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.086.1166.1-6.133%
vs Similar (12)86.889.6176.4-2.850%
vs Weaker (3)86.383.0169.3+3.367%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
La Union
#18
W
91-73
91
73
+18
88avg 67
A10/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
90-58
90
58
+32
93avg 67
H13/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
64-72
64
72
-8
53avg 67
H21/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 67
H29/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
86-88
86
88
-2
71avg 67
A02/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
93-85
93
85
+8
81avg 67
A03/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
63-76
63
76
-13
50avg 67
A05/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 67
H10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
75-79
75
79
-4
63avg 67
H25/04
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 67
H27/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
20-24
27-11
19-19
27-14
15-16
29-9
19-19
14-21
19-11
22-20
9-20
17-13
15-23
17-18
14-27
21-17
17-28
28-20
20-23
23-16
17-20
25-19
28-30
16-22
17-11
21-20
9-23
27-16
29-19
17-16
16-20
20-18
21-16
10-27
24-18
12-20
26-20
16-24
19-11
154.5Avg total
78.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.978.5158.4+1.545%
Season at home (16)81.974.8156.8+7.156%
Season away (17)78.081.9159.9-3.935%
Last 10 (10)78.775.8154.5+2.940%
Last 5 (5)78.677.2155.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.580.0153.5-6.550%
vs Similar (14)78.177.6155.6+0.543%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.077.9160.9+5.150%
This opponent (Union De Santa Fe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
Union De Santa FePenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Union De Santa FeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Riachuelo
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A10/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H17/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H20/03
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A24/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A26/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A28/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H01/04
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H10/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A13/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
38-55
38
55
-17
H29/04
Liga A
86.5Avg total
42.5Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.185.1-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.540.782.2+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)42.545.587.9-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.544.086.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.287.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.743.581.3-5.833%-
vs Similar (12)45.242.787.9+2.667%-
vs Weaker (3)50.342.392.7+8.067%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#18
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A10/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H13/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H21/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H29/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A05/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/04
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/04
Liga A
76.2Avg total
39.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.080.4+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.680.1+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)38.342.380.7-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.476.2+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.677.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.040.072.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (14)39.839.078.8+0.857%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.340.983.2+1.457%-
This opponent (Union De Santa Fe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Union De Santa Fe wins
7
Penarol wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/25HBoca Juniors77-83
13/04/25AObera TC80-96
10/04/25HFerro85-89
01/04/25HRegatas84-76
28/03/25AInstituto de Cordoba93-104
26/03/25AIndependiente de Oliva105-100
24/03/25AAtenas75-85
20/03/25HGimnasia88-89
17/03/25HSan Martin79-74
10/03/25ARiachuelo87-92
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HFerro73-75
25/04/25HPlatense75-79
10/04/25HInstituto de Cordoba89-71
05/04/25ASan Lorenzo63-76
03/04/25AObras Sanitarias93-85
02/04/25AGimnasia86-88
29/03/25HQuimsa63-81
21/03/25HBoca Juniors64-72
13/03/25HOlimpico90-58
10/03/25ALa Union91-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Union De Santa Fe
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL47%
HomeWLWLL71%
AwayLLWLL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %47%71%26%
Points / game81.883.280.5
Allowed / game85.581.888.8
Point differential-3.7+1.5-8.3
Avg total167.2165.0169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (15)78% (9)67% (6)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Penarol
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeLLWLL56%
AwayLWLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %45%56%35%
Points / game79.981.978.0
Allowed / game78.574.881.9
Point differential+1.5+7.1-3.9
Avg total158.4156.8159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)20% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors3124777%80.875.3+5.5
2 Instituto de Cordoba3021970%81.072.1+8.9
3 Quimsa36241267%87.477.8+9.6
4 Riachuelo32211166%82.476.8+5.6
5 Obera TC33211264%81.677.5+4.0
6 Obras Sanitarias34211362%82.679.9+2.8
7 Gimnasia33191458%82.878.5+4.4
8 Regatas33181555%79.479.0+0.4
9 San Martin37181949%74.573.4+1.1
10 Ferro35171849%81.583.0-1.5
11 Atenas35171849%78.780.5-1.8
12 Union De Santa Fe36171947%81.885.5-3.7
13 Penarol33151845%79.978.5+1.5
14 Olimpico34151944%79.982.9-2.9
15 San Lorenzo34151944%76.979.9-3.0
16 Independiente de Oliva34142041%86.087.7-1.7
17 Platense36142239%79.181.9-2.9
18 La Union34122235%83.685.5-1.9
19 Zarate34102429%73.482.8-9.4
20 Argentino3462818%72.285.2-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Union De Santa Fe1724152985
Penarol2515182179
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