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UNLV vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 71-82
34-39 37-43
Position#192
Record10-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#70
Record13-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UNLV v San Diego State
24 Jan 2026
UNLV71
SAN 82
04 Mar 2025
UNLV74
SAN 67
14 Mar 2024
UNLV71
SAN 74
05 Mar 2024
UNLV62
SAN 58
31 Dec 2022
UNLV67
SAN 76
01 Jan 2022
UNLV55
SAN 62
03 Mar 2021
UNLV62
SAN 71
02 Jan 2021
UNLV v SAN
upcoming
26 Jan 2020
UNLV67
SAN 71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H14/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H21/12
NCAA
La Sierra
#545
W
89-47
89
47
+42
H30/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
67-39
67
39
+28
H03/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
66-98
66
98
-32
A07/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
H14/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-39
37-35
33-29
27-34
39-41
45-31
49-19
40-28
35-20
32-19
26-48
40-50
29-32
33-38
40-39
36-37
40-31
36-31
38-38
48-38
144.0Avg total
75.4Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.376.4155.7+2.956%
Season at home (9)84.872.0156.8+12.867%
Season away (9)73.980.8154.7-6.944%
Last 10 (10)75.468.6144.0+6.870%
Last 5 (5)75.878.2154.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)67.976.0143.9-8.120%
vs Similar (11)82.678.2160.8+4.573%
vs Weaker (9)69.957.9127.8+12.078%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H18/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
45-68
45
68
-23
A21/12
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
121-59
121
59
+62
H22/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A31/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
110-107 OT
110
107
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A07/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H11/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-30
48-28
27-28
18-40
62-30
59-29
42-38
39-30
50-29
29-50
34-36
39-32
36-21
35-31
38-25
36-32
48-35
35-44
37-35
32-35
149.4Avg total
80.8Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.372.1153.4+9.272%
Season at home (11)88.272.1160.3+16.182%
Season away (7)70.472.1142.6-1.757%
Last 10 (10)80.868.6149.4+12.280%
Last 5 (5)74.065.2139.2+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.776.0134.7-17.333%
vs Similar (14)76.375.5151.8+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.363.1143.4+17.292%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +10.0+10.02nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +1.9+1.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +10.0+10.02nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +1.9+1.9
UNLVSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H14/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H21/12
NCAA
La Sierra
#545
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H30/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A07/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/01
NCAA
70.3Avg total
36.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.833.168.9+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.531.869.3+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)34.234.468.6-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)36.733.670.3+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.672.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.335.969.2-2.620%-
vs Similar (11)38.937.876.7+1.155%-
vs Weaker (9)34.924.259.1+10.789%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H18/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A21/12
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
62-30
62
30
+32
H22/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A31/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A07/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H11/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H18/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A22/01
NCAA
71.4Avg total
40.7Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.731.868.6+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.429.668.1+8.883%-
Last 30 away (12)34.235.269.3-1.042%-
Last 10 (10)40.730.771.4+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)38.630.469.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.035.066.0-4.033%-
vs Similar (14)35.932.368.1+3.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.030.669.6+8.485%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UNLV wins
7
San Diego State wins
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AUtah State86-76
17/01/26ASan Jose State76-62
14/01/26HBoise State89-85 OT
10/01/26AColorado State62-70
07/01/26AWyoming66-98
03/01/26HAir Force67-39
30/12/25HLa Sierra89-47
21/12/25HFresno State84-72
14/12/25HTennessee State60-63
07/12/25AStanford75-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26AGrand Canyon69-70
18/01/26HNew Mexico83-79
15/01/26AWyoming74-57
11/01/26HFresno State71-52
07/01/26ANevada73-68
04/01/26HBoise State110-107 OT
31/12/25ASan Jose State81-68
22/12/25HWhittier121-59
21/12/25AArizona45-68
18/12/25HAir Force81-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game79.384.873.9
Allowed / game76.472.080.8
Point differential+2.9+12.8-6.9
Avg total155.7156.8154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL72%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %72%82%57%
Points / game81.388.270.4
Allowed / game72.172.172.1
Point differential+9.2+16.1-1.7
Avg total153.4160.3142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%64%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1916384%83.768.3+15.4
2 New Mexico1915479%80.867.5+13.3
3 Nevada1914574%77.070.6+6.4
4 San Diego State1813572%81.372.1+9.2
5 Grand Canyon1812667%75.168.9+6.1
6 Colorado State2012860%77.870.9+7.0
7 Wyoming1911858%80.372.7+7.6
8 Boise State1911858%77.173.8+3.2
9 UNLV1810856%79.376.4+2.9
10 Fresno State1991047%72.670.8+1.7
11 San Jose State1961332%70.776.2-5.5
12 Air Force1931616%61.776.2-14.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV343771
San Diego State394382
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