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San Lorenzo vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 76-63
22-16 11-17 20-21 23-9
Position#14
Record11-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#12
Record14-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game78.9
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Roberto Pando
Other2024-25
Meetings · San Lorenzo v Penarol
16 Oct 2026
SAN 85
PENA92
26 Sep 2025
SAN 82
PENA74
05 Apr 2025
SAN 76
PENA63
15 Nov 2023
SAN 88
PENA65
17 Jan 2023
SAN 75
PENA99
14 Feb 2022
SAN 73
PENA76
14 Oct 2021
SAN 88
PENA73
16 Jan 2021
SAN 74
PENA75
14 Feb 2020
SAN 98
PENA87
29 Sep 2019
SAN 89
PENA84
01 May 2019
SAN 88
PENA84
08 May 2018
SAN 101
PENA69
06 May 2018
SAN 91
PENA82
07 Dec 2017
SAN 100
PENA95
11 Jan 2017
SAN 86
PENA61
11 Nov 2016
SAN 89
PENA59
16 Dec 2015
SAN 100
PENA75
01 Nov 2015
SAN 76
PENA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLorenzo
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#15
W
86-69
86
69
+17
83avg 69
H14/01
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
89-84
89
84
+5
79avg 69
H19/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
79-74
79
74
+5
72avg 69
A25/01
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
59-73
59
73
-14
45avg 69
H27/01
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
94-88
94
88
+6
84avg 69
H05/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
W
76-75
76
75
+1
77avg 69
A15/02
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
W
80-78 OT
80
78
+2
70avg 69
H28/02
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
69avg 69
A15/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
L
72-95
72
95
-23
55avg 69
A17/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
79-96
79
96
-17
69avg 69
A19/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
25-16
20-20
28-11
33-20
16-21
23-25
17-18
27-18
15-18
23-24
14-14
11-20
14-20
14-11
20-22
23-21
22-18
23-24
26-25
21-16
20-21
12-17
23-21
21-24
14-17
13-16
25-16
21-33
17-21
15-28
24-8
7-29
20-21
16-22
29-23
16-21
26-26
24-29
13-20
161.3Avg total
79.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.280.2156.5-4.044%
Season at home (12)79.177.5156.6+1.658%
Season away (13)73.682.8156.4-9.231%
Last 10 (10)79.182.2161.3-3.160%
Last 5 (5)76.886.8163.6-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.180.2152.3-8.133%
vs Similar (13)78.280.0158.2-1.854%
vs Weaker (2)85.078.5163.5+6.550%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Argentino
#20
W
94-62
94
62
+32
93avg 69
H06/02
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
81-66
81
66
+15
74avg 69
H09/02
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
55-76
55
76
-21
43avg 69
A06/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
48avg 69
A08/03
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
91-73
91
73
+18
88avg 69
A10/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
90-58
90
58
+32
93avg 69
H13/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
64-72
64
72
-8
53avg 69
H21/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 69
H29/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
86-88
86
88
-2
71avg 69
A02/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
93-85
93
85
+8
81avg 69
A03/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-18
10-19
25-12
24-13
24-22
22-14
16-13
19-17
10-16
15-26
18-17
12-17
19-24
12-22
22-20
11-18
25-19
20-24
27-11
19-19
27-14
15-16
29-9
19-19
14-21
19-11
22-20
9-20
17-13
15-23
17-18
14-27
21-17
17-28
28-20
20-23
23-16
17-20
25-19
28-30
152.6Avg total
78.1Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.678.9159.5+1.748%
Season at home (13)82.674.8157.4+7.862%
Season away (16)78.982.2161.2-3.338%
Last 10 (10)78.174.5152.6+3.650%
Last 5 (5)79.276.8156.0+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.083.7152.7-14.733%
vs Similar (14)77.980.1158.0-2.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.577.5162.0+7.162%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
San LorenzoPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H14/01
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H19/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A25/01
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H27/01
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H05/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A15/02
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H28/02
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A15/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A17/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A19/03
Liga A
80.5Avg total
38.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.979.7-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.438.477.9+1.057%-
Last 30 away (16)38.343.081.3-4.738%-
Last 10 (10)38.242.380.5-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.645.882.4-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.339.979.3-0.653%-
vs Similar (13)37.942.580.4-4.531%-
vs Weaker (2)41.037.578.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#20
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H06/02
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H09/02
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A06/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A08/03
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A10/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H13/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H21/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H29/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/04
Liga A
76.0Avg total
37.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.780.2-1.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.838.680.4+3.269%-
Last 30 away (17)37.842.380.1-4.541%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.376.0-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.872.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.342.773.0-12.30%-
vs Similar (14)38.939.878.7-0.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.341.283.5+1.162%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
San Lorenzo wins
7
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
10/01/25Penarol v San Lorenzo80-77
23/04/24Penarol v San Lorenzo80-75
15/11/23San Lorenzo v Penarol88-65
18/01/23San Lorenzo v Penarol75-99
21/10/22Penarol v San Lorenzo79-70
14/02/22San Lorenzo v Penarol73-76
27/01/22Penarol v San Lorenzo82-72
15/10/21San Lorenzo v Penarol88-73
17/01/21San Lorenzo v Penarol74-75
12/01/21Penarol v San Lorenzo57-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25AQuimsa79-96
17/03/25AOlimpico72-95
15/03/25ARiachuelo77-90
28/02/25HUnion De Santa Fe80-78 OT
15/02/25ABoca Juniors76-75
05/02/25HAtenas94-88
27/01/25HSan Martin59-73
25/01/25AObera TC79-74
19/01/25HLa Union89-84
14/01/25HOlimpico86-69
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/25AObras Sanitarias93-85
02/04/25AGimnasia86-88
29/03/25HQuimsa63-81
21/03/25HBoca Juniors64-72
13/03/25HOlimpico90-58
10/03/25ALa Union91-73
08/03/25ARegatas64-84
06/03/25ASan Martin55-76
09/02/25HAtenas81-66
06/02/25HArgentino94-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL44%
HomeWWLWW58%
AwayWWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %44%58%31%
Points / game76.279.173.6
Allowed / game80.277.582.8
Point differential-4.0+1.6-9.2
Avg total156.5156.6156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)57% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Penarol
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %48%62%38%
Points / game80.682.678.9
Allowed / game78.974.882.2
Point differential+1.7+7.8-3.3
Avg total159.5157.4161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%54%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors2720774%80.775.6+5.1
2 Riachuelo2619773%83.375.3+7.9
3 Instituto de Cordoba2417771%81.271.2+10.0
4 Obras Sanitarias27171063%82.779.4+3.2
5 Quimsa29181162%84.477.2+7.2
6 Obera TC29181162%80.877.0+3.8
7 Gimnasia27151256%82.578.7+3.8
8 Atenas30161453%78.778.6+0.0
9 Olimpico27141352%80.382.1-1.9
10 San Martin29151452%74.872.3+2.5
11 Union De Santa Fe33171652%81.985.1-3.2
12 Regatas30151550%79.079.2-0.2
13 Penarol29141548%80.678.9+1.7
14 Ferro27121544%81.483.7-2.3
15 San Lorenzo25111444%76.280.2-4.0
16 Independiente de Oliva28101836%84.286.6-2.4
17 La Union28101836%83.987.2-3.3
18 Platense31112035%78.182.3-4.1
19 Zarate2872125%71.180.9-9.8
20 Argentino2852318%72.083.7-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Lorenzo2211202376
Penarol161721963
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