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USA W vs Australia W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 85-64
20-16 25-11 21-13 19-24
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game65.1
USA W 🏆
vs
Australia W
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game65.6
EuropeOlympic Games WomenOlympic Games Women - Semi-finals· Accor Arena
Women2024Neutral venue
Meetings · USA W v Australia W
09 Aug 2024
USA 85
AUST64
29 Sep 2010
USA 83
AUST75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Australia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USA WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Colombia W
#5
W
68-49
68
49
+19
no box
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
no box
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
58-69
58
69
-11
no box
A10/07
AmeriCup Women
Belgium W
#7
W
81-79
81
79
+2
75avg 93
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
100-46
100
46
+54
105avg 93
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
101-39
101
39
+62
103avg 93
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
102-76
102
76
+26
99avg 93
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
91avg 93
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
W
87-68
87
68
+19
83avg 93
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
88-74
88
74
+14
96avg 93
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
20-18
10-12
15-8
22-17
17-12
15-21
13-13
16-14
21-21
10-25
11-9
15-19
19-24
23-23
24-13
19-13
32-7
24-15
25-11
29-15
21-8
26-9
25-7
22-15
28-24
29-18
23-19
23-23
23-15
14-15
27-21
16-19
25-10
28-17
18-22
26-17
26-16
24-15
12-26
147.6Avg total
83.9Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.365.1157.4+27.1100%
Season at home (2)91.577.5169.0+14.0100%
Season away (5)92.660.2152.8+32.4100%
Last 10 (10)83.963.7147.6+20.290%
Last 5 (5)93.066.2159.2+26.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.063.0130.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (2)56.068.0124.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)90.461.7152.0+28.7100%
This opponent (Australia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Australia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
South Korea W
#5
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H30/06
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
no box
A01/07
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Brazil W
#15
W
60-55
60
55
+5
53avg 74
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
W
85-52
85
52
+33
83avg 74
H10/02
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 74
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
L
62-75
62
75
-13
58avg 74
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
73avg 74
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
83avg 74
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
85-67
85
67
+18
88avg 74
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-16
21-17
19-21
20-10
11-18
21-17
11-18
17-21
22-14
17-14
24-17
18-14
19-16
14-7
16-24
11-8
24-10
30-14
21-21
10-7
12-22
23-12
16-14
24-25
17-18
11-23
19-10
15-24
18-16
20-16
13-12
19-21
19-17
15-17
25-16
20-22
26-19
22-13
24-16
13-19
140.4Avg total
74.8Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.765.6139.3+8.186%
Season at home (3)78.063.0141.0+15.0100%
Season away (4)70.567.5138.0+3.075%
Last 10 (10)74.865.6140.4+9.280%
Last 5 (5)74.270.4144.6+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)66.674.6141.2-8.020%
vs Similar (2)65.069.5134.5-4.550%
vs Weaker (23)81.660.7142.3+20.987%
This opponent (USA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
USA WAustralia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
USA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colombia W
#5
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/07
AmeriCup Women
Belgium W
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
51-20
51
20
+31
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
50-23
50
23
+27
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
76.1Avg total
44.3Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.430.676.9+15.893%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.532.277.8+13.385%-
Last 30 away (17)47.029.376.3+17.7100%-
Last 10 (10)44.331.876.1+12.590%-
Last 5 (5)47.832.480.2+15.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.029.068.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (2)31.035.066.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.830.378.1+17.596%-
This opponent (Australia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Australia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Korea W
#5
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/06
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/07
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Brazil W
#15
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H10/02
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
70.9Avg total
39.3Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.331.873.1+9.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.931.272.2+9.771%-
Last 30 away (13)41.732.574.2+9.277%-
Last 10 (10)39.331.670.9+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.671.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.237.071.2-2.820%-
vs Similar (2)35.033.568.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (23)43.330.573.9+12.887%-
This opponent (USA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
USA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USA W: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.223.7
50.2%
45.1%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.5
31.9%
30.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.0
76.9%
74.5%16.0
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Australia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia W: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.5
49.2%
45.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.2
35.0%
30.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.811.8
74.7%
74.5%11.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
USA W
WWWWWWWLWW
Australia W
WWWLWWWWLW
#1
League position
#3
+25.3
Net rating
+13.4
108.3
Offensive rating
99.4
82.9
Defensive rating
86.0
49.5%
Effective FG%
50.2%
42.2%
Opp. effective FG%
41.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
22.6%
40.1%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.9%
3-point %
35.0%
74.2%
Assist %
66.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 99.4Defence82.9 · 86.0Shooting49.5% · 50.2%3-point %31.9% · 35.0%Ball care19.1% · 22.6%Off. rebounds40.1% · 30.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ USA W   ■ Australia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
USA W wins
0
Australia W wins
DateGameScore
04/08/21Australia W v USA W55-79
04/10/14Australia W v USA W70-82
09/08/12Australia W v USA W73-86
29/09/10USA W v Australia W83-75
USA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/08/24ANigeria W88-74
04/08/24AGermany W87-68
01/08/24ABelgium W87-74
29/07/24HJapan W102-76
11/02/24ASenegal W101-39
09/02/24ANigeria W100-46
08/02/24HBelgium W81-79
10/07/23ABrazil W58-69
09/07/23ACanada W67-63
07/07/23HColombia W68-49
Australia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/08/24ASerbia W85-67
04/08/24HFrance W79-72
01/08/24HCanada W70-65
29/07/24ANigeria W62-75
11/02/24ASerbia W75-73
10/02/24HGermany W85-52
08/02/24ABrazil W60-55
02/07/23HNew Zealand W81-59
01/07/23AChina W60-74
30/06/23HSouth Korea W91-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USA W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.391.592.6
Allowed / game65.177.560.2
Point differential+27.1+14.0+32.4
Avg total157.4169.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Australia W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game73.778.070.5
Allowed / game65.663.067.5
Point differential+8.1+15.0+3.0
Avg total139.3141.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USA W770100%92.365.1+27.1
2 France W76186%81.455.3+26.1
3 Australia W76186%73.765.6+8.1
4 Spain W75271%71.072.1-1.1
5 Belgium W74357%80.171.7+8.4
6 Germany W74357%70.775.1-4.4
7 China W63350%79.571.2+8.3
8 Canada W94544%69.065.0+4.0
9 Serbia W73443%68.468.9-0.4
10 Nigeria W73443%65.976.9-11.0
11 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
12 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
13 Japan W62433%74.283.3-9.2
14 Puerto Rico W93633%62.974.9-12.0
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
USA W2025211985
Australia W1611132464
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