PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Urania Milano vs Pesaro Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#19
Record1-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record5-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game79.7
ItalySerie A2Round 19· Allianz Cloud
Other2026-27
Meetings · Urania Milano v Pesaro
03 Jan 2027
URAN v PES
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
URAN72
PES93
26 Oct 2024
URAN77
PES60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urania Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
L
68-70
68
70
-2
55avg 73
H27/09
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
28avg 73
A04/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
88-96
88
96
-8
82avg 73
H10/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
44avg 73
A17/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
90-72
90
72
+18
96avg 73
H21/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
L
60-78
60
78
-18
46avg 73
A24/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H30/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
66-83
66
83
-17
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
H14/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
12-20
15-19
22-13
21-29
18-19
21-21
21-15
24-21
21-20
21-36
22-19
19-23
16-13
19-28
18-23
26-19
19-13
24-18
21-22
17-15
12-23
15-17
16-23
16-24
12-25
22-17
21-19
20-25
21-21
14-25
11-12
23-34
26-17
14-16
19-15
21-14
16-13
16-24
12-28
157.3Avg total
74.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.682.7157.3-8.110%
Season at home (5)76.480.4156.8-4.020%
Season away (5)72.885.0157.8-12.20%
Last 10 (10)74.682.7157.3-8.110%
Last 5 (5)69.483.6153.0-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.083.4159.4-7.420%
vs Similar (9)83.178.7161.8+4.467%
vs Weaker (1)110.086.0196.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 76
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
32avg 76
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 76
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
67avg 76
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
76-68
76
68
+8
76avg 76
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
71-73
71
73
-2
61avg 76
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 76
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#11
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
67-78
67
78
-11
no box
H15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
24-23
21-18
15-26
27-17
23-24
23-15
16-21
21-17
13-15
27-31
22-17
24-13
22-21
20-18
13-15
21-14
15-20
21-20
18-19
17-14
19-21
18-27
13-16
20-15
22-22
18-30
19-12
14-21
25-21
15-22
19-19
20-17
23-24
22-14
13-27
9-13
159.3Avg total
79.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.679.7159.3-0.150%
Season at home (6)76.277.5153.7-1.350%
Season away (4)84.883.0167.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)79.679.7159.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)73.682.2155.8-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.079.0149.0-9.00%
vs Similar (21)82.285.0167.2-2.848%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.976.4162.2+9.5100%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
Urania MilanoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H27/09
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A04/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H30/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A11/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H14/11
Serie A2
78.5Avg total
37.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.881.4-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.138.680.7+3.679%-
Last 30 away (16)39.442.782.1-3.325%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.678.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.279.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.040.879.8-1.835%-
vs Similar (9)43.139.983.0+3.278%-
vs Weaker (1)52.049.0101.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/11
Serie A2
85.2Avg total
42.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.584.0+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.640.683.2+1.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.442.484.9+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.585.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.283.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.048.085.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (21)42.242.484.6-0.248%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.038.182.1+5.988%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.7
50.8%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.55.7
32.6%
34.5%17.1
🏀 Free throws23.315.7
67.4%
71.0%15.7
They take 54.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.5
50.7%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.5
41.1%
34.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.114.8
77.5%
71.0%14.8
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urania Milano
LLLLLWLLLL
Pesaro
LLLLLWWWWW
#19
League position
#12
-4.7
Net rating
-1.4
93.4
Offensive rating
105.1
98.1
Defensive rating
106.5
50.2%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.6%
Turnover %
10.0%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.6%
3-point %
41.1%
49.2%
Assist %
53.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 105.1Defence98.1 · 106.5Shooting50.2% · 54.8%3-point %32.6% · 41.1%Ball care14.6% · 10.0%Free throws0.43 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Urania Milano   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Urania Milano wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Pesaro v Urania Milano73-68
15/11/25Urania Milano v Pesaro72-93
19/01/25Pesaro v Urania Milano97-70
26/10/24Urania Milano v Pesaro77-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPistoia65-79
11/11/26AAvellino Basket85-93 OT
07/11/26AFortitudo Bologna66-83
30/10/26HRimini71-85
24/10/26ACividale60-78
21/10/26HJuVi Cremona90-72
17/10/26ALibertas Livorno72-87
10/10/26HRuvo Di Puglia88-96
04/10/26ABrindisi81-84
27/09/26HSassari68-70
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HVigevano67-78
11/11/26ASassari87-96 OT
07/11/26HMestre73-85
01/11/26AAvellino Basket70-79
25/10/26HBasket Torino71-73
21/10/26HCividale76-68
18/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-76
11/10/26HCaserta83-77
04/10/26HJuVi Cremona87-84
27/09/26ACento96-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urania Milano
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %10%20%0%
Points / game74.676.472.8
Allowed / game82.780.485.0
Point differential-8.1-4.0-12.2
Avg total157.3156.8157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.676.284.8
Allowed / game79.777.583.0
Point differential-0.1-1.3+1.8
Avg total159.3153.7167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno109190%80.968.5+12.4
2 Avellino Basket109190%80.873.9+6.9
3 Fortitudo Bologna108280%80.474.7+5.7
4 Rimini107370%81.272.5+8.7
5 Brindisi107370%78.274.4+3.8
6 Sebastiani Rieti107370%75.173.8+1.3
7 Basket Torino96367%72.972.0+0.9
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli105550%82.078.9+3.1
10 Sassari105550%76.275.6+0.6
11 Mestre105550%76.076.1-0.1
12 Pesaro105550%79.679.7-0.1
13 Cividale105550%72.575.5-3.0
14 Vigevano104640%76.580.3-3.8
15 Caserta93633%79.682.2-2.7
16 JuVi Cremona102820%75.178.6-3.5
17 Ruvo Di Puglia102820%74.080.9-6.9
18 Cento102820%73.482.5-9.1
19 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
20 Montecatini101910%67.181.9-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.