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Fresno State vs UNLV Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 98-96
49-50 49-46
Position#275
Record10-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game70.3
Fresno State 🏆
USA
vs
UNLV
USA
Position#192
Record10-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game77.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Fresno State v UNLV
03 Feb 2026
FRES98
UNLV96
15 Feb 2025
FRES51
UNLV52
14 Feb 2024
FRES65
UNLV67
21 Jan 2023
FRES76
UNLV63
16 Feb 2022
FRES57
UNLV60
04 Dec 2019
FRES80
UNLV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H04/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A22/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H25/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-39
31-45
26-35
37-37
26-21
39-45
37-24
33-31
21-36
31-35
36-22
43-47
26-27
37-33
23-36
51-47
19-26
38-42
44-39
35-23
136.4Avg total
67.4Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.170.3142.4+1.948%
Season at home (14)73.167.9140.9+5.257%
Season away (7)70.375.1145.4-4.929%
Last 10 (10)67.469.0136.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)70.468.4138.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)66.474.8141.2-8.426%
vs Similar ◀ (6)76.875.0151.8+1.833%
vs Weaker (4)74.061.5135.5+12.575%
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Sierra
#545
W
89-47
89
47
+42
H30/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
67-39
67
39
+28
H03/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
66-98
66
98
-32
A07/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
H14/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A21/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H24/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-19
40-28
35-20
32-19
26-48
40-50
29-32
33-38
40-39
36-37
40-31
36-31
38-38
48-38
34-39
37-43
22-41
39-48
28-33
48-56
148.0Avg total
74.3Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.977.9155.8+0.048%
Season at home (11)81.474.5155.8+6.955%
Season away (10)74.181.6155.7-7.540%
Last 10 (10)74.373.7148.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)74.079.6153.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.178.2146.3-10.118%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.679.8163.5+3.873%
vs Weaker (8)70.158.0128.1+12.175%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +0.1+0.1
Fresno StateUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H04/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A22/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A31/01
NCAA
60.4Avg total
29.9Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.933.964.9-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.631.261.8-0.644%-
Last 30 away (12)31.438.069.4-6.633%-
Last 10 (10)29.930.560.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)29.630.059.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)27.534.662.2-7.116%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.833.269.0+2.783%-
vs Weaker (4)37.033.070.0+4.075%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Sierra
#545
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H30/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A07/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H24/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A31/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
34.1Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.969.6+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.832.869.6+4.156%-
Last 30 away (14)34.435.269.6-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.068.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.468.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.736.969.6-4.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.737.876.5+0.955%-
vs Weaker (8)35.524.459.9+11.188%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Fresno State wins
7
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
21/12/25UNLV v Fresno State84-72
16/02/25Fresno State v UNLV51-52
29/12/24UNLV v Fresno State87-77
15/02/24Fresno State v UNLV65-67
31/01/24UNLV v Fresno State78-69
04/02/23UNLV v Fresno State79-82
21/01/23Fresno State v UNLV76-63
17/02/22Fresno State v UNLV57-60
15/01/22UNLV v Fresno State68-73
27/02/21UNLV v Fresno State68-67
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AAir Force79-62
25/01/26HGrand Canyon57-68
22/01/26ANew Mexico74-83
18/01/26HWyoming63-60
14/01/26HColorado State79-69
11/01/26ASan Diego State52-71
07/01/26ASan Jose State70-55
04/01/26HNevada65-66
31/12/25HUtah State63-72
21/12/25AUNLV72-84
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26ANevada76-89
28/01/26HNew Mexico61-89
24/01/26HSan Diego State71-82
21/01/26AUtah State86-76
17/01/26ASan Jose State76-62
14/01/26HBoise State89-85 OT
10/01/26AColorado State62-70
07/01/26AWyoming66-98
03/01/26HAir Force67-39
30/12/25HLa Sierra89-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW48%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %48%57%29%
Points / game72.173.170.3
Allowed / game70.367.975.1
Point differential+1.9+5.2-4.9
Avg total142.4140.9145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)43% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL48%
HomeWWWLL55%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%55%40%
Points / game77.981.474.1
Allowed / game77.974.581.6
Point differential+0.0+6.9-7.5
Avg total155.8155.8155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2118386%83.667.9+15.7
2 New Mexico2218482%81.568.0+13.5
3 San Diego State2115671%80.271.0+9.2
4 Nevada2316770%77.371.7+5.6
5 Grand Canyon2215768%74.867.7+7.1
6 Boise State2314961%78.773.4+5.3
7 Wyoming2213959%78.372.5+5.8
8 Colorado State22121055%75.670.9+4.8
9 Fresno State21101148%72.170.3+1.9
10 UNLV21101148%77.977.9+0.0
11 San Jose State2261627%70.177.0-6.8
12 Air Force2231914%61.177.4-16.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State494998
UNLV504696
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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